modelDNA: Calibrated Lineage Verification and Merge Decomposition from Sampled Weight Fingerprints
Authors: Muhammad Awais Bin Adil, Saad Aamir
Organizations: Independent
Abstract
The lineage graph of open-weight language models is self-reported: Hugging Face's base_model metadata field is optional and unverified, and over 60% of Hub models document no parentage at all. Methods for detecting lineage from weights exist in the research literature, but each ships as paper code tied to one signal and one experiment; when a provenance dispute breaks, the analysis is redone by hand. This report describes modelDNA, a tool that fingerprints a model from roughly 100-300 MB of ranged HTTP reads (instead of a full 15 GB download for a 7B model), compares the fingerprint against a reference database of foundation models across four published signal families, and returns one of eight verdict classes with a calibrated probability, preferring honest abstention to confident error. On a benchmark of 15 real Hub models with org-documented parentage, judged against 8 candidate bases (13 positives, 107 hard negatives), the system achieves AUROC 1.0, zero false positives at its reporting threshold, and 13/13 correct top-1 parent attribution. The report's second contribution is merge decomposition. Every mainstream weight-merging method is (near-)linear per tensor, and fingerprint sample positions are deterministic functions of tensor identity, so a merged model's fingerprint is the same linear combination of its parents' fingerprints. Mixture weights can therefore be recovered from fingerprints alone by sum-to-one constrained least squares. Against merges with published mergekit configurations as ground truth, the method recovers a slerp merge's layer-interpolation curves at r = 0.999 and a dare_ties merge's mixture weights to within 0.011 of the published values, without downloading any weights beyond the fingerprints. All fingerprints, benchmarks, and the inferred lineage graph of 55 models are public and reproducible offline.
Establishing the provenance of a language model---including its base checkpoint and possible overlap in training distributions---is a governance challenge that metadata alone cannot resolve. We introduce a training-free fingerprint based on the top-k vocabulary projections of late hidden states elicited by 250 fixed knowledge probes, compared using Jaccard overlap over decoded token strings. We evaluate the method on 32 open-weight models from nine families (0.6B--32B) with documented relationships. (1)~A \emph{similarity ladder} broadly follows model relatedness: independently trained models on identical data score 0.48 raw (0.35 vocabulary-corrected), followed by shared-base fine-tunes (0.39/0.33), same-developer relatives (0.38/0.28), and models with no documented relationship (0.22/0.17). This identical-data signal persists across three organizations, two tokenizer families, and two architecture classes, and emerges within the first 1% of training before measurable task competence, suggesting a contribution from shared training data beyond capability convergence. (2)~As a nearest-neighbor \emph{lineage-retrieval} method, the fingerprint ranks the exact documented base among the top two candidates for all five R1 distillations (mean rank 1.8, MRR 0.60), including a math-specialized base not identifiable from coarse metadata. (3)~A \emph{depth ablation} shows that lineage group discrimination strengthens toward the output distribution, with AUC increasing from 0.72 at quarter depth to 0.90 at the output; using only the top 5 output tokens retains AUC 0.87. (4)~The fingerprint remains stable under quantization, with Jaccard similarity of 0.92 under int8 and 0.82--0.85 under int4, compared with a maximum cross-model similarity of 0.81 in the calibration pool. We release the probes, code, and fingerprints.
Open-weight large language models (LLMs) are increasingly developed through complex, multi-stage pipelines, leading to intricate lineage relationships that reflect model origin, ownership, and evolution. Understanding these relationships is important for model provenance, governance, and supply-chain integrity. In this work, we investigate the notion of LLM "biometrics" (analogous to human biometrics) to ask whether LLMs exhibit intrinsic fingerprints in weight space alone, without access to input data, that reveal their origin and lineage. We formulate this as a lineage discrimination problem, distinguishing among independent-origin, same-series, and shared-base models. To characterize these relationships, we propose a unified geometric fingerprinting framework that analyzes weight matrices from two complementary perspectives: (i) spectral energy, captured by singular value distributions to encode global magnitude patterns, and (ii) subspace alignment, quantified via subspace deviations to capture directional geometry. Our analysis uncovers a clear hierarchy of structural similarity in weight space: spectral energy reliably distinguishes independently trained models and different model families, while subspace alignment enables fine-grained discrimination among closely related models, including variations in dataset scale and post-training procedures. Extensive experiments on over 110 diverse open-weight LLM pairs demonstrate that weight-space geometry provides a robust and interpretable signal for model lineage, enabling coarse-grained regime separation and fine-grained discrimination within shared-base models.
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly released under restricted licenses, creating a growing need for robust model ownership verification. Existing fingerprinting methods are often fragile under downstream finetuning, require invasive training modifications, or fail in black-box settings. We introduce RAFP, a robust framework for identifying LLM lineages via rare-region fingerprints. Our key insight is that downstream finetuning primarily updates common high-density language behaviors, while low-probability prompt regions receive weak optimization signal and limited gradient alignment under finetuned distribution. As a result, rare prompt-response behaviors remain stable across common model adaptations. RAFP is non-invasive, constructing fingerprints via discrete gradient-based optimization over rare prompts without modifying model weights. We provide a theoretical analysis showing that the likelihood change of rare-region fingerprints under finetuning remains bounded. Experiments across four LLM families and multiple downstream adaptations, including supervised finetuning, LoRA, quantization, prompt-template variation, and decoding changes, show that RAFP achieves strong fingerprint persistence and substantially outperforms prior fingerprinting baselines in black-box settings.