Conditional Distribution

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7 papers in the last four weeks, up 133% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

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  1. OPSRD: On-Policy Self-Role Distillation

    Sep 30, 2026Weijie Ren, Yanwen Zhang, Hao Li +3Unsupervised On-Policy Self-DistillationInstruction-Tuned Models

    Zhejiang University · University of Electronic Science and Technology of China · University of Science and Technology of China

  2. The Geometry of Randomized Smoothing on Feasible Sets

    Sep 30, 2026Syed Izhan Khilji, Alireza Furutanpey, Schahram DustdarSmoothingConditional Distribution

    Technische Universität Wien · NeverBlink · Technische Universität Wien Universitat Pompeu Fabra

  3. Generative sequence modeling for infinite memory processes via predictive states

    Sep 29, 2026Michael Wieck-Sosa, Cosma Rohilla ShaliziNext-State PredictionSequence Modeling

    Department of Statistics & Data Science Carnegie Mellon University

  4. Multi-Task Learning of Conditional Mean Operators: applications to dynamical systems and uncertainty quantification

    Sep 28, 2026Sami Chemlal, Thibaut Germain, Rémi Flamary +2Uncertainty QuantificationConditional Distribution

    CMAP, Ecole Polytechnique · University of Novi Sad

  5. Sharp training-conditional coverage for conformal prediction under covariate shift

    Sep 27, 2026Mehrdad PournaderiOnline Conformal PredictionCovariate Shift

    Mofid Securities

  6. Conditional Tensor Diffusion: Distributional Counterfactual Learning and Inference

    Sep 22, 2026Xinbing Kong, Zeyu Li, Junfan Mao +1Causal InferencesConditional Distribution

    Southeast University · University of Science and Technology of China

  7. Importance Weighting for Unlabeled-unlabeled Learning under Distribution Shift

    Sep 12, 2026Atsutoshi Kumagai, Tomoharu Iwata, Hiroshi Takahashi +3Positive--Unlabeled LearningUnlabeled Data

    NTT, Inc.

  8. When Metropolis and Hastings Meet Bradley and Terry: Exact MCMC From Preference Voting

    Sep 1, 2026Ariel Smogorghevski, Nir Rosenfeld, Yaniv RomanoMarkov Chain Monte CarloConditional Distribution

    Department of Data and Decision Sciences, Technion – Israel Institute of Technology · Department of Computer Science, Technion – Israel Institute of Technology · Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Technion – Israel Institute of Technology

  9. On the Complexity of the Compatibility Problem for Succinctly Encoded Conditional Distributions

    Aug 31, 2026Guy EmersonConditional DistributionProbabilistic Model

  10. A Local Sinkhorn Framework for Conditional Distribution Reconstruction of Multidimensional Random Fields

    Aug 12, 2026Mingtao Xia, Qijing ShenFused Sinkhorn-Localized SimilarityConditional Distribution

    School of Mathematics, University of Birmingham, Watson Building, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, United Kingdom · Department of Mathematics, University of Houston, 3551 Cullen Blvd, Houston, 77204, Texas, United States · Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, United Kingdom, Old Road Campus, Oxford, OX3 7BN, United Kingdom

  11. Do AI Forecast Ensembles Sample the Correct Conditional Distribution?

    Aug 9, 2026Lucas J. Howard, Elizabeth A. BarnesLarge Language Model ForecastingConditional Distribution

    Boston University, Faculty of Computing and Data Sciences

  12. A cylindrical neural approximation theorem for conditional laws of McKean-Vlasov equations with common noise

    Aug 8, 2026Nacira Agram, Reda Hmioui, Jan RemsNeural ApproximationsFokker--Planck Equation

    Department of Mathematics, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, 100 44 Stockholm, Sweden. · Digital Futures, Sweden. · Grenoble INP – Ensimag, Université Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France. +1

  13. Marginal Matching Does Not License Factorized Sampling: Auditing Conditional Style Leakage in Factorized Generative Models

