Positions Are Not Facts: The Mismatch Between KV Caches and Memory
Organizations: Fudan University · Baidu · Zhejiang University · Yale University · Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Abstract
When a fact changes, how should a language model update the history stored in its key-value (KV) cache? Hiding the old record is cheap, but it may still contain needed details or answer questions about the past. We compare hiding whole records, hiding only replaced values, and deleting old text and recomputing the cache. In a controlled quantity task, masking makes all eight models prefer the new value more strongly, yet six lose complete answers through unit errors or failure to stop; keeping the unit preserves all current answers. Later states also retain useful information from earlier records: on multi-hop updates, rebuilding these states at unchanged positions lowers historical accuracy by 20-41 percentage points, whereas moving the existing states has little effect. Keeping object dependencies and unchanged revision passages prevents many losses. Recognition is a separate challenge. Learned readouts recover distinctions missed by fixed cache similarities on synthetic record pairs. On natural text, text-detector-selected masks show no clear advantage over random masks at the same rate in 14 same-model detector-generator comparisons. Query-dependent access can avoid some losses, with additional storage or access costs. These findings identify what must be preserved beyond the replaced value when using a KV cache as updatable memory.
Figures & tables
| Current ( ) | Historical ( ) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | Full | Value | Source | Recompute | Full | Value | Source | Recompute |
| Qwen3-4B | 81.2% [-.5pt] (1,462) | 85.7% [-.5pt] (1,543) | 84.2% [-.5pt] (1,515) | 88.3% [-.5pt] (1,590) | 88.2% [-.5pt] (529) | 75% [-.5pt] (450) | 74% [-.5pt] (444) | 33.5% [-.5pt] (201) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 44.2% [-.5pt] (795) | 53.8% [-.5pt] (969) | 63.9% [-.5pt] (1,151) | 70.6% [-.5pt] (1,270) | 85.8% [-.5pt] (515) | 78.8% [-.5pt] (473) | 80.2% [-.5pt] (481) | 60% [-.5pt] (360) |
| Qwen3-32B | 81.8% [-.5pt] (1,473) | 85.3% [-.5pt] (1,535) | 83.2% [-.5pt] (1,498) | 92.8% [-.5pt] (1,671) | 97% [-.5pt] (582) | 82.8% [-.5pt] (497) | 82.3% [-.5pt] (494) | 41.3% [-.5pt] (248) |
| Current ( ) | Historical ( ) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | Source | Rebuild states | Compact rows | Source | Rebuild states | Compact rows |
| Qwen3-4B | 86.3% [-.5pt] (518) | 93.7% [-.5pt] (562) | 84.8% [-.5pt] (509) | 74% [-.5pt] (444) | 32.7% [-.5pt] (196) | 74% [-.5pt] (444) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 66.3% [-.5pt] (398) | 69.7% [-.5pt] (418) | 66.8% [-.5pt] (401) | 80.2% [-.5pt] (481) | 60.3% [-.5pt] (362) | 81.3% [-.5pt] (488) |
| Qwen3-32B | 84.2% [-.5pt] (505) | 95.7% [-.5pt] (574) | 82.5% [-.5pt] (495) | 82.3% [-.5pt] (494) | 44.8% [-.5pt] (269) | 82.2% [-.5pt] (493) |
| BABILong (32k) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical object locations ( ) | |||
| Operation | Qwen3- 4B | Llama- 3.2-3B | Qwen3- 32B |
| Full | 33% (33) | 25% (25) | 40% (40) |
