Intelligent Degradation Monitoring in Lithium-ion Batteries via Discharge Incremental Capacity Feature Estimation

With the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, energy storage systems have become essential, making the accurate estimation of their State of Health (SOH) and degradation behavior critical. In this work, we propose a physics-informed deep learning approach for lithium-ion battery SOH prediction using incomplete discharge curves extracted from arbitrary voltage ranges, thereby reflecting realistic and heterogeneous operating conditions. The proposed method combines data-driven learning with physically motivated degradation dynamics to ensure consistent and reliable SOH estimation from partial discharge information, achieving a MAPE below 4$\%$. In addition, a real-time degradation trend estimation strategy is introduced to detect key aging transitions without requiring prior knowledge or historical data, making it applicable to a wide range of batteries. Overall, our approach enables SOH estimation from arbitrary discharge segments and a real-time degradation forecast that continuously integrates all usage, overcoming previous methods that rely on fixed protocols or early, non-adaptive predictions.

Accurate state-of-charge (SOC) estimation is critical for the safe and efficient operation of lithium-ion batteries in battery management systems (BMS). Although data-driven approaches can effectively capture nonlinear battery dynamics, many existing methods rely on long historical input sequences, resulting in high computational cost and introducing padding-induced positional bias at the beginning of drive cycles. To address these limitations, we propose C2L-Net, a novel context-to-latest data-driven framework for realistic online SOC estimation using only a short historical window (20 s). Unlike existing short-receptive-field or long-history models, the proposed framework explicitly separates contextual encoding from latest-measurement updating, enabling both efficient temporal modeling and rapid adaptation to dynamic battery states. The proposed model incorporates a chunk-based feature extraction mechanism that combines Theta Attention Pooling with a Fourier-based Seasonality Basis to capture local temporal patterns while reducing sequence length. A causal context encoder, integrating a gated recurrent unit (GRU) with Causal Cosine Attention, models temporal dependencies without information leakage. Furthermore, a latest-measurement decoder, inspired by recursive filtering, updates the contextual state using the most recent measurement, enhancing responsiveness to dynamic operating conditions. Extensive experiments on a public lithium-ion battery drive-cycle dataset under multiple fixed-temperature conditions demonstrate that the proposed method achieves state-of-the-art or competitive accuracy while significantly improving computational efficiency. In particular, C2L-Net achieves up to 60 times faster inference and requires fewer parameters than recent data-driven baselines, while maintaining robust performance across unseen driving profiles.

Accurate prediction of lithium-ion battery state of health (SOH) is essential for reliable energy storage operation. However, purely data-driven models may generalize poorly across cycling protocols and produce physically implausible behavior during long-term extrapolation. We developed a physics-informed differentiable degradation modeling framework (PiDDM) for battery SOH prediction. PiDDM incorporates empirical Arrhenius degradation kinetics associated with solid electrolyte interphase growth and loss of lithium inventory into the training objective, encouraging physically consistent capacity fade under diverse operating conditions. The framework was evaluated using a public dataset of 55 batteries cycled under six operating protocols. PiDDM achieved the lowest average prediction error among the evaluated models and substantially reduced mean squared error relative to a multilayer perceptron and a baseline physics-informed neural network. For extrapolation, the models were trained on the first 90% of each battery's cycle life and evaluated on the unseen final 10%. PiDDM captured accelerated end-of-life degradation while avoiding the nonphysical capacity regeneration produced by the baseline models. These results show that incorporating degradation physics into neural network training improves predictive accuracy and physical consistency, providing a promising approach for practical battery health monitoring.