    Aug 5, 2026Duong Bach, Hai Nguyen Hong, Cuong DoGenerative ModelsExploratory Factor Analysis

    Smart Health Center (VISHC), VinUniversity, Ha Noi, Viet Nam

  14. Simulation-free and finite-time diffusion model

    Aug 4, 2026Kentaro Kaba, Masayuki Ohzeki, Yuki SughiyamaDiffusion ModelsConditional Distribution

    Department of Physics, Institute of Science Tokyo, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 152-9551, Japan · 2Graduate School of Information Sciences, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi 980-9564, Japan · 3Research and Education Institute for Semiconductors and Informatics, Kumamoto University, Kumamoto, Kumamoto 860-8555, Japan +1

  15. Error Analysis of Neural-Network-Based Engression

    Jul 30, 2026Juntong Chen, Zijian Guo, Xinwei ShenNeural ApproximationsEqual Error Rate

    School of Mathematical Sciences, Xiamen University · Center for Data Science, Zhejiang University · Department of Statistics, University of Washington

  16. The Label Complexity of Useful Class-Conditional Prediction Sets under Distribution Shift

    Jul 20, 2026Weijia Han, Lisha Qu, Tianxin Zhou +2Covariate ShiftOnline Conformal Prediction

    University of Washington

  17. Semi-Supervised Conditional Diffusion via Label Augmentation

    Jul 18, 2026Jin Su, Yuan Gao, Yong Zhou +1Text-Conditioned Diffusion ModelDiffusion Models

    aDepartment of Applied Mathematics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China · bSchool of Statistics and Data Science, Nankai University, Tianjin, China · cSchool of Statistics, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China +1

  18. A Semiparametric Framework for Stochastic Fundamental Diagram Modeling

    Jul 17, 2026Pengnan Chi, Xiaoliang Ma, Magnus Jansson +1TrafficStochastic

    KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden · Swedish Transport Administration, Borlänge, Sweden

  19. Parallel gradient boosting for flexible estimation of conditional distributions

    Jul 15, 2026Rémy Chapelle, Nicolas Vayatis, Bruno Falissard +1Multi-Quantile RegressionConditional Distribution

    CESP, CB, EVDG · Université Paris-Saclay, UVSQ, Inserm, CESP, 94807, Villejuif, France · CB +2

  20. Bet on Features: Anytime-Valid and Feature-Aware Auditing of Conditional Quantile Forecasters

    Jul 13, 2026Ivane Antonov, Sohom Mukherjee, Richard Pibernik +1Quantile RegressionData-Driven Forecasting

    Julius-Maximilians-Universität Würzburg · INSEAD

  21. Structured Proper Loss Geometries for Multiclass Classification: Theory and Controlled Empirical Evaluation

    Jun 28, 2026Soumyadip SarkarMulticlass ClassificationQuadratic Slack Penalty

    Independent Researcher

  22. Efficient Analytic Uncertainty Quantification for Multi-Modal Regression

    Jun 23, 2026Kun Jin, James Harrison, Jiawei Li +8Uncertainty QuantificationMulti-Quantile Regression

    1Google · 2Google DeepMind

  23. Concept Modulation Models: A Unified Framework for Identifiability and Extrapolation

    Jun 16, 2026Soheun Yi, Yizhou Lu, Chandler Squires +1IdentifiabilityLatent Variable

    Department of Statistics and Data Science, Carnegie Mellon University · Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University

  24. Probabilistic Signature Inversion: Learning Conditional Distributions from Truncated Signatures

    Jun 13, 2026Junoh Kang, Kiseop Lee, Bohyung HanSignaturesConditional Distribution

    ECE & 3IPAI, Seoul National University · Department of Statistics, Purdue University · 3IPAI, Seoul National University

  25. Implicit Variational Rejection Sampling

    Jun 12, 2026Jian Xu, Shigui Li, Wei Chen +6Variational InferenceRejection Sampling

    RIKEN iTHEMS · RIKEN AIP · South China University of Technology +2

  26. Conditional Random Ordered Transport Spaces

    Jun 6, 2026Lei Luo, Jian YangDistributionally-Robust OptimizationWasserstein Distance

