AI-Driven Multiscenario Interest Rate Forecasting: A Proof of Concept for Banking Asset Management

The rapid evolution of financial technology demands sophisticated artificial intelligence systems capable of handling diverse challenges across multiple domains simultaneously. This paper presents a groundbreaking unified framework that seamlessly integrates Proximal Policy Optimization for robo-advisory systems, advanced time-series prediction models for high-frequency trading, in-context learning mechanisms for dynamic investment advisory, game-theoretic approaches for competitive banking scenarios, and unified embeddings for cross-modal financial sentiment analysis. Our comprehensive framework addresses the critical gap in existing literature where these technologies have been developed in isolation, failing to leverage their synergistic potential. Through extensive experimentation across multiple financial datasets and real-world scenarios, we demonstrate that our integrated approach achieves superior performance compared to specialized single-domain systems. Specifically, our framework shows a 23.7% improvement in portfolio optimization metrics, reduces prediction error in high-frequency trading by 31.2%, enhances investment recommendation accuracy by 18.9%, optimizes competitive banking strategies with a 27.4% increase in Nash equilibrium convergence speed, and improves sentiment analysis accuracy by 15.6% through cross-modal fusion. The theoretical foundation of our work establishes convergence guarantees for the integrated optimization problem, while our empirical results validate the practical applicability across diverse financial institutions. This research not only advances the state-of-the-art in financial AI but also provides a blueprint for developing comprehensive intelligent systems that can adapt to the complex, interconnected nature of modern financial markets.

Using Chronos-2, an open-source time-series foundation model, we evaluate pretrained time-series models for economic and financial forecasting with an emphasis on whether multivariate (MV) inputs improve accuracy relative to univariate (UV) baselines. The study covers two panels -- the Magnificent-7 equities and U.S. Treasury interest rates -- as well as a combined panel, using rolling monthly evaluations from 2000--2025. We vary input window lengths and forecast horizons and report RMSE and MAPE. Across datasets, MV forecasts consistently outperform UV forecasts, with especially strong gains for interest rates and meaningful improvements for equities. Series-level comparisons show MV improvements in every case, and error dispersion is generally lower under MV inputs. We also provide parameter-heatmap and time-series visualizations. However, mixing time series across equity and interest rate markets reduces forecast accuracy, indicating that adding noisy context degrades model performance. Overall, the results indicate that foundation models can leverage cross-series information to improve forecast accuracy in finance, and that the benefits are strongest when related series are modeled jointly under disciplined rolling protocols. Other than using an open-source foundation model, this paper also showcases how AI may be used for financial research.

The integration of large language models (LLMs) in economic simulations has significantly enhanced agent-based modeling, yet existing frameworks struggle to capture the interplay between short-term optimization and long-term strategic planning. Conventional approaches rely on static data-driven predictions, failing to incorporate adaptive behaviors influenced by economic sentiment, market volatility, and individual goals. To address these limitations, we introduce a novel EconAI framework, incorporating economic sentiment indexing (ESI), memory weighting, and dynamic decision-making mechanisms. By quantifying economic belief, adjusting historical data influence, and linking work-consumption behaviors, EconAI achieves a more human-like decision process, where agents adapt their actions based on both market signals and long-term objectives. It is the first LLM-powered simulation system that can simulate the macro/microeconomic environment and interactions in a unified framework. Empirical evaluations show that EconAI improves stability in economic responses, better replicates real-world employment-consumption cycles, and enhances overall decision robustness. This advancement marks a crucial step towards more realistic, adaptive economic agent simulations.