Belted Engression: Sufficient Dimension Reduction for Generative Distributional Regression

Engression is a recently proposed and effective framework for conditional distribution learning. Its multi-step Reverse Markov extension further improves generative flexibility by decomposing complex conditional sampling into sequential reverse transitions. Despite their strong empirical performance, rigorous finite-sample statistical guarantees for these methods remain unavailable. In this paper, under deep neural network parameterizations, we establish nonasymptotic convergence bounds for Engression by directly controlling the Energy Distance between the learned and target conditional distributions. For the Reverse Markov framework, we further develop an Energy-Distance-based chain rule that enables a rigorous analysis of error propagation across reverse steps. Our analysis yields corresponding excess-risk bounds that are near-optimal up to logarithmic factors relative to the classical minimax rate over a general Hölder class.

Generative models are increasingly adopted in distributionally robust optimization (DRO), but existing approaches trade off model compatibility and adversarial structure: methods that accept arbitrary samplers do not restrict worst-case laws to a generator family, while generator-parameterized adversaries rely on model-specific access such as likelihoods, scores, or training data. We propose Generative Distributionally Robust Optimization (GDRO), a principled framework that accepts any sampleable conditional generator as the nominal model and restricts worst-case laws to a chosen conditional generator family. The key is the sampler-Sinkhorn pairing: samplers represent the conditional laws exactly, while Sinkhorn divergence compares their induced distributions without likelihood access and can be estimated from samples alone. The resulting population problem admits a direct finite-sample approximation and differentiable primal-dual implementation at the active decision context. For Lipschitz losses, the population Sinkhorn radius bounds downstream degradation. Across explicit and implicit generators, our method reduces rare-context inventory regret by 60% and SocialGAN navigation collisions by 50% relative to nominal decisions.

Conditional generative modeling remains a challenging problem in semi-supervised settings where labeled data is scarce but unlabeled samples are abundant. To effectively leverage structural information embedded within the unlabeled dataset and compensate for sparse conditioning signals, we propose a semi-supervised framework combining conditional stochastic interpolation with low-dimensional latent representations. RepG decomposes generation into two stages: label-dependent latent sampling and high-dimensional reconstruction. This isolates the supervised learning of conditional dependencies to a low-dimensional space, requiring few labels while utilizing the abundant unlabeled data purely for reconstruction. Theoretically, we establish an error decomposition showing that the Kullback-Leibler divergence of RepG comprises stage-wise estimation errors and a structural bias quantified by conditional mutual information. For deep neural network estimators, we derive non-asymptotic convergence rates proving that RepG significantly improves sample complexity. By confining the supervised estimation burden to the low intrinsic dimension of the latent representation, RepG achieves a strictly faster convergence rate. Complemented by a minimax lower bound, our theoretical results demonstrate that this method effectively mitigates the curse of dimensionality inherent in direct ambient-space generative modeling.