Advantage Scale Calibration Imbalance in Group-Relative Optimization under Low-Variance Rewards: Diagnosis and Bounded Recovery

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) is commonly based on group sampling to estimate advantages and stabilize policy updates. In practice, computational limits often rule out very large groups, so training proceeds with finite rollout sets that can reinforce only the correct behavior they expose. At practical group sizes, updates can miss rare-correct trajectories while still containing mixed rewards, concentrating probability on more common sampled solutions. We derive the probability of such prompt-local tail-miss events as a function of group size, showing non-monotonic behavior, and in the categorical abstraction characterize how unsampled-correct mass can shrink even as total correct mass grows. Motivated by this analysis, we propose a difficulty-aware scaling coefficient, inspired by Focal loss, that down-weights updates on high-success sampled groups. Empirically, categorical simulation illustrates the same effect in the categorical setting, Maze provides a single-solution test, and LLM experiments include a representative GRPO group-size sweep together with fixed-$N$ transfer across GRPO, DAPO, and CISPO. On Qwen2.5-7B at $N{=}8$, our method improves average math pass@256 from 64.1 $\rightarrow$ 70.3 (GRPO), 69.3 $\rightarrow$ 72.5 (DAPO), and 73.2 $\rightarrow$ 76.8 (CISPO); OOD pass@256 also improves in all three cases, without increasing group size or computational cost.

Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), a prominent algorithm within the Reinforcement Learning from Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) framework, has achieved strong results in improving the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs). However, GRPO is prone to advantage collapse, a failure mode where homogeneous rewards within a group (e.g., all correct or all incorrect answers) yield near-zero advantages and vanishing gradients. To address this, we introduce the Advantage Collapse Rate (ACR), the first diagnostic metric quantifying the proportion of training batches with ineffective gradients. Across models from 0.5B to 14B parameters on mathematical reasoning benchmarks, we show that ACR strongly predicts training stagnation and final performance. We then propose Adaptive Virtual Sample Policy Optimization (AVSPO), a lightweight extension of GRPO that injects virtual reward samples, guided by real-time ACR monitoring, to enable learning from homogeneous groups without additional model rollouts. AVSPO reduces advantage collapse by 58-63% relative to GRPO and yields consistent accuracy gains of 4-6 percentage points across all model scales, while maintaining generalization on the evaluated out-of-domain task. Code and datasets are available at https://github.com/hexixiang/Advantage-Collapse-Rate.

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a key driver of language model reasoning. Among RL algorithms, Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) is the de facto standard, avoiding the need for a critic by using per-prompt baselines and variance normalization. Yet why and when this normalization helps remains unclear. In this work, we answer both questions through the lens of local curvature of the sequence-level policy gradient: standard deviation normalization implements an adaptive gradient. Theoretically, we prove that under mild conditions GRPO attains an improved convergence rate over unnormalized REINFORCE, with gains characterized by the average within-prompt reward standard deviation across prompts and iterations. We further introduce IS-GRPO, an importance-sampling variant of GRPO whose expected update remains aligned with the full gradient, and prove a convergence guarantee of the same form as REINFORCE's, which is tighter in practice during real training runs by a factor we measure. Empirically, on GSM8K and MATH we validate the curvature--variance link and measure the quantities that govern our bounds along real training runs. At 1.5B scale, per-prompt normalization outperforms both unnormalized and globally normalized baselines, with gains that emerge in a middle phase of training where per-prompt variances become heterogeneous. At 7B scale, the normalization schemes become statistically indistinguishable while IS-GRPO retains a small lead, in line with the theory's prediction that the gains require heterogeneity.