Factor-Informed Uncertainty Distillation for Gaze Estimation
Authors: Mohammadreza Jamalifard, Yaxiong Lei, Javier Fumanal Idocin, Parastoo Azizinezhad, Tom Foulsham, Javier Andreu-Perez
Organizations: University of Essex · Colchester, UK
Abstract
Deep gaze estimation works well in controlled capture but degrades in unconstrained settings, where systems must reject unreliable predictions. Single-pass uncertainty (e.g., heteroscedastic regression) infers uncertainty from pixels without explicit input-validity cues, while sampling based methods are often too costly for real time use. We propose Factor-Informed Uncertainty Distillation (FIUD), a teacher-student framework that aligns uncertainty with interpretable image-quality failure modes. A gradient-boosting teacher predicts expected gaze error from factors such as illumination, sharpness, eye visibility and symmetry; a neural student distills these signals via curriculum learning and ranking supervision into a lightweight single-pass uncertainty head. Across ETH-XGaze, Gaze360, and MPIIFaceGaze (>300k samples), FIUD improves uncertainty, error rank correlation and selective prediction versus deterministic and sampling-based baselines, with the largest gains in unconstrained settings.
Gaze target estimation, the task of predicting where a person is looking in a scene, is crucial to understanding human attention and intent. It is a challenging task that combines high-level understanding of global scene semantics and precise spatial reasoning using human appearance (e.g. pose, eye orientation). As a result, human-level performance remains elusive for existing models, limiting their practical application. To this end, we propose PaGE (Practical Gaze Estimator), a gaze estimation model that explicitly models the complex interaction between scene and head features. Using a PaGE model with a large ViT-H+ backbone as the teacher, we further distill student models with lighter backbones on a much larger and more diverse unlabeled dataset. The architectural improvements and novel training recipe allow PaGE to achieve state-of-the-art performance on several gaze estimation tasks, outperforming humans in 7 out of 9 metrics while reducing the human-AI gap by at least 60% in the remaining 2. The distilled student models retain most of the teacher's performance while being lightweight enough for practical deployment on robots and consumer devices. The code and model checkpoints are available at our project page.
Eye tracking (ET) plays a critical role in augmented and virtual reality applications. However, rapidly deploying high-accuracy, on-device gaze estimation for new products remains challenging because hardware configurations (e.g., camera placement, camera pose, and illumination) often change across device generations. Visual foundation models (VFMs) excel on natural-image benchmarks and offer a promising path to rapid training and deployment; yet, we find that off-the-shelf VFMs still struggle to reach high accuracy on specialized near-eye infrared images. To close this gap, we introduce DistillGaze, a framework that distills a VFM using labeled synthetic data and unlabeled real data for rapid, high-accuracy on-device gaze estimation. DistillGaze proceeds in two stages. First, we adapt a VFM into a domain-specialized teacher using synthetic gaze labels and unlabeled real images. Synthetic data provide scalable, high-quality gaze supervision, while unlabeled real data bridges the synthetic-to-real domain gap. Second, we train an on-device student from both teacher guidance and self-training. Evaluated on a large-scale crowd-sourced dataset spanning more than 2,000 participants, DistillGaze reduces median gaze error by 58.6% relative to synthetic-only baselines while maintaining a lightweight 256K-parameter model suitable for real-time on-device deployment. More broadly, DistillGaze offers an efficient path to training and deploying ET models that adapt to hardware changes, and a recipe for combining synthetic supervision with unlabeled real data in on-device regression tasks.
Reliable uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying monocular depth deep neural networks (DNNs) in safety-critical robotic systems. Conventional uncertainty methods such as ensembles and sampling-based approaches require multiple inferences per image, incurring substantial compute and memory overhead. Moreover, uncertainty predicted from a single image misses out on measuring disagreement between predictions across views of the same region. We propose Uncertainty from Motion* (UfM*), an uncertainty estimation algorithm that measures multiview disagreement efficiently by comparing previous and current views using a compact Gaussian mixture, requiring only a single DNN inference per image. Using Gaussians to compute multiview disagreement is not only more compute- and memory-efficient than a prior approach using a point cloud, but also improves uncertainty by measuring disagreement across regions of 3D space. UfM* paired with aleatoric uncertainty improves expected calibration error by 24-28% compared to an ensemble, while requiring only 3% of the energy and 0.02% of the memory on 100 out-of-distribution ScanNet sequences. We demonstrate UfM* consumes only 63 mJ per 224x224 image while running real-time at 30 FPS on an Arm Cortex-A76 CPU onboard a miniature energy-constrained robot, highlighting that measuring multiview disagreement using Gaussians enables efficient uncertainty for resource-constrained robotic systems.