Learning Intrusion Response Strategies for OT Systems

Bare-metal operational technology (OT) devices -- especially the microcontrollers running Modbus/TCP and CoAP at the base of industrial control systems -- have remained outside the reach of autonomous security attacks. Prior autonomous pentesting studies target Linux and web systems, whose shells and filesystems are familiar to LLM agents. Bare-metal OT has neither, so agents must reason directly over protocol fields and parser semantics. This requires new action-space designs and runtime controls, and opens new research questions about protocol-level exploit reasoning and its deployment envelope. We present APIOT (Autonomous Purple-teaming for Industrial OT), the first large language model (LLM) framework demonstrating an autonomous attack and remediation of bare-metal OT devices, achieving the full discovery -> exploitation -> patching -> verification cycle without step-by-step human intervention. We implemented and evaluated this framework on Zephyr RTOS firmware across heterogeneous industrial IoT (IIoT) topologies. Through 290 experiment runs spanning five frontier LLMs, three network topologies, two impairment levels, and guided versus unguided conditions, APIOT achieved a mission success rate of 90.0% on the full attack-remediation cycle. We found that the runtime governance layer (which we call an overseer) is a critical engineering variable: without it, agents exhibit systematic degenerate patterns, including repetition loops, missing crash verification, and reconnaissance deadlocks. Together, these findings carry two implications beyond our testbed. Attacker expertise is no longer the binding constraint on bare-metal OT exploitation, and defender threat models must now assume LLM-augmented adversaries capable of executing autonomous discovery-through-remediation cycles against industrial firmware.

Enterprise intrusion response still depends on static playbooks and analyst-driven triage, creating delay between alert generation and containment. We present Agentra, a supervisable multi-agent Intrusion Response System (IRS) framework that converts alerts from IDS, EDR, and XDR platforms into structured incident response plans grounded in MITRE ATT&CK, MITRE D3FEND, and NIST CSF 2.0. Agentra decomposes response reasoning across role-scoped agents, validates proposed plans through a bounded Planner--Validator review loop, screens retrieved threat intelligence through a Moderator security gateway, gates actions through an Action Catalog and risk score, and records decisions in an append-only audit log. We evaluate Agentra against a static OASIS CACAO v2.0 cyber-playbook baseline on a 120-event corpus drawn from ThreatHunter-Playbook, Splunk BOTSv3, and DARPA OpTC. The strongest configuration improves FP-aware IRS F1 from 0.61 to 0.84 and restores the projected harmful-action rate to the static baseline level of 0.0% after Planner-only configurations introduce unsafe overreaction. These results indicate that multi-agent response planning can improve ontology-grounded IRS coverage while preserving analyst approval and auditability.

This paper addresses the problem of attack detection in cyber-physical systems without any knowledge of the plant model or its structure. A remotely located plant transmits sensor measurements to an operator over a network that is assumed to be under attack. We consider two classes of attacks: model-free replay attacks and model-based stealthy attacks. For the latter, we derive closed-form expressions for the optimal stealthy attack policy against a $χ^2$ detector, for both linear and nonlinear systems. We then propose a model-structure-free detector based on TimesFM, a time-series foundation model developed by Google Research, which serves as a surrogate residual generator operating in a zero-shot fashion. We show empirically that the TimesFM-based detector achieves a comparable or superior attack detection performance. The efficacy of the proposed approach is demonstrated numerically on the IEEE 14-bus power system. We also demonstrate that TimesFM predictions can serve as a substitute for corrupted measurements, a practical mitigation technique when classical redundancy assumptions fail.