Beyond Distribution Matching: Semantics-Consistent Tabular Diffusion with Weak Semantic Priors

Existing approaches for synthetic tabular data generation are based on either purely generative models or LLMs, both of which struggle with data heterogeneity, logical consistency, rare-event coverage, and robustness in low-data regimes. In this paper, we propose a hierarchical hybrid top-down and bottom-up (H-TDBU) framework that decouples semantic structures from stochastic texture. In the top-down path, structure-driven logical constraints and cross-modal alignment rules are constructed, while in the bottom-up path, lightweight tabular generators are used to learn local statistical patterns from real data. The two paths are consolidated in a unified synthesis engine with an iterative feedback loop. We evaluate the framework on weak multimodal financial benchmarks combining tabular and sentiment-text data. Experimental results show that our H-TDBU approach improves train-synthetic-test-real performance over neural baseline methods while preserving semantic consistency. Our results suggest that hierarchical rule-guided synthesis provides an effective mechanism for combining controllability, semantic coherence, and statistical fidelity in synthetic data generation.

Deep generative models can help with data scarcity and privacy by producing synthetic training data, but they struggle in low-data, imbalanced tabular settings to fully learn the complex data distribution. We argue that striving for the full joint distribution could be overkill; for greater data efficiency, models should prioritize learning the conditional distribution $P(y\mid \bm{X})$, as suggested by recent theoretical analysis. Therefore, we overcome this limitation with ReTabSyn, a Reinforced Tabular Synthesis pipeline that provides direct feedback on feature correlation preservation during synthesizer training. This objective encourages the generator to prioritize the most useful predictive signals when training data is limited, thereby strengthening downstream model utility. We empirically fine-tune a language model-based generator using this approach, and across benchmarks with small sample sizes, class imbalance, and distribution shift, ReTabSyn consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines. Moreover, our approach can be readily extended to control various aspects of synthetic tabular data, such as applying expert-specified constraints on generated observations.

What determines the quality of a tabular foundation model? Unlike language or vision, tabular foundation models acquire their inductive biases almost entirely from synthetic pretraining distributions, yet the design of these distributions remains poorly understood. Standard synthetic priors are too well-behaved: they omit the irregularities and failure modes that determine deployment robustness. We introduce O'Prior, a compositional realism prior built around four coupled components: a hierarchical SCM meta-generator spanning diverse functional families; a modular realism engine covering heterogeneous marginals, missingness, and target transforms; an explicit stress module injecting confounding and support-query mismatch; and a curriculum-governed, leakage-safe generation protocol. To isolate prior design as the scientific variable, we hold architecture, optimizer, and compute budget fixed and vary only the synthetic task distribution. O'Prior yields consistent and substantial improvements in downstream accuracy and robustness across real tabular benchmarks, with gains concentrated in regimes characterized by distributional irregularities. Ablations confirm that mechanism diversity, realism composition, and shift-aware stress each contribute independently, their effects are not interchangeable. These results establish synthetic prior construction as a first-order and largely overlooked determinant of tabular foundation model quality.