Inertial confinement fusion (ICF) is a leading pathway toward clean energy, but each shot at the National Ignition Facility costs on the order of one million dollars, making accurate AI surrogates a high-value target. We study exogenous-driven ICF waveform prediction, where a 512-step neutron-rate diagnostic must be inferred directly from a laser pulse and target design parameters, with no historical response observed. The regime stresses standard time-series predictors with temporal sparsity (picosecond peak in a nanosecond window), input-output scale mismatch (under 300 real shots), and peak sensitivity (picosecond timing). We propose ICF-DLM, to our knowledge the first LM-based ICF predictor, combining (i) a physics-typed decomposition into yield YDT, peak timing tpeak, and local waveform wlocal; (ii) bidirectional denoising that defers commitment to peak location; and (iii) a physics-driven PPO reward re-injecting metric structure across numeric tokens. On ICFBench (50K simulations + 232 experimental shots), ICF-DLM cuts peak-timing error from 11.6 to 9.2 steps over a matched autoregressive LLaMA-3-8B and outperforms classical sequence models and LLM-based time-series predictors. Beyond ICF, the recipe shows potential to address science domains with low data and sparse events.
Offline-trained surrogates for Inertial Confinement Fusion (ICF) suffer a well-known failure mode that iterative optimizers drive inputs into out-of-distribution (OOD) regions where predictions become unreliable. Here we present Co4ICF, a co-evolving framework that couples a physics-informed surrogate with a PPO-based pulse optimizer. The surrogate is iteratively fine-tuned on policy-induced trajectories, correcting extrapolation errors as the optimizer shifts the input distribution; the optimizer queries this evolving surrogate as a fast environment. In the 1D MULTI environment, Co4ICF achieves 146.1% normalized yield based on current laser design baseline; as a post-hoc cross-fidelity check, the optimized pulse further attains 246.9% normalized yield when directly evaluated in 2D-MULTI without any 2D training or fine-tuning. Budget-matched ablations support that the gains are not explained solely by additional simulation data and are consistent with the co-evolving mechanism playing a key role. We release a large-scale MULTI-IFE simulation dataset to support future benchmarking.
Inertial Confinement Fusion (ICF) holds transformative promise for sustainable, near-limitless clean energy, yet remains constrained by prohibitively high costs and limited experimental opportunities. This paper presents Human-in-the-Loop Meta Bayesian Optimization (HL-MBO), a framework that integrates expert knowledge with few-shot, uncertainty-aware machine learning to accelerate discovery in data-scarce, high-stakes scientific domains. HL-MBO introduces a meta-learned surrogate model with an expert-informed acquisition function to recommend candidate experiments. To foster trust and enable informed decisions, HL-MBO also provides interpretable explanations of its suggestions. We show HL-MBO outperforms current BO methods on ICF energy yield optimization, as well as benchmarks in molecular optimization and critical temperature maximization for superconducting materials.
Ricardo Luna Gutierrez, Sahand Ghorbanpour, Ejaz Rahman +5
To address the high sampling cost of Diffusion Transformers (DiTs), feature caching offers a training-free acceleration method. However, existing methods rely on hand-crafted forecasting formulas that fail under aggressive skipping. We propose L2P (Learnable Linear Predictor), a simple data-driven caching framework that replaces fixed coefficients with learnable per-timestep weights. Rapidly trained in ~20 seconds on a single GPU, L2P accurately reconstructs current features from past trajectories. L2P significantly outperforms existing baselines: it achieves a 4.55x FLOPs reduction and 4.15x latency speedup on FLUX.1-dev, and maintains high visual fidelity under up to 7.18x acceleration on Qwen-Image models, where prior methods show noticeable quality degradation. Our results show learning linear predictors is highly effective for efficient DiT inference. Code is available at https://github.com/Aredstone/L2P-Cache.