    PCA Lab, Key Lab of Intelligent Perception and Systems for High-Dimensional Information of Ministry of Education School of Computer Science and Engineering Nanjing University of Science and Technology Nanjing, China · PCA Lab, Key Lab of Intelligent Perception and Systems for High-Dimensional Information of Ministry of Education2026 School of Computer Science and Engineering Nanjing University of Science and Technology Nanjing, ChinaJun

  27. Scalable Derivative Gaussian Processes via Exact Gradient Reduction

    Jun 1, 2026Hyunseok Seung, Matthias KatzfussGaussian ProcessSurrogate Gradient

    Department of Statistics · University of Wisconsin–Madison · Madison, WI, 53706

  28. Theoretical Analysis of Engression and Reverse Markov Engression

    May 31, 2026Jiaqi Huang, Gongjun Xu, Ji ZhuConditional DistributionMarkov

    Department of Statistics, University of Michigan · Ann Arbor, MI 48109, U.S.A.

  29. Semi-Supervised Hypothesis Testing by Betting on Predictions

    May 27, 2026Yaniv Tenzer, Elad Tolochinsky, Yaniv RomanoUnlabeled DataTwo-Sample Testing

    Department of Computer Science, Technion – Israel Institute of Technology · Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Technion – Israel Institute of Technology

  30. LLM-Ideoplasticity: Measuring Ideological Plasticity in the Political Behavior of LLMs as a Context-Conditioned Distribution

    May 26, 2026Adib Sakhawat, Syed Rifat Raiyan, Tahsin Islam +3IdeologyPolitical Discourse

    Systems and Software Lab (SSL) Department of Computer Science and Engineering Islamic University of Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh

  31. When Is Next-Token Prediction Useful? Marginalization, Ergodicity, Mixture Identifiability, Local Sufficiency, RAG, Tools, and Programming

    May 22, 2026Francesco CorielliNext-Token PredictionConditional Distribution

  32. SAGA: A Sequence-Adaptive Generative Architecture for Multi-Horizon Probabilistic Forecasting with Adaptive Temporal Conformal Prediction

    May 18, 2026Gustav Olaf Yunus Laitinen-Fredriksson Lundström-Imanov, Hafize Gonca CömertRetrieval-Augmented ForecastingOnline Conformal Prediction

    Department of Economics, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden

  33. Flow Matching with Optimized Subclass Priors for Medical Image Augmentation

    May 15, 2026Felix Nützel, Mischa Dombrowski, Bernhard KainzData AugmentationChest X-Ray

    Department of Artificial Intelligence in Biomedical Engineering, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, 91052 Erlangen, Germany · Department of Computing, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UK

  34. Future Validity is the Missing Statistic: From Impossibility to ΦΦ-Estimation for Grammar-Faithful Speculative Decoding

    May 8, 2026Wenhua Nie, Zijie Meng, Kun Zou +5Speculative DecodingContext-Free Grammars

    National Taiwan University

  35. One Operator for Many Densities: Amortized Approximation of Conditioning by Neural Operators

    May 7, 2026Panos Tsimpos, Edoardo Calvello, Ayoub Belhadji +1Conditional DistributionProbabilistic Operator Learning

    Operations Research Center MASSachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, MA 02139 · Department of Computing and Mathematical Sciences California Institute of Technology Pasadena, CA 91125 · Laboratory for Information and Decision Systems Center for Computational Science and Engineering MASSachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, MA 02139 +2

  36. Super-Level-Set Regression: Conditional Quantiles via Volume Minimization

    May 7, 2026Sacha Braun, Michael I. Jordan, Francis BachQuantile RegressionConditional Distribution

    Sierra team, Inria Paris, France · Departments of EECS and Statistics, UC Berkeley, USA

