cs.LGAug 13, 2026

Sampling Luck Masquerades as Allocation Gain: Auditing Test-Time Budget Allocation for Neural Combinatorial Optimization

Authors: Jinhyung Bae

Abstract

Neural combinatorial optimization (NCO) solvers report the best of many sampled solutions per instance, and the sample count is, by convention, identical for every instance. Whether a non-uniform allocation of a fixed total budget would buy anything has not been measured. We measure it, and we audit the measurement itself. First, on in-distribution workloads the allocation headroom is not detectable. Across three pretrained solvers (POMO, AM, SymNCO) on uniform TSP-100, an oracle allocation computed and evaluated on the same stored samples reports a 2.2-2.6% gain with intervals excluding zero; measured out of sample the same gain is indistinguishable from zero (0.457, 0.015, -0.512 percent). Following the customary in-sample procedure, all three solvers would have supported a published 2%-level gain that does not exist. We calibrate this bias against an instance-wise null in which the true gain is zero by construction; over the ranges we test it does not shrink with more samples or more instances. Second, the same correction that removes the phantom gains preserves a real one. Under distribution shift (a workload mixing uniform and clustered instances), a pre-registered confirmatory experiment finds that allocation guided by held-out sample statistics improves best-of-k by 11.5% (AM, primary endpoint; 95% CI [7.4, 19.7]) and 12.0% (SymNCO, replication) at equal evaluation budget, with the signal-acquisition cost not charged; a pre-registered negative control (POMO, an order of magnitude more robust to shift) shows -0.3% [-0.7, 0.24]. The gain exceeds a frozen distribution-label baseline by 4.2 points [1.9, 7.7]. An exploratory policy charging a 20-sample probe against the same budget retains 3.4% (AM) and 4.6% (SymNCO). We give a correction procedure and a reporting checklist, and release all data, code, and the pre-registration record.

Explore similar work

CardsList
Aug 12, 2026stat.ML

SSPO: Structure-Aware Similarity-Weighted Preference Optimization for Neural Combinatorial Optimization

Neural combinatorial optimization (NCO) relies on parallel solution sampling for training, yet existing methods fail to fully exploit the rich information latent in a co-sampled solution group. Preference-optimization methods anchor on the single best solution and discard fine-grained quality and structural signal from all other peers-a failure we term gradient signal polarization. Mean-based baselines instead weight peers uniformly, so structurally near-identical peers flood the baseline with redundant information and keep gradient variance high-a failure we term baseline redundancy. We propose SSPO (Structure-Aware Similarity-Weighted Preference Optimization), which scores all BB sampled solutions jointly through a dissimilarity-weighted leave-one-out baseline: structurally distinct peers receive higher weight, resolving both failures in a single mechanism. The baseline uses zero-parameter, problem-adaptive solution embeddings built from the encoder's existing node representations. Experiments on TSP, EFL, and JSP benchmarks show consistent gains over prior best-anchor and uniform-weight baselines. A direct comparison against uniform RLOO on TSP and EFL confirms that structure-aware weighting is the primary driver of improvement. The SSPO-trained EFL policy has been deployed in a production facility-location system at JD.\mathord{.}com, confirming practical viability at scale.
Yuanyu Li, Jintao Xu, Zijiang Liu +6
Combinatorial OptimizationTopic-Disjoint Direct Preference Optimization DataStructure-AwarePolaris
AskPDF
May 14, 2026cs.LG

An Amortized Efficiency Threshold for Comparing Neural and Heuristic Solvers in Combinatorial Optimization

A common critique of neural combinatorial-optimization solvers is that they are less energy-efficient than CPU metaheuristics, given the operational energy cost of training them on GPUs. This paper examines the inferential step from "training is expensive" to "neural solvers are net-inefficient", which is where the critique actually goes wrong. Training the network costs a large fixed amount of GPU energy; running the metaheuristic costs a small amount of CPU energy on every instance, repeated as long as the solver is deployed. The two are not commensurable until a deployment volume is fixed. We define the Amortized Efficiency Threshold (AET) as the deployment volume above which a neural solver breaks even with a heuristic baseline in total energy or carbon, under an explicit constraint on solution quality. We show that the cumulative-energy ratio between the two solvers tends to a constant strictly below one whenever the network wins per instance, and that this limit does not depend on how the training cost was measured. An embodied-carbon term amortizes hardware fabrication symmetrically on both sides. We instantiate the framework on the CVRP environment at n=50 customers with the attention-based autoregressive solver of Kool et al. (2019), trained for 100 epochs on 20,000 instances over five random seeds, and HGS via PyVRP as the heuristic baseline. The measured operational crossover sits near 4.56e3 deployed instances at the median of a six-point baseline-budget sweep; the per-instance neural-to-heuristic ratio is 2.29e-3. The contribution is the framework, the open instrumentation, and the end-to-end measurement protocol. Code and benchmark pipeline are available at https://github.com/sohaibafifi/aet.
Sohaib Afifi
Neural SolversCombinatorial OptimizationMetaheuristicsHeuristics
AskPDF
Jul 30, 2026cs.LG

AutoPref: Automatic Discovery of Task-Specific Preference Objectives for Neural Combinatorial Optimization

Combinatorial optimization problems (COPs) underpin many real-world decisions, but their exponentially large search spaces make high-quality solutions costly to obtain. Neural combinatorial optimization (NCO) learns fast construction policies, typically with reinforcement learning (RL), while preference-based NCO improves sample efficiency by learning from relative solution quality. However, existing preference objectives combine two distinct design choices in manually specified, one-size-fits-all formulations: what learning signal to extract from each solution pair and how to weight each pair relative to the sampled set. We present AutoPref, the first LLM-guided framework for automated preference-objective discovery in NCO. AutoPref factorizes the objective into a pairwise loss program, which defines the learning signal, and a set-aware weighting program, which determines each pair's relative contribution. Their composition forms a unified programmatic objective space containing existing preference objectives as special cases. To make its search tractable, we introduce a staged conditional search strategy with behavioral gates that filter inadmissible programs before short-horizon training and evaluation. Across TSP, CVRP, FFSP, and JSSP, AutoPref consistently outperforms strong hand-designed baselines across problem scales, demonstrating the benefits and scalability of automated objective discovery for NCO.
Shengda Gu, Kai Li, Xinyi Ke +3
Combinatorial Optimization
AskPDF