Organizations: Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering BITS Pilani, Hyderabad Campus · Department of Computer Science & Information Systems BITS Pilani, Hyderabad Campus · Department of Computer Science & Information Systems2026 BITS Pilani, Hyderabad Campus
Abstract
Wireless Body Area Networks (WBANs) generate multivariate physiological time series that are highly nonstationary and must often be processed under strict computational and memory constraints. A critical yet underexplored challenge in this setting is selecting an appropriate temporal receptive field, which serves as a strong inductive bias for anomaly detection models. Existing approaches typically rely on fixed temporal contexts, which can perform inconsistently across heterogeneous signal regimes and require dataset-specific tuning. We propose ORCA, an agentically controlled anomaly detection framework that dynamically adapts the temporal receptive field at inference time based on lightweight signal statistics. Rather than introducing additional trainable parameters or learned policies, ORCA employs a supervisory controller that autonomously selects among discrete temporal contexts, enabling state-dependent inductive bias adaptation without retraining. Across a custom WBAN dataset, ORCA achieves performance comparable to the strongest fixed-context baselines (AUROC = 0.99) while eliminating the need to tune temporal horizons in advance. We further evaluate ORCA on MIMIC-IV as a challenging out-of-distribution benchmark, observing conservative generalization behavior without performance collapse under heterogeneous clinical conditions. These results highlight adaptive temporal inductive bias control as a practical and robust design principle for anomaly detection in resource-constrained, nonstationary physiological time series.
We propose a post-hoc adaptive conformal anomaly detection method for monitoring time series that leverages predictions from pre-trained foundation models without requiring additional fine-tuning. Our method yields an interpretable anomaly score directly interpretable as a false alarm rate (p-value), facilitating transparent and actionable decision-making. It employs weighted quantile conformal prediction bounds and adaptively learns optimal weighting parameters from past predictions, enabling calibration under distribution shifts and stable false alarm control, while preserving out-of-sample guarantees. As a model-agnostic solution, it integrates seamlessly with foundation models and supports rapid deployment in resource-constrained environments. This approach addresses key industrial challenges such as limited data availability, lack of training expertise, and the need for immediate inference, while taking advantage of the growing accessibility of time series foundation models. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets show that the proposed approach delivers strong performance, combining simplicity, interpretability, robustness, and adaptivity.
Natalia Martinez Gil, Fearghal O'Donncha, Wesley M. Gifford +3
While deep learning models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in time series anomaly detection, their complex architectures incur substantial inference overhead. Existing methods typically apply a uniform inference strategy across all data points, which is inefficient given that anomalies are inherently scarce and the vast majority of temporal data consists of predictable normal patterns. To mitigate this bottleneck, we propose CARE, a model-agnostic cascaded inference framework that integrates a Lightweight Pre-filter Model (LPM) with an existing high-capacity Complex Detection Model (CDM). The LPM rapidly filters high-confidence normal samples using a Residual MLP AutoEncoder and a Normality-Conditioned Gating mechanism. Crucially, we introduce a Structure Attention module to explicitly capture channel-wise anomaly contributions, and optimize the gating network via a confidence-guided selective routing objective that learns reliable routing decisions to reduce unnecessary CDM invocations. Extensive experiments across eight real-world benchmarks demonstrate that CARE effectively isolates high-confidence normal samples. By routing only uncertain samples to the CDM, our framework achieves 2.7× to 4.8× inference speedup compared to the most accurate SOTA approaches, while still maintaining competitive detection quality.
Root cause analysis (RCA) for time-series anomaly detection is critical for the reliable operation of complex real-world systems. Existing explanation methods often rely on unrealistic feature perturbations and ignore temporal and cross-feature dependencies, leading to unreliable attributions. We propose a conditional attribution framework that explains anomalies relative to contextually similar normal system states. Instead of using marginal or randomly sampled baselines, our method retrieves representative normal instances conditioned on the anomalous observation, enabling dependency-preserving and operationally meaningful explanations. To support high-dimensional time-series data, contextual retrieval is performed in learned low-dimensional representations using both variational autoencoder latent spaces and UMAP manifold embeddings. By grounding the retrieval process in the system's learned manifold, this strategy avoids out-of-distribution artifacts and ensures attribution fidelity while maintaining computational efficiency. We further introduce confidence-aware and temporal evaluation metrics for assessing explanation reliability and responsiveness. Experiments on the SWaT and MSDS benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed approach consistently improves root-cause identification accuracy, temporal localization, and robustness across multiple anomaly detection models. These results highlight the practical utility of conditional attribution for explainable anomaly diagnosis in complex time-series systems. Code and models are available at: https://github.com/dfki-av/Conditional-Attribution-for-Root-Cause-Analysis-in-Time-Series-Anomaly-Detection.