Revisiting the Volume Hypothesis

One of the fundamental challenges in the deep learning community is to theoretically understand how well a deep neural network generalizes to unseen data. However, current approaches often yield generalization bounds that are either too loose to be informative of the true generalization error or only valid to the compressed nets. In this study, we present a simple yet non-vacuous generalization bound from the optimization perspective. We achieve this goal by leveraging that the hypothesis set accessed by stochastic gradient algorithms is essentially fractal-like and thus can derive a tighter bound over the algorithm-dependent Rademacher complexity. The main argument rests on modeling the discrete-time recursion process via a continuous-time stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Numerical studies demonstrate that our approach is able to yield plausible generalization guarantees for modern neural networks such as ResNet and Vision Transformer, even when they are trained on a large-scale dataset (e.g. ImageNet-1K).

Understanding generalization remains a central challenge in machine learning because it requires jointly considering data, architecture, and training dynamics. In this paper, we develop a theoretical framework that characterizes how these factors jointly shape generalization performance throughout training. More precisely, we study a broad class of neural networks trained under the $\ell^2$ loss by gradient descent (GD) with weight decay, and prove the convergence of GD to a neighbourhood of the global minimizers of the empirical loss. By partitioning the space based on the input data, we then decompose the population error into data error, optimization error, and prediction variation error, and bound them separately. In particular, for the prediction variation error, which measures the oscillations of the learned function, we propose (local) approximate homogeneity and derive explicit cellwise and layerwise bounds for its evolution along the training trajectory. These bounds yield two important implications: a necessary condition of improved generalization explains differences in layerwise generalization behavior; a sufficient condition describes delayed generalization and provides a theoretical characterization of grokking.

We present a non-asymptotic theory of generalization in deep learning where the empirical neural tangent kernel partitions the output space. In directions corresponding to signal, error dissipates rapidly; in the vast orthogonal dimensions corresponding to noise, the kernel's near-zero eigenvalues trap residual error in a test-invisible reservoir. Within the signal channel, minibatch SGD ensures that coherent population signal accumulates via fast linear drift, while idiosyncratic memorization is suppressed into a slow, diffusive random walk. We prove generalization survives even when the kernel evolves $\mathcal{O}(1)$ in operator norm, the full feature-learning regime. This theory naturally explains disparate phenomena in deep learning theory, such as benign overfitting, double descent, implicit bias, and grokking. Lastly, we derive an exact population-risk objective from a single training run with no validation data, for any architecture, loss, or optimizer, and prove that it measures precisely the noise in the signal channel. This objective reduces in practice to an SNR preconditioner on top of Adam, adding one state vector at no extra cost; it accelerates grokking by $5 \times$, suppresses memorization in PINNs and implicit neural representations, and improves DPO fine-tuning under noisy preferences while staying $3 \times$ closer to the reference policy.