Uniform Statistical Convergence of Empirical Sinkhorn Potentials with Exponential and Polynomial Dependence on the Regularization Parameter

We study statistical rates in entropic optimal transport in the semi-discrete regime where one measure has finite support and the other is subGaussian. Our main result establishes parametric convergence rates for the empirical dual potentials to their population counterparts, with no dimension dependence in the leading term. Our result relies on tailored strong concavity analysis of the semi-dual objective, coupled with specialized bounds for the semi-discrete potentials. As a consequence, we obtain fast rates for downstream quantities derived from the optimal coupling. Chiefly, the empirical barycentric projection achieves a squared-error rate $n^{-1}$, matching the fully compact case and improving over the less favorable $n^{-1/2}$ rate known for fully subGaussian settings. Altogether, these results may indicate a lower complexity adaptation phenomenon whereby the statistical complexity of the barycentric projection is governed by the discrete measure. As an application, we analyze Sinkhorn-EM, an EM-type algorithm in which the E-step is replaced by an entropic optimal transport problem. In a well-specified and balanced two-component Gaussian mixture model, we prove $\sqrt{n}$-consistency of the empirical iterates to their population counterparts for any fixed number of iterations, matching classical EM rates up to a $\sqrt{\log n}$ factor. Simulations support the theory.

The Sinkhorn--Knopp (SK) algorithm is a cornerstone method for matrix scaling and entropically regularized optimal transport (EOT). Despite its empirical efficiency, existing theoretical guarantees to achieve a target marginal accuracy $\varepsilon$ deteriorate severely in the presence of outliers, bottlenecked either by the global maximum regularized cost $η\|C\|_\infty$ (where $η$ is the regularization parameter and $C$ the cost matrix) or the matrix's minimum-to-maximum entry ratio $ν$. This creates a fundamental disconnect between theory and practice. In this paper, we resolve this discrepancy. For EOT, we introduce the novel concept of well-boundedness, a local bulk mass property that rigorously isolates the well-behaved portion of the data from extreme outliers. We prove that governed by this fundamental notion, SK recovers the target transport plan for a problem of dimension $n$ in $O(\log n - \log \varepsilon)$ iterations, completely independent of the regularized cost $η\|C\|_\infty$. Furthermore, we show that a virtually cost-free pre-scaling step eliminates the dimensional dependence entirely, accelerating convergence to a strictly dimension-free $O(\log(1/\varepsilon))$ iterations. Beyond EOT, we establish a sharp phase transition for general $(\boldsymbol{u},\boldsymbol{v})$-scaling governed by a critical matrix density threshold. We prove that when a matrix's density exceeds this threshold, the iteration complexity is strictly independent of $ν$. Conversely, when the density falls below this threshold, the dependence on $ν$ becomes unavoidable; in this sub-critical regime, we construct instances where SK requires $Ω(n/\varepsilon)$ iterations.

The Sinkhorn divergence, a debiased form of entropic optimal transport, has been widely used in various scientific disciplines due to its computational and statistical tractability. Unlike the Wasserstein distance, however, the Sinkhorn divergence is not a metric and it does not naturally admit a formal Riemannian structure. These properties are central to many applications of optimal transport methods that utilize interpolation, barycentric averaging, parallel transport or other geometric operations. Recent work addresses these shortcomings by constructing a formal Riemannian tangent space and a metric tensor on the space of probability measures that quadratically approximates the Sinkhorn divergence. In this work, we extend this framework with two major threads of contributions. For a suitable class of finite-smoothness cost functions, we prove Hadamard differentiability of the Sinkhorn metric tensor and we derive the Levi-Civita covariant derivative in this geometry; we then use the covariant derivative to obtain the geodesic and parallel transport equations, each of which amount to an ODE on a fixed Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) with smooth coefficients. Our second contribution is to linearize the solutions to the geodesic and parallel transport equations using standard tools from Banach space ODE theory. We show that under standard regularity conditions these linearizations imply $\sqrt{n}$-limiting Gaussian processes centered at population values for the plugin estimators of the exponential map, the logarithmic map, parallel transport and the induced Sinkhorn distance. Moreover, we show that the nonparametric bootstrap is consistent for all objects mentioned. To the best of our knowledge, these are the first $\sqrt{n}$--limit theorems and bootstrap consistency results for canonical geometric operations in a transport-based geometry on the space of probability measures.