MAIL: Memory-driven, Adaptive, Incremental, and Literature-grounded Framework for Hypothesis Generation in Chemistry

Reaction mechanisms consist of the step-by-step sequences of elementary reactions that explain chemical transformations. Learning the mechanism logic is therefore essential for enhancing the fundamental chemical intelligence of large language models (LLMs). The stepwise deduction of reaction mechanism aligns naturally with the reasoning paradigms of reasoning LLMs. However, current chemical LLMs primarily emphasize coarse-grained name reactions for product prediction and retrosynthesis, often leading to physical inconsistencies and hallucinations. In contrast, specialized small-scale generative models for mechanism inference typically suffer from restricted generalization capacity across diverse chemical spaces. To overcome these limitations, we built a novel, large-scale reasoning dataset of reaction mechanisms. Furthermore, we established the FukuyamaBench, a difficult benchmark derived from Fukuyama's Advanced Organic Reaction Mechanism book, to rigorously evaluate model performance on hierarchical mechanism reasoning. Our fine-tuned Qwen3-30B-A3B achieves 8.3% exact pathway match on FukuyamaBench Set~A, surpassing the specialized FlowER model (5.1%), demonstrating that mechanism-aware training substantially enhances chemical reasoning in language models.

Large language models (LLMs) are on the rise for accelerating scientific discovery, most recently in advanced tasks such as generating valid scientific hypotheses. Yet in many discovery settings, the goal is not to identify a single best hypothesis since validation can be noisy and expensive, and scientists benefit from a set of high-quality alternative hypotheses that hedge against downstream uncertainty for the best solutions. Nevertheless, commonly used evolutionary search recipes tend to prioritize optimization over exploration in hypothesis generation, and the resulting selection pressure during the search process leads to diversity collapse. Motivated by these limitations, we formulate hypothesis search as a sampling problem, where the objective is to efficiently produce diverse, high-quality hypotheses under a fixed validation budget. Building on this perspective, we propose \ours, an evolutionary framework inspired by the classical parallel tempering algorithm that searches hypotheses at multiple temperature levels and enables principled information exchange across temperatures to improve exploration without disrupting convergence. Across domains including molecular discovery, equation discovery, and algorithm discovery, our approach consistently improves both hypothesis quality and diversity under the same validation budget, and produces candidates that remain robust under more expensive downstream computational validations.

Scientific discovery is an inherently creative and uncertain process, requiring reasoning beyond the recall of known knowledge. While many benchmarks have been proposed to evaluate large language model (LLM) performance on deep research tasks via multi-hop retrieval, their innovative reasoning abilities essential for true scientific discovery remain largely untested. We introduce a benchmark framework for evaluating model performance in scientific discovery and reasoning, building up from a raw problem to the classical null hypothesis test. In our framework, models initially receive only the topic and research question from a recent paper, with technical details progressively revealed. At each stage of information disclosure, the model is tasked with generating hypotheses that address the research question, which is compared with the conclusions from the original paper and evaluated via automated semantic similarity of constituent atomic claims. This progressive evaluation of semantic divergence from ground-truth conclusions enables assessment of a model's innovativeness (under minimal information) to grounded reasoning capabilities (under full experimental details), both critical for using LLMs for scientific discovery purposes. Our framework provides a foundation for systematically evaluating scientific reasoning and discovery capabilities in LLMs, crucial for advancing the development of next-generation AI scientist/co-scientist systems. Specifically, here we evaluate GPT-5, GPT-5.4, Gemini 2.5 pro, and Gemini 3.1 pro preview across 45 papers spanning bioactive materials, mechanical materials, and nanomaterials. We find that GPT-5.4 and Gemini 3.1 pro outperform their previous generation counterparts as expected, and GPT-5.4 in particular maintains 0.7 F1 score alignment with ground truth conclusions even under minimal context.