BEFORE THE FLIP: Measuring Hidden Score Shifts In Quantized Vision Language Models Before The Answer Changes for Visual Question Answering

Visual-token compression for vision--language models is posed almost entirely as a selection problem: decide which tokens to keep and discard the rest. The criteria that work best rank tokens by the attention the language model pays them, which makes the ranking a function of the question being asked. That is invisible in a single-turn benchmark and decisive whenever a compressed representation is written once and read many times, as when it is cached across the turns of a conversation or transmitted between a device and a server. We take the other half of the classical transform-coding toolkit instead: keep every token and vary its rate. A transform code exposes each token's measured distortion--rate curve, and a fixed bit budget is distributed across tokens by exact integer rate--distortion optimisation on those curves. No text enters the pipeline, so one compressed representation serves any query. At equal bit budgets, on two datasets and two capacities, it preserves the model's output distribution and its answers better than uniform-rate coding, the closed-form water-fill and distortion-ranked pruning. It matches attention-ranked pruning on the question pruning was tuned for, and overtakes it once the compressed image must answer a different question about the same image.

Modern vision language models (VLMs) turn high-resolution images into long sequences of visual tokens. Every token traverses the language decoder and persists in its prompt KV cache, inflating inference cost and motivating aggressive visual compression. Existing score-based methods assign each token an independent importance score and retain the Top-K. However, text queries consume collective, signed attention messages from the visual population, not isolated patches. Consequently, equally sized Top-K sets can repeatedly cover one salient region, omit sparse but complementary evidence and discard information carried by the removed population. We therefore formulate faithful visual compression as constructing a compact coreset for decoder messages, and introduce our training-free Grounded Message Coreset Pruning (GMC) which jointly allocates support across query-grounded, appearance, and coordinate-aware evidence, then transports discarded states into selected representatives at their original multimodal positions before physical compaction and native attention resume. This decomposes faithful compression into two coupled components, including selecting carriers that cover the required message modes and realizing the signed population message on those carriers. We further derive bounds connecting their errors to signed-message distortion, visual innovation, and candidate-margin stability. Experiments across multiple VLM families and diverse benchmarks demonstrate strong performance, with GMC-H2 retaining 97.78% Full-relative mean capability on Qwen2.5-VL-7B using 80.2% fewer visual tokens, while GMC-L16 reaches 100.36%. Controlled interventions verify that collective support and population realization jointly drive these gains.

The rapid compression of large vision-language models (VLMs) for edge deployment raises an underexplored question: do compact models fail differently, not merely more often? This study compares a 7-billion-parameter quantised VLM (Qwen2.5-VL-7B, 4-bit NF4) against a 500-million-parameter FP16 model (SmolVLM2-500M) across 4,000 samples from VQAv2 and COCO Captions. A three-category error taxonomy (Object Blindness, Semantic Drift, Prior Bias) is applied as a diagnostic framework. A text-only GPT-4o judge reveals Semantic Drift (B) as the dominant failure mode on VQAv2 and on COCO for Qwen, with a mixed Object Blindness / Semantic Drift profile for SmolVLM2 on COCO; Prior Bias (C) is present on VQAv2 but absent on COCO for both models. Confidence calibration is measured via Expected Calibration Error (ECE) using geometric mean token probability, compositional reasoning is probed with structured negation probes across four templates, and a blur robustness experiment completes the evaluation. For this model pair, the compact model exhibits a qualitatively distinct failure signature: a 12.5pp larger negation collapse (-33.2pp vs. -20.8pp, Wald 95% CI [8.2, 16.8]pp, p < 10^-8), driven almost entirely by COCO while the VQAv2 gap is not statistically significant (4.5pp, p=0.19). The most discriminating template is false_yn: SMOLVLM2-500M responds "Yes" (incorrectly claiming a depicted object is absent) on 100% of COCO trials vs. 14% for Q WEN 2.5-VL-7B. Asymmetric dataset-dependent miscalibration and a blur experiment with two controlled ablations complete the analysis. The fully reproducible pipeline is released for systematic safety auditing of compressed VLMs prior to edge deployment.