Blind Men and the Elephant: Probing the Epistemic Myopia of LLMs under Long-Tail Divergent Knowledge
Organizations: Tsinghua University · Tencent Youtu Lab · University of Warwick
Abstract
Factual question answering (QA) typically assumes a single canonical answer, obscuring whether large language models (LLMs) retain divergent accounts of long-tail facts. To address this gap, we introduce ElephantBench, a closed-book knowledge probe comprising 1,094 questions generated through an auditable graph-based pipeline. The pipeline retrieves related documents from a low-exposure web corpus, identifies naturally occurring disagreements, and converts them into multi-account QA records. Each answer is verified against the originating documents and authoritative public web sources and is then reviewed by human annotators. Across 32 models, even the strongest model recovers both accounts on only 52.4% of questions, while on nearly all remaining questions it recalls one account but omits the other. Scaling model size and inference-time reasoning improve recall but do not eliminate this incompleteness. Corpus analysis further shows that exposure imbalance favors the dominant account, whereas greater minority-side exposure is associated with more complete recall. These findings establish ElephantBench as a reproducible knowledge probe for diagnosing epistemic myopia in parametric memory. More broadly, our graph-based benchmark construction pipeline provides an efficient and scalable way to turn long-tail corpora into source-traceable knowledge probes, supporting efforts to evaluate and advance the epistemic rigour of next-generation LLMs. Code is available at https://github.com/Tencent/ElephantBench.
Figures & tables
| Model | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Proprietary models | ||||
| Gemini-3.1-Pro [ 7 ] | 50.37 | 47.44 | 2.19 | 51.50 |
| GPT-5.5 [ 25 ] | 50.18 | 47.17 | 2.65 | 51.55 |
| Gemini-3.5-Flash [ 8 ] | 48.63 | 49.36 | 2.01 | 49.63 |
| GPT-5.6-Sol [ 26 ] | 44.97 | 52.19 | 2.83 | 46.28 |
| Claude-Opus-4.8 [ 1 ] | 44.15 | 50.46 | 5.39 | 46.67 |
Appendix figures & tables11 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Model | Temperature | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3.6-35B-A3B [ 30 ] | 16.00 | 56.22 | 27.79 | 22.15 | |
| 15.81 ( ) | 57.50 ( ) | 26.69 ( ) | 21.57 ( ) | ||
| Qwen3.5-35B-A3B [ 28 ] | 20.66 | 56.31 | 23.03 | 26.84 | |
| 20.93 ( ) | 56.40 ( ) | 22.67 ( ) | 27.07 ( ) | ||
| GPT-OSS-120B [ 24 ] | 22.67 | 52.93 | 24.41 | 29.99 | |
| 22.49 ( ) | 54.48 ( ) | 23.03 ( ) | 29.22 ( ) |
| Side | Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Majority | ||||
| Minority |
| Domain | Item | Verified values | Outcome counts | Typical response pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| People, Organizations, and Events | Mother Teresa’s birth date | August 26, 1910; August 27, 1910 | 18 complete; 13 partial; 1 failed | Complete answers typically identify August 26 as the date of birth and August 27 as the baptism date she regarded as her “true birthday.” |
| Consumer Products and Services | USD price of the Freedom 251 | USD 4; USD 7 | 0 complete; 24 partial; 8 failed | Partial answers almost uniformly repeat the widely reported price of approximately USD 4 while omitting the USD 7 report. |
| Public Health | Worldwide death toll of the 1918 Spanish Flu | 50 million; upwards of 100 million | 30 complete; 2 partial; 0 failed | Models frequently preserve both values as alternative historical estimates rather than forcing a single exact count. |
| History | Year Mary Leakey discovered the Laetoli footprints | 1975; 1978 | 0 complete; 25 partial; 7 failed | Models tend to return one familiar discovery year without recovering the less repeated account. |
| Atmospheric Science | Geographic extent of the Little Ice Age | global; regional | 23 complete; 9 partial; 0 failed | The competing scopes form a salient conceptual contrast that many models can state explicitly. |
| Applied Economics | Founding year of Grameen Bank | 1974; 1976 | 0 complete; 27 partial; 5 failed | Models generally retain one milestone year but not both reported founding dates. |
LLM Evaluation
Large language model evaluation measures what models can do, how reliably they do it, and whether benchmark scores predict real-world performance.
See all 2,408 papers