Localized Anomaly Detection via Differentiable D-vine Copulas

Modeling high-dimensional dependencies while keeping likelihoods tractable remains challenging. Classical vine-copula pipelines are interpretable but can be expensive, while many neural estimators are flexible but less structured. In this work, we propose Vine Denoising Copula (VDC), an amortized vine-copula pipeline for continuous-data, simplified-vine dependence modeling. VDC trains a single bivariate denoising model and reuses it across all vine edges. For each edge, given pseudo-observations, the model predicts a piecewise-constant density grid. We then apply an IPFP/Sinkhorn projection that normalizes mass and drives the marginals to uniformity. This preserves the tractable vine-likelihood structure and the usual copula interpretation while replacing repeated per-edge optimization with GPU inference. Across synthetic and real-data benchmarks, VDC delivers strong bivariate density accuracy, competitive MI/TC estimation, and faster high-dimensional vine fitting. These gains make explicit information estimation and dependence decomposition feasible when repeated vine fitting would otherwise be costly, while conditional downstream tasks remain a limitation.

Time-varying dependence is often modeled with dynamic correlations or Gaussian graphical models, but multivariate systems can change through tail behavior, asymmetry, or conditional structure even when correlations are nearly stable. We introduce Dynamic Vine Copulas (DVC), a temporal vine-copula framework for estimating and diagnosing sequence-wide non-Gaussian dependence. DVC fixes a chosen vine factorization for comparability; the framework applies to C-, D-, and R-vines, and our experiments use fixed-root-order C-vines. Pair-copula states evolve through smooth parameter trajectories or temporally regularized family-switching paths. The main diagnostic is a held-out comparison between a full vine and its matched 1-truncated version, which separates flexible first-tree pairwise dependence from evidence contributed by higher-tree conditional terms. At the population level, under a correct fixed vine and the simplifying assumption, this contrast equals the higher-tree component of a vine total-correlation decomposition; in finite samples, it is a predictive diagnostic. In controlled benchmarks, DVC detects Student-t degrees-of-freedom changes, Clayton-to-Gumbel switches, and recurrent conditional-interaction episodes missed or conflated by Gaussian dynamic baselines. The higher-tree score remains near zero in pairwise-only regimes and rises during conditional-interaction regimes. On Allen Visual Behavior Neuropixels data, DVC identifies a reproducible time-indexed higher-tree signal that is positive across held-out splits and vanishes under a decorrelated null, indicating simultaneous cross-area dependence. DVC therefore provides a flexible temporal copula model and an interpretable test of whether temporal dependence changes are pairwise or conditional.

Visual anomaly detection requires adaptive representations and reliable decision boundaries, particularly when anomalous training samples are scarce and class distributions are highly imbalanced. Classical kernel-based methods yield principled geometric decision regions but typically operate on fixed features, while deep detectors learn task-specific representations but often fail to provide an explicit margin-aware kernel boundary. In this study, we propose DLM-SVDD, a deep large-margin novelty-detection framework that jointly learns convolutional features and an explicit kernel-based decision boundary. By drawing on the large-margin $\ell_p$-Support Vector Data Description ($\ell_p$-SVDD) approach, the proposed method performs explicit margin maximization and nonlinear slack penalization while adapting the representation to the target task. To train the proposed model, we present an optimization scheme that alternates between a Frank--Wolfe--based update of the convex dual boundary and a CNN update step operating on a smooth margin-violation loss induced by the recovered boundary. To improve scalability, we analyze the efficiency--accuracy trade-offs for different kernel approximation strategies, deriving practical propositions for large-scale anomaly detection. Extensive experiments on multiple standard benchmarks show consistent performance improvements over the baseline and strong overall performance compared with state-of-the-art methods while illustrating that the proposed joint representation--boundary learning scheme remains effective under severe imbalanced class distributions.