AmbiModBench: Benchmarking Gene Perturbation Prediction Beyond Shared Responses

Predicting transcriptional responses to genetic perturbations is fundamental to functional genomics and therapeutic discovery. Recent deep learning models have shown promise in single-cell perturbation response prediction, but they typically generate each response in isolation, without explicitly leveraging related perturbations. We introduce PT-RAG (Perturbation-aware Two-stage Retrieval-Augmented Generation), a plug-in retrieval-and-conditioning module for generative cellular perturbation response. PT-RAG augments an existing perturbation-response backbone with learned access to related perturbation contexts. The key challenge is that relevance is not fixed in this setting: functionally related genes may elicit different effects across cell types. PT-RAG addresses this with a two-stage retrieval mechanism: GenePT-based semantic retrieval first identifies K candidate perturbations, after which a differentiable Gumbel-Softmax selector adaptively selects retrieved contexts conditioned on the control cell state, the query perturbation, and each candidate perturbation. We evaluate PT-RAG on two backbones, a STATE-style generator used as a frozen random reservoir and a fully trained scGPT, across cross-cell-type and cross-perturbation generalization tasks. PT-RAG consistently improves distributional similarity and often overall predictive quality; for example, on scGPT cross-cell-type results, the 2-Wasserstein distance drops by 5.9% relative to scGPT alone. The code to reproduce our experiments is available at https://github.com/difra100/PT-RAG_NIPS.

Predicting transcriptome-wide responses to unseen genetic perturbations remains a major computational challenge because accurate prediction requires recovering both perturbation-specific transcriptional shifts and heterogeneous cellular responses. Existing methods often entangle deterministic response structure with stochastic population-level variation, causing dominant shared patterns to mask weaker perturbation-specific signals and impair distributional modeling. To address these challenges, we propose DeMixPert, an approach for Decomposed response Modeling with Gaussian Mixtures for Out-Of-Distribution (OOD) single-cell Perturbation prediction. DeMixPert decomposes perturbation-induced changes into a basal-state-dependent systematic response, a perturbation-specific response, and population-level variation. The systematic component is derived from the basal state encoded from control-cell expression, whereas the perturbation-specific component is inferred from pretrained target embeddings for unseen-target generalization. DeMixPert models population-level variation using a Gaussian prototype Invertible Network and adaptively combines reusable Gaussian prototypes according to the basal state and perturbation condition. The resulting mixture is mapped to a condition-specific variation distribution. Sampled variations are integrated with the systematic and perturbation-specific components, followed by joint decoding with the basal state to reconstruct perturbed-cell gene expression. Experimental results show that DeMixPert effectively captures heterogeneous single-cell perturbation responses and achieves superior performance across unseen-perturbation settings. The source code is made publicly available upon publication.

Gene perturbation models aim to predict transcriptional responses to unseen genetic interventions, but comparisons rely on heterogeneous evaluation metrics and differentially-expressed (DE) gene subsets. We investigate the consequences of these choices using eight methods across six single-gene perturbation datasets under a unified evaluation protocol. Varying the number of top DE genes reveals substantial instability in Precision-based rankings, with the winning method changing $86.7\%$ of the time, while rankings based on the rest of the metrics remain comparatively stable. Investigating this discrepancy exposes that repeating a single predicted expression profile across cell-level rows, a standard practice for many methods, can inflate significance estimates and produce excessively large predicted significant-DE sets. Specifically we found that $67.1\%$ of tested perturbation--gene pairs pass the significance threshold despite some of them having minuscule effects. We derive an inflation factor showing that replicated predictions can amplify the standardized Mann--Whitney statistic even after correction for tied ranks, without adding independent information. This artifact changes Precision mainly as the number of DE genes increases because for smaller cutoffs, most of the genes are already significant due to the effect-based ordering. Taking this pitfall into account in our benchmark comparison, we find that a random forest using Gene Ontology features achieves the best overall results.