Broken Ergodicity and the Violation of the Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem Lead to Generalization Beyond Overfitting in Machine Learning

Neural networks trained past memorization frequently undergo a delayed transition to generalization, a phenomenon known as grokking. Despite theoretical progress on \emph{why} this transition occurs, the quantitative structure of \emph{when} it occurs in hyperparameter space remains uncharacterized. We map the memorization-to-generalization boundary across 384 configurations of two-hidden-layer MLPs on modular arithmetic, fitting a power-law scaling relation for generalization onset time: $T_{\mathrm{grok}} \propto H^{-0.27}\, D^{-2.04}\, \eta^{-0.50}\, \lambda^{-0.64}$ ($R^2 = 0.732$; $0.821$ with interactions). The exponent hierarchy reveals that data complexity ($D^{-2.04}$) is the dominant driver of regime transition, not model capacity ($H^{-0.27}$): doubling data accelerates generalization by ${\sim}4\times$, while doubling width yields only ${\sim}1.2\times$. A sharp phase boundary at weight decay $\lambda \gtrsim 1.0$ separates grokking from non-grokking configurations, and weight norm trajectories show monotonic compression during the transition, consistent with implicit regularization selecting low-complexity solutions. These results provide a quantitative foundation for predicting and controlling regime transitions in overparameterized networks.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) exhibit first order phase transitions under variations of the L2 regularization strength, with each transition marking the onset of a new learnable feature. Below a critical regularization strength, all features are in principle learnable, but coexisting metastable states, separated by energy barriers, can trap the network and impede convergence. A strength of DNNs is their ability to generalize. But many open questions remain, among them the origin of so called grokking: the abrupt, delayed onset of generalization after prolonged apparent overfitting. We show for linear DNNs that grokking is consistent with hysteresis in first-order L2 phase transitions: using L2 regularization to engineer deliberate trapping, we demonstrate that a model in a low-accuracy metastable state escapes only when SGD noise drives it across an energy barrier, with escape times following Arrhenius scaling. We reproduce grokking-like delayed convergence across two orders of magnitude in escape time by deliberately trapping models in metastable phases. Using sparse sub-sampling we also reproduce the canonical grokking curve where test error eventually approaches the final training error. Our work suggests that the number of metastable states equals the number of learnable features -- one per singular value of the data covariance -- the potential for hysteresis grows naturally with task complexity. We provide evidence that the same mechanism likely operates in general nonlinear DNNs. Our results provide routes toward more efficient learning schemes.

Why overparameterised deep networks generalise so remarkably well remains one of the most stubborn open questions in machine learning theory. Classical frameworks like VC dimension and Rademacher complexity predict catastrophic overfitting in modern models, leaving a massive theoretical gap between theory and reality. In this paper, we bridge this divide by introducing a unified framework that links information theory, topology, and statistical mechanics to map the hard limits of deep learning. Central to our approach is the Entropic Learnability Horizon (ELH): a fundamental law stating that a network can only truly learn a target function if the Shannon entropy of the data manifold outpaces the topological entropy of the function's decision boundary, balanced by the von Neumann entropy of the network's weight space. We establish the Shannon-Topological Bottleneck Theorem, proving that when a target boundary's geometric complexity exceeds this informational horizon, the system undergoes a sudden entropic phase transition. It falls into a state of Informational Frustration - a glassy, rigid memorization phase where generalization becomes thermodynamically impossible. Using this lens, we show that the enigmatic phenomenon of "grokking" is actually an Entropic Release, where weights abruptly reorganise to unlock the bottleneck. Finally, we translate this theory into practice with Entropic Gradient Descent (EGD), an optimization algorithm that dynamically manages weight entropy to keep learning on track. Ultimately, this work repositions entropy not just as a tool for tracking uncertainty but as the fundamental physical currency that dictates whether a machine can learn.