GazeFS: Target-Centered Gaze-Trajectory Forecasting and Stabilization from Gaze-Head History

Dashboard-mounted gaze trackers often lose sight of the driver's eyes during large head rotations, including shoulder checks, mirror glances, and intersection scanning. These maneuvers occur when information about the driver's visual attention is most useful. Offline gap-filling methods may reconstruct a missing interval using observations from both sides, but an online driver-monitoring system cannot rely on measurements that have not yet occurred. We therefore formulate causal gaze recovery: forecasting unavailable gaze at time t without target-tracker gaze at t or later. We introduce the Causal Context-Gated Forecaster (CCGF), which encodes a 60-frame pre-dropout history of gaze and head pose and combines it with DINOv3 scene features. A learned reliability gate controls the contribution of the history and scene representations as the dropout progresses. We evaluate two scene conditions: Live, in which the scene representation continues to update during tracker loss, and Frozen, in which the final pre-dropout representation is used throughout the missing interval. We evaluate CCGF on 2,047 eligible, naturally occurring GazeSense head_lost events drawn from 10.5 h of naturalistic driving by ten drivers. Across all recordings, head_lost accounts for 8.5 percent of GazeSense recording time. Synchronized gaze coordinates from a head-mounted Neon tracker provide supervision and evaluation targets but are never used as model inputs. Under leave-one-driver-out evaluation, CCGF achieves a mean per-driver median error of 175.7 px (10.5 deg) with Live scene updates, a 33 percent reduction relative to history-only causal forecasting. With Frozen scene input, the error increases to 210.8 px (12.9 deg), indicating that scene observations acquired during the dropout provide useful predictive information. We will release the dataset, evaluation protocol, and causal baselines.

Gaze following requires both scene understanding and gaze reasoning to localize the gaze target of an in-scene person. Recently, vision foundation models (VFMs) have demonstrated strong performance on this task, enabling simpler architectures while outperforming prior methods. However, we observe a key limitation of VFM-based approaches: while VFMs substantially improve scene understanding, they contribute little to gaze reasoning. As a result, existing methods often rely on semantically salient objects rather than true gaze cues, leading to degraded performance when targets are not salient. To address this, we propose a novel training mechanism to enhance gaze reasoning in VFMs for gaze following. Our method includes: (1) a head-conditioned local LoRA, which enables localized adaptation to preserve scene token learning while improving head token learning for gaze reasoning; and (2) an out-of-cone penalty, which injects gaze cues into head tokens while aligning them with scene tokens. Experiments on the GazeFollow and VAT datasets demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance, with particularly strong improvements when gaze targets are not semantically salient. Our findings offer valuable insights for advancing future gaze following research. We will release the code once the paper is accepted.

Deep gaze estimation works well in controlled capture but degrades in unconstrained settings, where systems must reject unreliable predictions. Single-pass uncertainty (e.g., heteroscedastic regression) infers uncertainty from pixels without explicit input-validity cues, while sampling based methods are often too costly for real time use. We propose Factor-Informed Uncertainty Distillation (FIUD), a teacher-student framework that aligns uncertainty with interpretable image-quality failure modes. A gradient-boosting teacher predicts expected gaze error from factors such as illumination, sharpness, eye visibility and symmetry; a neural student distills these signals via curriculum learning and ranking supervision into a lightweight single-pass uncertainty head. Across ETH-XGaze, Gaze360, and MPIIFaceGaze (>300k samples), FIUD improves uncertainty, error rank correlation and selective prediction versus deterministic and sampling-based baselines, with the largest gains in unconstrained settings.