| Whole source | 16% (16) | 6% (6) | 15% (15) |
| Keep dependencies | 31% (31) | 22% (22) | 39% (39) |
Appendix figures & tables105 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Study | Unit | Compared conditions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate scores | Event | 320 | Source mask; matched control |
| Synthetic records | Base group | 50 | Source mask; matched control |
| Quantity factorial | Base group | 10 | Whole/number masks; controls |
| Different units | Base group | 120 | Two later-record versions; full and masked access |
| Detector calibration | Base group | 120 | Fixed threshold; fitted on 18 development groups |
| OAKS narratives | Question | 116 | Option-ID and open answers; source-complete subset: 92 |
| Model | Total/active (B) | Q:KV or MLA | (elem./token) | FFN | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen2.5-0.5B | 0.49 | 24 | 896 | 64/64 | Dense | ||
| Qwen3-0.6B | 0.60 | 28 | 128/128 | Dense | |||
| Llama-3.2-1B | 1.24 | 16 | 64/64 | Dense | |||
| Qwen2.5-1.5B | 1.54 | 28 | 128/128 | Dense | |||
| Qwen3-1.7B | 1.72 | 28 | 128/128 | Dense | |||
| Qwen2.5-3B | 3.09 | 36 | 128/128 | Dense |
| Model | Query | Full | Source | Value | Recompute | Online | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Current state | 720 | 66% [-.5pt] (475) | 69.9% [-.5pt] (503) | 79.2% [-.5pt] (570) | 76% [-.5pt] (547) | 76.7% [-.5pt] (552) |
| Qwen3-4B | History | 1936 | 24.5% [-.5pt] (475) | 11.7% [-.5pt] (226) | 12.9% [-.5pt] (249) | 13.1% [-.5pt] (254) | 14% [-.5pt] (271) |
| Qwen3-4B | Count | 1000 | 33.9% [-.5pt] (339) | 28.7% [-.5pt] (287) | 27.1% [-.5pt] (271) | 22.5% [-.5pt] (225) | 26.2% [-.5pt] (262) |
| Qwen3-4B | Order | 1000 | 13% [-.5pt] (130) | 9.4% [-.5pt] (94) | 10.7% [-.5pt] (107) | 13.1% [-.5pt] (131) | 10.4% [-.5pt] (104) |
| Qwen3-4B | Multi-hop | 1000 | 28.4% [-.5pt] (284) | 20.9% [-.5pt] (209) | 21.9% [-.5pt] (219) | 27.7% [-.5pt] (277) | 24.8% [-.5pt] (248) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Current state | 720 | 51% [-.5pt] (367) | 60.7% [-.5pt] (437) | 60.6% [-.5pt] (436) | 55.8% [-.5pt] (402) | 70% [-.5pt] (504) |
| Model | Query | Full | Source | Value | Recompute | Online | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Current multi-hop | 1800 | 81.2% [-.5pt] (1462) | 84.2% [-.5pt] (1515) | 85.7% [-.5pt] (1543) | 88.3% [-.5pt] (1590) | 84.8% [-.5pt] (1526) |
| Qwen3-4B | Historical multi-hop | 600 | 88.2% [-.5pt] (529) | 74% [-.5pt] (444) | 75% [-.5pt] (450) | 33.5% [-.5pt] (201) | 73.3% [-.5pt] (440) |
| Qwen3-4B | Edited single-hop | 600 | 68.5% [-.5pt] (411) | 70% [-.5pt] (420) | 67.8% [-.5pt] (407) | 70.2% [-.5pt] (421) | 69.3% [-.5pt] (416) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Current multi-hop | 1800 | 44.2% [-.5pt] (795) | 63.9% [-.5pt] (1151) | 53.8% [-.5pt] (969) | 70.6% [-.5pt] (1270) | 64.1% [-.5pt] (1154) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Historical multi-hop | 600 | 85.8% [-.5pt] (515) | 80.2% [-.5pt] (481) | 78.8% [-.5pt] (473) | 60% [-.5pt] (360) | 80% [-.5pt] (480) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Edited single-hop | 600 | 97.7% [-.5pt] (586) | 98.5% [-.5pt] (591) | 98.8% [-.5pt] (593) | 95.7% [-.5pt] (574) | 98.5% [-.5pt] (591) |
