Beyond Peak Backlog: Conditional Energy and Temporal Geometry in Capacity-Constrained Delayed Bandit Optimization

Online learning with delayed feedback typically assumes that the learner can track all pending rounds until their feedback arrives. In practice, tracking resources are finite, and feedback from untracked rounds is permanently lost. In this paper, we study delayed online convex optimization (OCO) under a hard capacity constraint, where at most $C$ pending rounds can be tracked at any time. To model delay information, we introduce a semi-clairvoyant model that refines the clairvoyant assumption from prior work: rather than requiring delays to be known at prediction time, the learner observes delay expirations online, consistent with the classical unconstrained delayed setting. Our approach proceeds via a reduction to a novel ``delayed and weighted'' OCO problem, using a scheduler that randomizes tracking decisions and importance-weights the resulting observations. For this base problem, we propose and analyze Delayed-Weighted FTRL and its bandit analogue, establishing regret bounds that explicitly characterize the interaction between time-varying weights and delayed feedback. Combining these base learners with our schedulers yields the first regret guarantees for capacity-constrained OCO under convex and strongly convex losses, for both first-order and bandit feedback. For first-order feedback, capacity $C = Ω(\log T)$ suffices to recover standard delayed OCO rates up to logarithmic factors. For bandit feedback, the regret rates are modulated by powers of $(1 + σ_{\text{max}}/C)$, where $σ_{\text{max}}$ is the maximum number of pending observations at any time. This allows the regret bound to degrade gracefully when $C < σ_{\text{max}}$, while remaining sublinear.

We study stochastic linear bandits with delayed feedback under several delay models and establish near-optimal regret guarantees. Our results identify when delayed linear bandits exhibit the same qualitative behavior as multi-armed bandits (MAB), and when the linear structure creates fundamentally new challenges. Specifically, (1) for loss-independent delays, where the delay does not depend on the realized loss (but potentially depends on the arm), we show that delays incur only an additive regret penalty. Under stochastic delays, this penalty scales with the expected delay, while under adversarial delays, it scales with the maximum number of outstanding observations. Notably, both delay penalties are dimension-free, improving upon the state-of-the-art results; (2) for loss-dependent delays, we show that linear bandits are substantially harder than MAB: unlike in MAB, we prove matching (up to log factors) upper and lower bounds in linear bandits, whose delay penalty depends on the square root of the dimension. (3) for the delay-as-payoff model, a special case of loss-dependent delay, we show that the optimal MAB guarantee, which depends only on the delay of the optimal arm, is also unattainable in linear bandits. Together, these results provide a sharp characterization of how delayed feedback interacts with linear generalization.

We establish near-optimal regret bounds for budget-constrained online learning against arbitrary classes of budget-pacing experts in the adversarial setting. In particular, given any class of $F$ experts and a candidate budget pacing schedule, we provide a full-information algorithm which obtains regret $O(D \sqrt{\log F}+ \sqrt{T\log F})$ against all experts whose cumulative spending stays within distance $D$ of this schedule, matching lower bounds established by Braverman et al. (2025). We additionally show that our technique extends to various problems in online resource allocation, where the learner gets to see the rewards and costs of the current options available to them, and establish $O(D\sqrt{\log F})$ regret bounds when fractional allocation is allowed. This is the first algorithm we are aware of which can achieve $o(\sqrt{T})$ guarantees for such tasks.