Interpretable Human-Label-Free Deep Learning for Real-Bogus Classification with Uncertainty Quantification

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope (Roman), set for launch as early as September 2026, will conduct wide-field infrared imaging surveys with unprecedented spatial resolution and cadence, enabling the discovery of millions of astronomical transients. Hence, it is necessary to have automated pipelines for generating alerts in place so that the telescope can begin discovering reliable transients and variable objects soon after it is launched. However, no real Roman data currently exist, making the development of such pipelines difficult. In this work, we present a machine learning model $RuBR$ and a general methodology for distinguishing genuine transient and variable detections from spurious (bogus) detections within the RAPID pipeline. In particular, we present three models using this methodology: $RuBR_{comb}$ trained and tested on combined locally injected and OpenUniverse2024 transients, $RuBR_{loc}$ trained on locally injected transients and tested on OpenUniverse2024 transients, and $RuBR_{DA}$ that combines locally injected transients with a fraction of OpenUniverse2024 transients in domain-adaptation mode for training. This paves the way for strategies to adapt the $RuBR_{comb}$ model to real observations in the absence of any ground-truth labels during the early phases of the Roman mission. While the image differencing pipeline continues to be improved, our experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach and its promise for robust real-bogus classification in the Roman era.

Astrophysical observations from Earth are subject to weather, environmental, and scientific constraints that lead to sparse, irregular light curves. On the eve of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time, its dataset offers unprecedented opportunities for transient science. Yet a key challenge remains its cadence, sparse and irregular across six bands, limiting inference. Interpolation helps mitigate this, with Gaussian Processes the standard, but they struggle with cross-band correlations, require a priori kernel specification, and must be fit to each light curve individually, hence scaling poorly. Here, we introduce the neural process family for light curve reconstruction, combining the probabilistic framework of Gaussian Processes with the scalability of deep learning. By meta-learning on diverse simulated transients, Attentive Neural Processes shift the bulk of computation to training, enabling rapid, amortized inference with a class-agnostic model. Evaluated on realistic Rubin cadences across 15 transient classes, we show that even an unoptimized, out-of-the-box Attentive Neural Process consistently outperforms all benchmarks -- a suite of Gaussian Processes and neural networks -- on every tested metric, spanning regression quality, astrophysical feature recovery, and probabilistic calibration. Our model interpolates all bands simultaneously in microseconds, over four orders of magnitude faster than the next-best neural benchmark and five faster than Gaussian Processes, demonstrating the potential of neural processes for the nightly Rubin alert stream. Attentive Neural Processes avoid the overconfidence of standard neural networks and the underconfidence of Gaussian Processes, delivering sharp, well-calibrated uncertainties. This work establishes the neural process family as a scalable, probabilistic foundation for real-time transient science in the Rubin era.

Supervised deep learning methods enable the rapid processing of ecological image data, but depend on a costly annotation process. Consequently, training labels are commonly derived from volunteer citizen science projects. However, disagreement among volunteers introduces uncertainty in the "ground truth" data that are assumed to be correct for model training and validation. Using two datasets containing camera trap images with associated volunteer and expert classifications, we investigated the effects of training under higher ground truth uncertainty. We observed improved overall test accuracy, particularly for images that were more difficult for volunteers. Species-level accuracy also generally improved, but generalisation to a different dataset did not. The benefits of ground truth uncertainty were enhanced by pre-training on ImageNet. Pre-training also reduced the number of training epochs required; further reductions in computational cost, but not gains in accuracy, resulted from additional pre-training on other camera trap images. With unbalanced training data, we still observed a clear benefit of increased ground truth uncertainty for overall accuracy, especially on difficult images. Class imbalance improved accuracy for common species, reduced rare species accuracy, and changed patterns of misclassification to more closely resemble mistakes made by volunteers. Our findings have implications for applying deep learning across ecological image types with multiple labels. Practitioners can improve accuracy, especially on difficult examples, by including moderate levels of label disagreement during training and using models pre-trained on general image data. In addition to improving the use of citizen science-derived labels in model training, our study suggests avenues for more effectively integrating human and deep learning classifications in combined workflows. (abridged)