| Model | Task/length | Full history or supplied-span masks | Dynamic capacity 512 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Source | Neutral | Rule | Quest | FINCH | RefreshKV | ||
| Qwen3-4B | qa2/8k | 46% [-.5pt] (46) | 57% [-.5pt] (57) | 46% [-.5pt] (46) | 50% [-.5pt] (50) | 32% [-.5pt] (32) | 37% [-.5pt] (37) | 38% [-.5pt] (38) |
| Qwen3-4B | qa2/32k | 36% [-.5pt] (36) | 43% [-.5pt] (43) | 36% [-.5pt] (36) | 39% [-.5pt] (39) | 10% [-.5pt] (10) | 30% [-.5pt] (30) | 45% [-.5pt] (45) |
| Qwen3-4B | qa3/8k | 28% [-.5pt] (28) | 13% [-.5pt] (13) | 29% [-.5pt] (29) | 31% [-.5pt] (31) | 18% [-.5pt] (18) | 30% [-.5pt] (30) | 28% [-.5pt] (28) |
| Qwen3-4B | qa3/32k | 33% [-.5pt] (33) | 16% [-.5pt] (16) | 32% [-.5pt] (32) | 31% [-.5pt] (31) | 9% [-.5pt] (9) | 29% [-.5pt] (29) | 30% [-.5pt] (30) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | qa2/8k | 28% [-.5pt] (28) | 29% [-.5pt] (29) | 29% [-.5pt] (29) | 28% [-.5pt] (28) | 20% [-.5pt] (20) | 26% [-.5pt] (26) | 30% [-.5pt] (30) |
| Model | Access | Official match /400 | Final match /400 | Reference agrees /400 | Source complete /answerable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3.8-27B | Full | 90% [-.5pt] (360/400) | 81.5% [-.5pt] (326/400) | 81.5% [-.5pt] (326/400) | 90.1% [-.5pt] (336/373) |
| Source | 85.5% [-.5pt] (342/400) | 73.8% [-.5pt] (295/400) | 73.5% [-.5pt] (294/400) | 80.4% [-.5pt] (300/373) | |
| Old value | 87.5% [-.5pt] (350/400) | 76% [-.5pt] (304/400) | 75% [-.5pt] (300/400) | 82.8% [-.5pt] (309/373) | |
| Recompute | 88.8% [-.5pt] (355/400) | 85.5% [-.5pt] (342/400) | 85.5% [-.5pt] (342/400) | 95.2% [-.5pt] (355/373) | |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | Full | 31.5% [-.5pt] (126/400) | 28% [-.5pt] (112/400) | 28% [-.5pt] (112/400) | 29.5% [-.5pt] (110/373) |
| Source | 54% [-.5pt] (216/400) | 45.3% [-.5pt] (181/400) | 45.3% [-.5pt] (181/400) | 49.6% [-.5pt] (185/373) |
| Model | Access | EOS (all valid boxes) | Capped | Only box +EOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3.8-27B | Full | 87.3% (349) | 12.8% (51) | 11.3% (45) |
| Source | 78.8% (315) | 21.3% (85) | 11% (44) | |
| Old value | 80.5% (322) | 19.5% (78) | 10.5% (42) | |
| Recompute | 91.5% (366) | 8.5% (34) | 52.3% (209) | |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | Full | 79% (316) | 21% (84) | 0% (0) |
| Source | 54.8% (219) | 45.3% (181) | 0% (0) |
| Model | Access | Official match /396 | Reference agrees /396 | Source complete excluding four | Source complete all questions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3.8-27B | Full | 89.9% [-.5pt] (356/396) | 81.3% [-.5pt] (322/396) | 90% [-.5pt] (332/369) | 90.1% [-.5pt] (336/373) |
| Source | 85.4% [-.5pt] (338/396) | 73.7% [-.5pt] (292/396) | 80.8% [-.5pt] (298/369) | 80.4% [-.5pt] (300/373) | |
| Old value | 87.4% [-.5pt] (346/396) | 75% [-.5pt] (297/396) | 82.9% [-.5pt] (306/369) | 82.8% [-.5pt] (309/373) | |
| Recompute | 88.9% [-.5pt] (352/396) | 85.6% [-.5pt] (339/396) | 95.4% [-.5pt] (352/369) | 95.2% [-.5pt] (355/373) | |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | Full | 31.3% [-.5pt] (124/396) | 27.8% [-.5pt] (110/396) | 29.3% [-.5pt] (108/369) | 29.5% [-.5pt] (110/373) |
