Terminal Shrinkage Averaging Reveals a Schedule-Estimator Interaction in LLM Pretraining

Schedule-Free Learning has shown promise as a practical anytime training method for machine learning, showing success across dozens of standard benchmark problems. However, strong performance for LLM training has only been demonstrated at small scales. We identify a number of fixes necessary to scale up Schedule-Free Learning to larger batch sizes and model sizes, and present a learning-rate-free and schedule-free method (ScheduleFree+) for training large language models which greatly outperforms Warmup-Stable-Decay (WSD) schedules. We also demonstrate that Schedule-Free Learning is most effective for long duration training, and at 1000 tokens per parameter, it outperforms SOTA schedules by 31%. Schedule-Free Learning provides a theoretical foundation for the use of model averaging and checkpoint merging during pretraining.

High-quality data is scarce in large language model (LLM) training, yet how to schedule its use jointly with training dynamics lacks theoretical guidance. We extend functional scaling laws by incorporating a data-quality dimension, and solve the joint data-quality and batch-size scheduling problem in asymptotic closed form. The solution reveals two regimes and a dual role of high-quality data. In the noise-limited regime, high-quality data should be used as a signal amplifier: lowering the batch size converts cleaner data into more signal without amplifying noise. In the signal-limited regime, it should be used as a noise suppressor: late placement reduces terminal noise without sacrificing signal accumulation. Existing curriculum-style pipelines primarily exploit the second role by placing cleaner data late, but miss the first role because conventional decay schedules reduce update intensity exactly when high-quality data becomes available. Guided by this, we propose Drop-Stable-Rampup for LLM midtraining: upon the quality transition, drop the batch size, hold it stable to accumulate signal, then ramp up to suppress terminal noise. On a 15B Mixture-of-Experts model midtrained on 108B tokens, Drop-Stable-Rampup improves average accuracy over Warmup-Stable-Decay (WSD) by +1.70 and over Cosine-decay by +2.98, with particularly large gains on mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as GSM8K (+4.23) and MATH (+2.80).

Many modern Language Model (LM) pipelines return an averaged model, such as an exponential moving average of the training iterates, rather than the final iterate itself. This raises a fundamental question: given that we will return an iterate average, how should we change training to improve the performance of this average? We study this question by formulating optimizer design for the iterate-average estimator as an optimal-control problem. In a continuous-time stochastic quadratic model, we solve for the control strategy that minimizes the error of the returned average subject to a penalty on the size of the intervention. A practical approximation to this controller yields PACE, a lightweight wrapper around AdamW that pulls the live weights toward their exponential moving average with a clipped, per-coordinate control strength. We prove that a stylized version of PACE converges at the standard stochastic convex optimization rate, up to a factor depending on the averaging rule, while in the quadratic setting it can strictly improve the limiting squared error of the iterate-average estimator and can do so by an arbitrarily large factor on some instances. Empirically, our results suggest that PACE improves over AdamW and EMA-evaluated AdamW in supervised fine-tuning of 1-2B parameter LMs and in GPT-2 pretraining on FineWeb for a wide range of learning rates, decay schedules, and other hyperparameters.