Encoding Invisible Causation for Bridge Diagnostic Agents: Triple-Guided Retrieval-Augmented Fine-Tuning with QLoRA

Visual causal reasoning is essential for understanding and intervening in the physical world, requiring identification of causal variables from visual inputs and reasoning over intervention effects. Despite recent progress, large vision--language models (VLMs) remain brittle at such tasks, especially for interventional and counterfactual queries over multi-image inputs. Most existing explorations inject causal knowledge via textual prompts, leaving causal mechanisms external to model execution and limiting reliable control during inference. To address this problem, we propose BridgeVLM, which internalizes visual causal reasoning by inducing a causal graph from multi-image inputs and converting it into structured Causal Tokens executed by RAMP layers injected into the LLM decoder for causal message passing. We further introduce a unified training interface M3S for fine-grained causal supervision from different granularities (local/global level). BridgeVLM achieves 54.4% accuracy on intervention tasks on CausalVLBench (vs. 33.2% with prompt-level supervision), improves results on Causal3D from 43.6% to 49.0%, and substantially improves causal structure learning on CausalVLBench ($F_1$: 33.4% $\rightarrow$ 75.1%).

Autoregressive chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning in large language models (LLMs) is fundamentally forward-directed: each step conditions only on prior tokens. This unidirectional inductive bias renders even capable models susceptible to error snowballing, wherein a single logical or arithmetic mistake in an early step irreversibly corrupts the entire reasoning chain. We introduce Teleological Reasoning Infilling (\TRI{}), a training framework that endows decoder-only transformers with a native \emph{goal-conditioned bridging} capability. The key insight is to reframe erroneous reasoning segments as fill-in-the-middle (FIM) tasks: given a verified prefix premise $P$, a verified downstream milestone $S$, and the original query $Q$, the model must synthesise the logical bridge $M$ that connects $P$ to $S$ rigorously and completely. To achieve this with standard causal architectures, we introduce a Prefix-Suffix-Middle (PSM) sequence rearrangement with three non-overlapping sentinel tokens, enabling $M$ to attend to both $P$ and $S$ without any structural modification to the self-attention mechanism. Training proceeds in two stages: (i) Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) on symbolically verified $(P, S, M)$ triples extracted from formal mathematics corpora, and (ii) Direct Preference Optimisation (DPO) with a deterministic symbolic verifier (Lean 4 / Python) as the sole reward oracle, eliminating LLM-judge sycophancy. At inference, TRI operates as a surgical repair module within a dual-system loop: a causal draft model generates an initial trace, the verifier pinpoints failures, and TRI infills only the damaged segment, leaving verified sections intact. Comprehensive experiments on three benchmarks demonstrate that TRI achieves state-of-the-art performance across all tasks, while reducing per-problem token expenditure by 31.2%.

Root cause analysis (RCA) poses a holistic test of LLM agentic capabilities, such as long-context understanding, multi-step reasoning, and tool use. However, existing datasets suffer from a fundamental gap: they label only the root cause, not the propagation path connecting it to the observed symptom, which largely simplifies the task to naive pattern matching. To support rigorous evaluation, we introduce PAVE, a step-wise labeling protocol that leverages known interventions from fault injection to reconstruct causal propagation paths. The mechanism is forward verification: reasoning from cause to effect rather than inferring backward from symptoms. Applying PAVE yields OpenRCA 2.0 (500 instances), the first cross-system RCA benchmark with step-wise causal annotations for LLM agents. Across 11 frontier LLMs, recovering the exact root-cause set succeeds in only 20.7% of cases on average. To locate where this difficulty lies, we relax the criterion and find what we call the ungrounded diagnosis: agents identify at least one correct root-cause service in 76.0% of cases, but ground that service in a verified causal propagation path to the observed symptom in only 61.5%. Outcome-only evaluation hides this failure mode; step-wise causal ground truth is the missing piece for trustworthy LLM-based RCA agents.