| Source | 54% [-.5pt] (214/396) | 45.5% [-.5pt] (180/396) | 49.9% [-.5pt] (184/369) | 49.6% [-.5pt] (185/373) |
| Model | Access | 32k history | 64k history | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official /100 | Complete /answerable | Official /100 | Complete /answerable | ||
| A. Single-hop questions | |||||
| Qwen3.8-27B | Full | 98% [-.5pt] (98/100) | 99% [-.5pt] (99/100) | 98% [-.5pt] (98/100) | 98% [-.5pt] (98/100) |
| Source | 97% [-.5pt] (97/100) | 97% [-.5pt] (97/100) | 99% [-.5pt] (99/100) | 97% [-.5pt] (97/100) | |
| Old value | 98% [-.5pt] (98/100) | 98% [-.5pt] (98/100) | 98% [-.5pt] (98/100) | 98% [-.5pt] (98/100) | |
| Recompute | 98% [-.5pt] (98/100) | 100% [-.5pt] (100/100) | 98% [-.5pt] (98/100) | 100% [-.5pt] (100/100) | |
| Model | Access | Complete + EOS | Wrong + EOS | Capped | Abstain + EOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3.8-27B | Full | 90.1% (336) | 3.2% (12) | 6.7% (25) | 0% (0) |
| Source mask | 80.4% (300) | 4% (15) | 15.5% (58) | 0% (0) | |
| Old value | 82.8% (309) | 3.5% (13) | 13.7% (51) | 0% (0) | |
| Recompute | 95.2% (355) | 2.1% (8) | 2.7% (10) | 0% (0) | |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | Full | 29.5% (110) | 52.8% (197) | 17.2% (64) | 0.5% (2) |
| Source mask | 49.6% (185) | 7.2% (27) | 42.1% (157) | 1.1% (4) |
| Model | Controlled | OAKS excerpts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Whole mask | Control | Full | Whole mask | Control | |
| Qwen2.5-0.5B | 36.2 | 54.4 | 37.2 | 44.4 | 60.3 | 45.0 |
| Qwen2.5-1.5B | 75.6 | 86.2 | 74.7 | 45.0 | 63.8 | 46.3 |
| Qwen2.5-3B | 76.9 | 85.0 | 80.0 | 44.7 | 63.2 | 45.8 |
| Qwen2.5-7B | 92.8 | 92.8 | 91.2 | 50.3 | 66.0 | 49.6 |
| Qwen3-0.6B | 69.1 | 78.4 | 70.3 | 50.4 | 62.3 | 50.2 |
| Model | Format | Full | Whole mask | Control | Margin contrast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | raw | 87.2 | 95.0 | 87.5 | 2.985\;\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[2.722,,3.253]} |
| Qwen3-4B | native | 59.1 | 68.4 | 63.1 | 1.683\;\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[1.173,,2.233]} |
| Qwen3-8B | raw | 94.7 | 93.8 | 93.8 | 2.051\;\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[1.867,,2.233]} |
| Qwen3-8B | native | 58.1 | 70.0 | 57.2 | 1.040\;\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[0.926,,1.156]} |
| Llama-3.2-3B | raw | 82.5 | 90.6 | 82.8 | 1.636\;\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[1.474,,1.803]} |
| Llama-3.2-3B | native | 81.6 | 89.1 | 82.2 | 1.539\;\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[1.389,,1.689]} |
| Model | Candidate accuracy | Source-access comparison | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Control | Source | [95% CI] | Patterns | ||
| Qwen3-32B | 96.56 | 97.81 | 98.12 | +1.87 [1.69, 2.05] | 100% [-.5pt] (8/8) | +0.00 |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 93.44 | 92.81 | 94.69 | +0.85 [0.76, 0.94] | 100% [-.5pt] (8/8) | 1.25 |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 92.50 | 95.94 | 95.31 | +0.66 [0.58, 0.74] | 75% [-.5pt] (6/8) | +1.88 |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 71.88 | 72.50 | 73.44 | +0.54 [0.14, 0.94] | 62.5% [-.5pt] (5/8) | 2.50 |
