| Metric | Per-trial observation | Bayesian model and prior | Posterior quantities reported |
|---|
| defense-success | Ysd∈{0,1} , equal to one only if no asset is reached and every bandit is intercepted; zero otherwise | Bernoulli likelihood with θsd∼Beta(1,1) | E[θsd∣D] and its 95% credible interval estimated from 100,000 posterior samples; higher is better |
| HVAs-reached | Slr∈[0,1] , the fraction of assets reached in one trial | One hundred equal-width bins on [0,1] ; multinomial likelihood with symmetric Dirichlet(1/K,…,1/K) prior for K=100 bins (total concentration one) | E[μlr∣D] and its 95% credible interval estimated from 100,000 posterior samples; lower is better |
| Bandits intercepted | Sbi∈[0,1] , the fraction of bandits intercepted in one trial | One hundred equal-width bins on [0,1] ; multinomial likelihood with symmetric Dirichlet(1/K,…,1/K) prior for K=100 bins (total concentration one) | E[μbi∣D] and its 95% credible interval estimated from 100,000 posterior samples; higher is better |
| mean-control-saturation | Ssat∈[0,1] , the mean across guards of the fraction of recorded active control steps on which the requested action is clipped | One hundred equal-width bins on [0,1] ; multinomial likelihood with symmetric Dirichlet(1/K,…,1/K) prior for K=100 bins (total concentration one) | E[μsat∣D] and its 95% credible interval estimated from 100,000 posterior samples; lower is better |