math.PRSep 8, 2026

Gaussian Approximation for Multivariate Martingale Sums from Uniformly Ergodic Markov Chains

Authors: Yixuan ZhangQiaomin Xie

Abstract

We develop Gaussian approximation bounds in higher-order Wasserstein distance WpW_p, p2p\geq2, for sums of multivariate martingale differences generated by a uniformly ergodic Markov chain. Under an L(2+η)pL^{(2+η)p}-moment condition with η>0η>0, we establish the explicit bound O(p3A42+pd1/4A21/2A42)O\left( p^3 \|A\|_4^2 + pd^{1/4}\|A\|_2^{1/2}\|A\|_4^2 \right) where ARnA\in\mathbb{R}^n collects the L(2+η)pL^{(2+η)p}-sizes of the nn individual martingale increments. In the balanced-increment regime where the individual increments have comparable sizes of order n1/2n^{-1/2}, it yields the first optimal O(n1/2)O(n^{-1/2}) Gaussian approximation rate for fixed pp and dd. Consequently, we also obtain the first optimal O(n1/2)O(n^{-1/2}) WpW_p Gaussian approximation rate for multivariate additive functionals of uniformly ergodic Markov chains. Our analysis develops two techniques for addressing the interplay between higher-order Wasserstein distance and temporal dependence. First, building on the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck relative-score approach of Fang and Koike (2023), we formulate the bound in terms of antisymmetric Stein couplings while retaining the conditional tensor structure. Second, we develop a refresh-then-maximal coupling that combines an independent first-step resampling, which preserves the desired Stein identity, with a subsequent maximal coupling that provides effective control of the coupling increment. These tools may be useful more broadly for Gaussian approximation under temporal dependence.

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