Evaluating the Generalization of Neuroimaging Foundation Models on African Brain MRI

Neuroimaging foundation models pretrained on large, predominantly western cohorts are increasingly proposed as general-purpose backbones for brain MRI analysis. Yet, their ability to generalize to underrepresented clinical populations remains largely untested. We evaluate four recent foundation models (BrainIAC, Neuro-JEPA, NeuroVFM, and Primus) on a three-way diagnostic classification task (Control, Dementia, Parkinson's disease) using a cohort of 88 subjects from a Nigerian clinical brain MRI dataset, across four modality configurations (T1w, T2w, T1w+T2w, FLAIR), and compare against an end-to-end trained ViT3D baseline. The frozen backbones collapse to majority-class predictions, while Neuro-JEPA on FLAIR shows modest but still limited discrimination. In contrast, the end-to-end trained ViT3D achieves higher accuracy and MCC on every task (up to 53.4% accuracy, MCC=0.27) and is the only model with non-trivial recall. Our findings suggest that these frozen neuroimaging foundation models are insufficient for fine-grained diagnostic classification in small, non-western clinical cohorts, motivating parameter-efficient adaptation and broader multi-site external validation for equitable deployment in global health settings.