| Gemma 4 31B | 70.31 | 69.38 | 73.44 | +1.22 [0.79, 1.67] | 75% [-.5pt] (6/8) | 4.06 |
| Model | [95% CI] | [95% CI] | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen2.5-0.5B | 1.05 | +1.51 [1.32, 1.70] | +0.15 [0.09, 0.20] | +1.36 |
| Qwen3-0.6B | 1.21 | +1.19 [1.03, 1.35] | +0.05 [0.01, 0.08] | +1.14 |
| Llama-3.2-1B | 0.37 | +1.10 [0.96, 1.24] | 0.02 [ 0.06, 0.02] | +1.12 |
| Qwen2.5-1.5B | 1.89 | +1.16 [1.03, 1.31] | 0.03 [ 0.06, 0.01] | +1.19 |
| Qwen3-1.7B | 1.29 | +0.94 [0.74, 1.16] | +0.05 [ 0.01, 0.11] | +0.90 |
| Qwen2.5-3B | 3.73 | +2.13 [1.89, 2.36] | +0.02 [ 0.07, 0.11] | +2.11 |
| Model | Format | Candidate accuracy | Source-access comparison | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Control | Source | [95% CI] | |||
| Qwen3-32B | Raw | 96.56 | 97.81 | 98.12 | +1.87 [1.69, 2.05] | +0.00 |
| Qwen3-32B | Native | 85.94 | 85.00 | 90.31 | +2.65 [2.33, 2.97] | 1.88 |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | Raw | 94.06 | 92.81 | 94.69 | +0.84 [0.75, 0.94] | 2.19 |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | Native | 95.00 | 93.12 | 95.00 | +1.92 [1.70, 2.14] | 3.75 |
| Llama-3.1-70B | Raw | 92.50 | 95.94 | 95.31 | +0.66 [0.58, 0.74] | +1.88 |
| Model | Native minus raw [95% CI] | Native obsolete change (pp) |
|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-32B | +0.78 [0.51, 1.04] | 5.31 [ 7.81, 3.12] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | +1.08 [0.88, 1.27] | 1.87 [ 4.38, 0.63] |
| Llama-3.1-70B | +0.97 [0.85, 1.09] | 3.12 [ 5.00, 1.56] |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | +1.19 [0.60, 1.79] | +0.31 [ 1.88, 2.50] |
| Gemma 4 31B | 0.44 [ 0.93, 0.04] | +0.94 [0.00, 2.19] |
| Model | Full | Control | Source | Obsolete change [95% CI] | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-32B | 52.14 | 51.49 | 68.26 | 16.77 [ 21.16, 12.78] | 5/5 |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 48.41 | 48.59 | 64.29 | 15.70 [ 20.10, 11.53] | 5/5 |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 50.72 | 50.39 | 68.72 | 18.33 [ 23.28, 13.81] | 5/5 |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 57.27 | 56.55 | 65.49 | 8.94 [ 12.32, 5.84] | 5/5 |
| Gemma 4 31B | 58.49 | 58.56 | 59.36 | 0.80 [ 4.10, 2.38] | 2/5 |
| Book | Obsolete change (pp) | (nats) | Control minus full (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| P12 | +1.08 | +4.30 | +3.23 |
| P22 | 1.23 | +0.18 | 4.94 |
| P25 | +0.00 | +5.21 | +0.00 |
| P27 | 3.85 | +1.05 | 1.92 |
| P37 | +0.00 | +5.01 | +4.00 |
| Model | Specified readouts | Retrospective | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K matching | V replacement | V minus surface | Reversed V | |
| Qwen3-32B | 0.701 [0.694] | 0.476 [0.464] | 0.103 [ 0.136, 0.089] | 0.524 [0.517] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 0.879 [0.869] | 0.464 [0.453] | 0.114 [ 0.145, 0.101] | 0.536 [0.527] |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 0.648 [0.641] | 0.454 [0.440] | 0.125 [ 0.160, 0.107] | 0.546 [0.535] |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 0.558 [0.551] | 0.477 [0.458] | 0.101 [ 0.136, 0.082] | 0.523 [0.506] |
