World Models for Cross-Machine CNC Transfer under Partial Sensor Overlap

Planning-time intervention fidelity is a distinct, measurable property of a learned world model: whether the model's own open-loop transitions move task variables the way matched environment interventions do. In the settings we test, it is neither revealed by reward fit nor ensured by task-anchored training. Across released TD-MPC2 checkpoint sizes, episode return falls as an operator-error diagnostic on task observables grows, while reward-prediction error stays small and nearly flat, and a self-supervised world model trained without task signal preserves the same operator substantially better than a task-anchored model on the shared task. A capture-gated matched-intervention audit then localizes what fails. On Cheetah, three LeWorldModel checkpoints capture the current task query and support decodable real intervention effects; however, their imagined five-step effects are worse than predicting no effect and worse than an environment-endpoint oracle. The failure is task-direction rotation with excess gain, not feature collapse. This severe pattern is conditional: five PreJEPA seeds retain an oracle-relative deficit without it, Finger Spin experiments extend the deficit beyond locomotion with heterogeneous severity across seeds, and shared-bank effect geometry is both candidate- and support-dependent. We also test practice-side questions. In DreamerV3 the posterior distribution, not its sample, carries the current query; ensemble disagreement ranks error only near training support; and a frozen support-aware score degrades held-out error ranking in both tested transfer directions while native disagreement remains informative in both. We conclude that intervention fidelity must be audited directly, capture-first, on the model's native interface.

Robotic manipulation depends on the ability to anticipate how actions reshape objects, contacts, and scene geometry before execution. Learned world models provide this capability by predicting task-relevant future evolution under robot intervention, yet the term now spans latent dynamics models, action-conditioned video generators, three- and four-dimensional scene predictors, physics-informed simulators, and predictive modules inside vision-language-action systems. This breadth has fragmented the literature and obscured the design choices that matter for manipulation. We survey world models for robotic manipulation through three questions: what future representation is predicted, how prediction is connected to action, and when prediction is used in the robot-learning pipeline. We operationally define a world model as an action-conditioned predictive system and distinguish it from perception modules, inverse models, policies, rewards, and value functions. We then organize existing work into five representation families, develop a functional taxonomy that separates integrated prediction-action models from explicit predictive planners, and characterize infrastructure roles including synthetic experience generation, candidate filtering, search-based evaluation, learned environments, and outcome verification. We further map these roles across pretraining, post-training, and inference adaptation, review 34 manipulation datasets, and synthesize evaluation protocols for predictive fidelity, task performance, and simulator reliability. This survey shows that world models are evolving from task-specific dynamics predictors into predictive infrastructure for robot learning, while exposing open challenges in contact modeling, hallucination control, action alignment, and benchmarking under closed-loop use.

We introduce Sonata, a compact latent world model for six-axis trunk IMU representation learning under clinical data scarcity. Clinical cohorts typically comprise tens to hundreds of patients, making web-scale masked-reconstruction objectives poorly matched to the problem. Sonata is a 3.77 M-parameter hybrid model, pre-trained on a harmonised corpus of nine public datasets (739 subjects, 190k windows) with a latent world-model objective that predicts future state rather than reconstructing raw sensor traces. In a controlled comparison against a matched autoregressive forecasting baseline (MAE) on the same backbone, Sonata yields consistently stronger frozen-probe clinical discrimination, prospective fall-risk prediction, and cross-cohort transfer across a 14-arm evaluation suite, while producing higher-rank, more structured latent representations. At 3.77 M parameters the model is compatible with on-device wearable inference, offering a step toward general kinematic world models for neurological assessment.