EdgeReMIND: A Scalable, Top-Ranked Memorization Baseline for Temporal Multi-Relational Link Prediction

Embedding models (KGEMs) constitute the main link prediction approach to complete knowledge graphs. Standard evaluation protocols emphasize rank-based metrics such as MRR or Hits@$K$, but usually overlook the influence of random seeds on result stability. Moreover, these metrics conceal potential instabilities in individual predictions and in the organization of embedding spaces. In this work, we conduct a systematic stability analysis of multiple KGEMs across several datasets. We find that high-performance models actually produce divergent predictions at the triple level and highly variable embedding spaces. By isolating stochastic factors (i.e., initialization, triple ordering, negative sampling, dropout, hardware), we show that each independently induces instability of comparable magnitude. Furthermore, for a given model, hyperparameter configurations with better MRR are not guaranteed to be more stable. Moreover, voting, albeit a known remediation mechanism, only provides a limited enhancement of stability. These findings highlight critical limitations of current benchmarking protocols, and raise concerns about the reliability of KGEMs for knowledge graph completion.

Graph RAG connects facts no single passage states, but implementations pay three times: in infrastructure, keeping vector store, graph database and document store in sync; in quality, because a pipeline that never refuses extractor output stores edges that assert nothing; and over time, because a graph that only accumulates treats superseded and current facts alike. post-graph-rag is an open-source engine addressing all three. Chunks with embeddings, a canonical entity graph and community summaries live in one PostgreSQL database, with pgvector for search and edge tables for traversal. Extraction output is validated before writing: vague predicates, pronominal names and bare quantities are rejected, predicates normalise onto an optional vocabulary, entities resolve to one vertex per canonical name, and denials keep the positive predicate under a negation flag. A bi-temporal layer records when a relation held and when the system believed it, superseding incompatible earlier assertions from document order. Against LightRAG on three corpora with extraction and embedding models fixed, it builds a denser graph everywhere, up to $2.4\times$ the relations per entity, and a more queryable one: 0.46-0.58 distinct edge labels per relation against 0.77-1.33. It supersedes 13 and 8 relationships where the baseline, having no temporal model, supersedes none. On LongMemEval, 500 questions of long-horizon chat memory, it scores 85.8 percent with gemini-3.6-flash against 71.2 for Zep's gpt-4o and 60.2 for a full-context baseline, leading on all six question types. The largest single contribution is temporal grounding in the prompt: carrying each relation's validity period through to synthesis moves temporal reasoning from 0.496 to 0.881, ablated paired on one graph per instance. Code: post-graph-rag https://github.com/crajah/post-graph-rag; post-graph https://github.com/crajah/post-graph

Link prediction (inferring missing or future connections between nodes in a graph) is a fundamental problem in network science with widespread applications in, e.g., biological systems, recommender systems, finance and cybersecurity. The ability to accurately predict links has significant real-world applications, such as detecting fraudulent financial transactions or identifying drug-target interactions in biomedicine. Despite a rich literature, link prediction is still challenging, especially for graphs enriched with information on edges (direction) and nodes (attributes). In fact, research on link prediction, especially the one based on Graph Deep Learning (GDL), has mostly focused on undirected graphs, without fully leveraging node attributes. Here, we fill this gap by proposing Gravity-GraphSAGE (GG-SAGE), a modified version of GraphSAGE, a GDL model for node embeddings, composed of a gravity-inspired decoder. This implementation is the first example in the literature of a GraphSAGE backbone adopted for directed link prediction. Using the benchmark datasets Cora, Citeseer, PubMed and 16 real-world graphs from the online Netzschleuder repository, we show that our proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art GDL link prediction techniques. Using further experimental evidence, we relate the quality of the output of our model with various characteristics of the graph, suggesting that our framework scales well when applied to data of increasing complexity.