In-context learning from self-generated trajectories for adaptive model reduction

Reduced-order models (ROMs) can accelerate high-dimensional dynamical simulations, but their accuracy often deteriorates when online dynamics leave the regime represented by offline training data. We develop a projection-based adaptive ROM framework based on incremental singular value decomposition (iSVD), in which occasional full-order operator evaluations provide correction snapshots for online basis updates. The intrusive ROMs considered here are fully parameterized by the basis, so each update naturally propagates to reduced operators and hyper-reduction machinery. Through its evolving singular structure, iSVD retains an encoded history of the observed dynamics and is history-aware in this sense. We study the method on three nonlinear problems of increasing complexity: the one-dimensional viscous Burgers equation, the Sod shock tube, and a stiff one-dimensional ten-species rotating detonation engine (RDE). The Burgers problem is used to analyze the method and compare iSVD with alternative basis adaptation rules, showing that history-aware updates outperform instantaneous updates and that iSVD gives the strongest overall performance. The Sod and RDE cases demonstrate that these advantages persist in more challenging compressible-flow settings. For the RDE problem, the iSVD adaptive ROM improves upon the current state-of-the-art Direct adaptive ROM baseline in both predictive accuracy and computational efficiency. A cost analysis shows that the dominant online cost comes from interacting with the full-order model to obtain correction snapshots, while the iSVD update itself is negligible. These results identify iSVD as an effective mechanism for online learning of reduced subspaces and suggest a path toward ROMs that remain predictive over horizons several orders of magnitude longer than their initial training window.

Accurate dynamics models are essential for model-based robotic control, yet nominal Euler--Lagrange models often become inaccurate in the presence of payload variation, unmodeled coupling, friction, aerodynamic effects, and changing operating conditions. Most learning-based correction methods improve prediction accuracy by introducing a single additive residual, but do not preserve the internal mechanical structure of Euler--Lagrange systems. This leads to models that do not preserve symmetry, positive-definiteness, or the coupling between inertia and velocity-dependent terms, which can result in physically inconsistent predictions and reduced reliability when embedded in model-based controllers. We propose a structure-preserving residual learning framework that decomposes model mismatch into an inertia correction, the corresponding induced Coriolis term, and a generalized-force residual. The mechanical component is learned under physical constraints, while the disturbance-sensitive component is represented through a sparse history-dependent latent interaction model and adapted online using Bayesian linear regression. This separation preserves key mechanical structure while restricting adaptation to the part of the dynamics most affected by changing conditions. Experiments across multiple robotic platforms, including mobile, aerial, and manipulator systems, show that the proposed method improves dynamics prediction and trajectory tracking under coupled and time-varying dynamics. These results highlight the value of combining structured residual modeling, compact latent interaction selection, and selective online adaptation for real-world model-based control.

We propose an efficient retraining strategy for a parameterized Reduced Order Model (ROM) that attains accuracy comparable to full retraining while requiring only a fraction of the computational time and relying solely on sparse observations of the full system. The architecture employs an encode-process-decode structure: a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) to perform dimensionality reduction, and a transformer network to evolve the latent states and model the dynamics. The ROM is parameterized by an external control variable, the Reynolds number in the Navier-Stokes setting, with the transformer exploiting attention mechanisms to capture both temporal dependencies and parameter effects. The probabilistic VAE enables stochastic sampling of trajectory ensembles, providing predictive means and uncertainty quantification through the first two moments. After initial training on a limited set of dynamical regimes, the model is adapted to out-of-sample parameter regions using only sparse data. Its probabilistic formulation naturally supports ensemble generation, which we employ within an ensemble Kalman filtering framework to assimilate data and reconstruct full-state trajectories from minimal observations. We further show that, for the dynamical system considered, the dominant source of error in out-of-sample forecasts stems from distortions of the latent manifold rather than changes in the latent dynamics. Consequently, retraining can be limited to the autoencoder, allowing for a lightweight, computationally efficient adaptation procedure with very sparse fine-tuning data.