  37. Conformalized Percentile Interval: Finite Sample Validity and Improved Conditional Performance

    May 4, 2026Ran Zou, Wanrong Zhu, Bin NanConditional DistributionFinite-Sample

    Department of Statistics, University of California, Irvine

  38. Measuring Differences between Conditional Distributions using Kernel Embeddings

    May 4, 2026Peter Moskvichev, Siu Lun Chau, Dino SejdinovicConditional DistributionMaximum Mean Discrepancy

    School of Mathematical Sciences, Adelaide University · College of Computing and Data Science, Nanyang Technological University

  39. MIRA: A Score for Conditional Distribution Accuracy and Model Comparison

    May 3, 2026Sammy Sharief, Justine Zeghal, Gabriel Missael Barco +3Conditional DistributionBayesian Inference

    Mila – Québec AI Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada · Ciela Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada · Université de Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada +4

  40. Robust Conditional Conformal Prediction via Branched Normalizing Flow

    May 3, 2026Rui Xu, Xingyuan Chen, Wenxing Huang +4Online Conformal PredictionNormalizing Flows

    Information Hub, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou) · The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University

  41. Interpretable Quantile Regression by Optimal Decision Trees

    Apr 22, 2026Valentin Lemaire, Gaël Aglin, Siegfried NijssenMulti-Quantile RegressionDecision Trees

    Euranova, Rue Emile Francqui, Mont-Saint-Guibert, Belgium · Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium

  42. Cold-Start Forecasting of New Product Life-Cycles via Conditional Diffusion Models

    Apr 22, 2026Ruihan Zhou, Zishi Zhang, Jinhui Han +2Conditional DistributionLifecycle

    Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China · Department of Industrial Engineering and Decision Analytics, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong SAR, China

  43. Multi-modal Test-time Adaptation via Adaptive Probabilistic Gaussian Calibration

    Apr 21, 2026Jinglin Xu, Yi Li, Chuxiong Sun +3ModalitiesConditional Distribution

    Institute of Software Chinese Academy of Sciences · University of Chinese Academy of Sciences · National Defense University

  44. Identification of Bivariate Causal Directionality Based on Anticipated Asymmetric Geometries

    Mar 27, 2026Alex GlushkovskyCausal ModelingConditional Distribution

  45. Conditional Distributional Treatment Effects: Doubly Robust Estimation and Testing

    Mar 17, 2026Saksham Jain, Alex LuedtkeHeterogeneous Treatment EffectsCovariate Balancing

    Department of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, USA · Departments of Health Care Policy and Statistics, Harvard University, USA

  46. Coarsening Bias from Variable Discretization in Causal Functionals

    Feb 25, 2026Xiaxian Ou, Razieh NabiDiscretizationCoarse

    Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, U.S.A.

  47. Native Extrapolation Awareness in Flow-Based Conditional Generation

    Feb 13, 2026Constantinos Tsakonas, Serena Ivaldi, Jean-Baptiste MouretFlow ModelsExtrapolation

    Inria, Université de Lorraine, CNRS, Loria Nancy, France

  48. Parametric and Generative Forecasts of EPEX Day\char45 Ahead Energy Market Curves

    Jan 28, 2026Julian Gutierrez, Redouane SilventeElectricity Price ForecastingElectricity Markets

    New York University Abu Dhabi, Saadiyat Island, PO Box 129188, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates · CREST, ENSAE, Institut Polytechnique de Paris, 5 Avenue Henry Le Chatelier 91120 Palaiseau, France

  49. Imbalance-Robust and Sampling-Efficient Continuous Conditional GANs via Adaptive Vicinal Learning and Auxiliary Regularization

    Aug 3, 2025Xin Ding, Yun Chen, Yongwei Wang +4Conditional GansGenerative Adversarial Network

    School of Artificial Intelligence/School of Future Technology, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China · Perceptual and Generative AI Lab, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China · College of Media, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China

  50. Probabilistic Approach to Black-Box Binary Optimization with Budget Constraints: Application to Sensor Placement

    Jun 9, 2024Ahmed AttiaBayesian Experimental DesignBlack-Box Optimization

    Mathematics and Computer Science Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL, USA