Region-Local Copula Evidence Fusion for Heterogeneous Remote Sensing Change Detection
Authors: Zhiyuan Ji, Junjun Yin, Jian Yang
Organizations: Department of Electronic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, P.R. China · School of Computer and Communication Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing, P.R. China
Superpixel copula models provide stable regional evidence for heterogeneous remote sensing change detection, but a single label per region limits localization within mixed superpixels. This letter develops a region-local copula evidence fusion method that retains the regional decision structure while introducing spatially varying local dependence anomalies. Independently fitted local models characterize departures from unchanged cross-image relationships. Reference ranking and an upper-tail gate transform these anomalies for fusion with continuous regional confidence. We derive the resulting regiondependent local decision threshold and identify a condition under which gating is equivalent to reparameterizing ungated fusion. On Lake and UK, whole-image optimized configurations achieve kappa coefficients of 0.78136 and 0.90817 and improve mixedregion and boundary decisions. Four-fold retrospective spatial validation over ten training subsets confirms complementary local information, with ungated reference fusion increasing mean kappa by 0.00693 and 0.01793. Fixed gating yields a larger UK gain of 0.03353 but only 0.00041 on Lake. These results support regional-local dependence interaction, while showing that calibration and gating have scene-dependent benefits.
Figures & tables
Fig. 2: Whole-image optimized A2 results on Lake (top) and UK (bottom). Columns show the image pair, GT, regional confidence (cool to warm: low to high), and A2 error map. White, black, green, and red denote true positives, true negatives, false positives, and false negatives, respectively. These are the established reference runs, not out-of-fold predictions.
Lake
UK
Method
KC
F1
ACC
KC
F1
ACC
M3CD
.669
.689
.963
.588
.636
.915
FPMS
.552
.588
.925
.816
.837
.962
NPSG
.559
.587
.947
.608
.663
.902
IRG-McS.dist
.739
.754
.971
.714
.749
.939
IRG-McS.sim
.733
.749
.971
.735
.768
.942
TABLE I: Whole-image comparison. Baselines are published values quoted through SCOPS; A2 is the optimized reference run.
Scene
Subset
Pixels
S ACC
A2 ACC
Net gain
Lake
Mixed
14357
.78422
.80685
325
Lake
Boundary
9195
.69897
.71452
143
UK
Mixed
89811
.84197
.89535
4794
UK
Boundary
40416
.73013
.81173
3298
TABLE II: Internal paired localization analysis. S denotes matched SCOPS, used here only for spatial mechanism assessment.
Local evidence / mapping
Lake
UK
Region only
.76853±.00675
.85911±.00672
Copula / min–max
.77363±.00374
.89366±.00762
Copula / reference CDF
.77546±.00735
.87704±.00811
Copula / CDF + gate .97
.76895±.00250
.89265±.00752
Pixel diff. / CDF + gate .97
.76832±.00712
.85702±.00710
Mean diff. / CDF + gate .97
.76786±.00702
.85677±.00710
TABLE III: Retrospective blocked validation: out-of-fold KC mean ± sample standard deviation over ten training subsets. All variants use regional distance confidence.
Local mapping
Lake KC
UK KC
Min–max
.77649±.00384
.89617±.00661
Reference CDF
.76755±.00361
.88870±.00641
Reference CDF + gate .97
.77313±.00423
.89769±.00717
TABLE IV: Whole-image calibration ablation with established regional mappings and a common full threshold grid. Parameters maximize ten-subset mean KC (oracle selection).
Remote sensing change detection (RSCD) is essential for monitoring land-cover changes and urban development. However, most methods demand pixel-level change masks, which are costly and time-consuming to annotate. Weakly supervised methods reduce this cost by using image-level change labels. Yet these labels indicate only whether a change occurs, leaving models to recover the location of the change and semantic meaning through additional and complex mechanisms. This missing information can be supplied directly by change captions, which describe what changes, what it becomes, and where it occurs. Therefore, we introduce change-caption-guided RSCD, using change captions as the sole task-specific supervision to learn change masks without manually annotated change masks. Our framework has two components: a caption-driven generation pipeline that produces bi-temporal remote sensing image pairs at scale with controlled changes matching each caption, and a change detector guided by the caption's transition semantics. The detector uses our Semantic-Appearance Agreement Framework (SAAF) to combine caption-grounded semantic responses with RGB differences for change localization, while text conditioning guides dense prediction. Experiments on our newly constructed Flair-RSGen dataset and WHU-CDC show that SAAF outperforms the closest reproduced limited-supervision baselines in macro-averaged IoU and F1 under the evaluated protocols. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/qianyuancs/SAAF.
Yuan Qian, Jie Ma
School of Information Science and Technology, Beijing Foreign Studies University, Beijing 100089, China
Remote sensing change detection (RSCD) aims to localise changes between two images of the same geographic region. In practice, change masks often follow region-level annotation conventions rather than purely local appearance differences, making them context-dependent and occasionally ambiguous. Most state-of-the-art methods utilise per-pixel discriminative classification, which produces a single prediction per input and fails to explicitly model the changed region as a coherent whole. A natural alternative is generative formulation, which can model a distribution of plausible masks, enabling sampling to capture ambiguity and encourage global consistency. However, existing generative RSCD approaches typically lag behind strong discriminative baselines due to the high computational cost of pixel-space generation and the complexity of their conditioning mechanisms. To address the limitations of prior discriminative and generative methods, we propose ChangeFlow, a generative framework that reformulates change detection as the synthesis of a change mask in latent space via rectified flow. ChangeFlow is guided by a structured yet lightweight conditioning signal, and its stochastic design naturally supports sampling-based prediction ensembling. Namely, aggregating multiple predicted change masks improves robustness, while sample agreement provides a practical confidence estimation that highlights ambiguous regions. Across four benchmarks, ChangeFlow achieves an average F1 of 80.4%, improving by 1.3 points on average over the previous best method, while maintaining inference speed comparable to recent strong baselines. Project page: https://blaz-r.github.io/changeflow_cd
Blaž Rolih, Matic Fučka, Filip Wolf +1
University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Computer and Information Science, Slovenia
Remote sensing change detection (CD) from bi-temporal imagery is critical for applications such as urban monitoring, disaster assessment, and environmental management, yet robust localization remains challenging under sparse changes, noisy labels, and appearance variations. In this paper, we propose Context Sampling Attention (CoSA), a lightweight decoder-side refinement module that explicitly leverages bi-temporal feature correlation as a control signal for adaptive change-aware feature enhancement. This differs from conventional attention mechanisms that rely on implicit feature weighting without explicit temporal control. In the implemented FC-Siam setting, CoSA computes normalized same-location cross-correlation between paired decoder features, converts low correlation into a change gate, and injects the resulting gated residual at native 1/8 and 1/16 feature scales through learnable residual scaling. This design enables effective discrimination between stable and ambiguous regions without relying on computationally expensive global attention. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets (LEVIR-CD, S2Looking, DSIFN, and CLCD) demonstrate consistent improvements over strong baselines, achieving 1.5-2.6% gains in changed-class F1 while introducing negligible parameter overhead. Ablation studies confirm that multiscale placement and learnable residual gating are both important for peak performance. These results indicate that CoSA establishes a practical and effective refinement paradigm for enhancing temporal discriminability in Siamese change detection frameworks.
Abdirashid Omar, Jonghyuk Park
Department of Data Science, Graduate School of Kookmin University Seoul 02707, Republic of Korea