VIDS-Seg: Towards Reliable Uncertainty Quantification in Pediatric Cardiac Ultrasound Segmentation

Cross-dataset generalisation remains a major barrier to clinical deployment of echocardiographic left ventricular segmentation, yet the sources of this shift are rarely disentangled. We examined whether transfer degradation could be estimated before deployment using handcrafted ultrasound descriptors, VAE latent features, and segmentation-derived latent features across six echocardiographic datasets. Geometry-aware preprocessing substantially improved several poor transfer cases, suggesting that much of the apparent domain shift reflects field-of-view and framing inconsistencies rather than intrinsic acoustic differences alone. Intensity z-normalisation changed dataset separability by less than 0.005, indicating that brightness and contrast are not the dominant shift axis. Absolute Dice drop on held-out source-target pairs was predicted with an R-squared value of 0.612, an MAE of 0.082, and a Spearman rho of 0.681. The variant without LV and fan-shaped features retained approximately 70% of this explanatory power, supporting mask-free transfer-risk monitoring. The most informative discrepancy measure depended on the representation, with CMD strongest in z-normalised handcrafted features, with an absolute r of approximately 0.86 and an R-squared value of approximately 0.70; log-Wasserstein strongest in VAE space, with an r of approximately -0.90 and an R-squared value of approximately 0.81; and log-MMD strongest in LV-segmentation latent features, with an r of approximately -0.92 and an R-squared value of approximately 0.84. Apparent vendor effects were largely dataset-confounded. Echocardiographic domain shift is therefore structured and measurable, and its impact on segmentation can be partly reduced through geometry-aware preprocessing and anticipated using representation-specific transfer-risk estimation.

Accurate estimation of left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) from echocardiography is central to cardiovascular care, and deep learning enables automated EF prediction from echocardiographic video. Because EF is clinically derived from left-ventricular (LV) volumes, a widely held intuition is that explicit LV segmentation should improve prediction. We introduce a quantitative criterion, the segmentation ceiling, that makes this testable: from EF as a normalized difference of end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes, we derive in closed form how per-frame segmentation area error propagates into EF error, and thus the accuracy a mask must reach before it can improve on direct regression. Using EchoNet-Dynamic, a UniFormer-S backbone, and the empirically measured within-patient error correlation, the criterion places the break-even near 10% per-frame area error, whereas a representative segmenter operates at roughly 14%, above the ceiling. Consistent with this, four strategies for injecting segmentation or area information (a predicted-mask channel, end-diastolic/end-systolic clip sampling, and per-bin and amplitude area-consistency objectives) fail to beat a raw-video baseline; ground-truth masks help only through label leakage. Input representation thus not being the limit, we identify generalization as the practical lever: weight averaging with strong augmentation attains a test R^2 of 0.806 (MAE 4.08) under a matched dense-clip protocol, comparable to an R(2+1)D baseline (0.811) while tightening the validation-to-test gap. Finally, a heteroscedastic beta-NLL formulation yields informative, well-calibrated per-prediction uncertainty, larger for clinically harder low-EF cases, where Monte-Carlo dropout does not. The segmentation ceiling gives a concrete design criterion for when mask-guided EF estimation is worthwhile, plus a simple, uncertainty-aware recipe for EF regression.

Ultrasound video segmentation is clinically valuable yet difficult due to speckle noise, weak boundaries, and rapid anatomical deformation. Recent promptable foundation models enable point-guided segmentation, but their direct deployment in ultrasound remains unreliable: a single point provides insufficient spatial context to resolve scale ambiguity, and greedy memory updates amplify early errors into severe temporal drift. We present EchoPilot, a training-free framework for ultrasound video segmentation under sparse first-frame interaction, requiring only a single point click and an anatomical category name. EchoPilot orchestrates a frozen medical vision-language model (VLM) for semantic localization, a vision foundation model (VFM) for dense geometric feature extraction, and a promptable video segmentor for mask prediction and propagation. To resolve initialization ambiguity, we propose Scale-Space Semantic Prompting, which first selects an optimal contextual view via a parameter-free S.E.E.D. (Semantic Energy-Entropy Density) criterion, and then synthesizes geometrically precise auxiliary point prompts from dense foundation features without additional user interaction. To reduce propagation drift, a Reliability-Gated Memory update is further introduced to selectively freeze the segmentor's memory bank under uncertain predictions, preventing error accumulation. We also contribute the first dynamic fetal placenta ultrasound video segmentation dataset with 671 annotated frames. Across three ultrasound video datasets, EchoPilot achieves state-of-the-art performance under the sparse-interactive setting, consistently outperforming training-free baselines and finetuned specialists.