| Gemma 4 31B | 0.573 [0.571] | 0.492 [0.483] | 0.087 [ 0.115, 0.074] | 0.508 [0.500] |
| Signal | Replacement AUC | Question relevance |
|---|---|---|
| Lexical overlap | 0.500 | 1.000 |
| Attention to the old source | 0.356–0.525 | 0.316–0.953 |
| Signed leave-one-out | 0.466–0.724 | 0.350–0.636 |
| Qwen3-8B V distance | 0.999\;\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[0.998,,1.000]} | – |
| Model | AUC [one-sided lower bound] | Relation AUC minus surface baseline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matching | Relation | Intrinsic | History | ||
| Qwen3-4B | 0.974 [0.968] | 0.696 [0.682] | 0.054 | 0.002 | 0.076 |
| Qwen3-8B | 0.968 [0.963] | 0.790 [0.766] | +0.040 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 0.959 [0.951] | 0.813 [0.792] | +0.063 | 0.007 | 0.010 |
| Llama-3.1-8B | 0.950 [0.941] | 0.847 [0.830] | +0.097 | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Qwen3-32B | 0.931 [0.919] | 0.785 [0.766] | +0.035 | 0.000 | — |
| Relation | Direct classifier | Expanded classifier | Value extraction | Extraction + value filter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Replacement | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) |
| Confirmation | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) |
| Role swap | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 40% [-.5pt] (20/50) | 92% [-.5pt] (46/50) | 0% [-.5pt] (0/50) |
| Role confirmation | 0% [-.5pt] (0/50) | 90% [-.5pt] (45/50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) |
| Old value rejected | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50/50) | 54% [-.5pt] (27/50) | 0% [-.5pt] (0/50) |
| Unrelated entity | 90% [-.5pt] (45/50) | 26% [-.5pt] (13/50) | 66% [-.5pt] (33/50) | 66% [-.5pt] (33/50) |
| Model | Value-vector distance | Learned classifier | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed | Sign chosen | Head chosen | Separate | Joint K/V | Joint hidden | |
| Qwen3-4B | 0.471 | 0.529 | 0.479 | 0.675 | 0.637 | 0.730 |
| Qwen3-8B | 0.499 | 0.501 | 0.638 | 0.626 | 0.537 | 0.525 |
| Qwen3-32B | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.701 | 0.663 | 0.794 | 0.724 |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 0.431 | 0.569 | 0.621 | 0.626 | 0.810 | 0.755 |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 0.473 | 0.527 | 0.498 | 0.696 | 0.640 | 0.738 |
| Model | K/V and hidden depths | Sign | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-32B | 16/32/48/63 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.1 |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 15/31/47/63 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 20/40/60/79 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 7/15/22/29 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Gemma 4 31B | 15/30/45/59 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.1 | 0.01 |
| Model | Features | All cases AUC | Role cases AUC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Concatenation | 0.534 [0.513, 0.555] | 0.490 [0.408, 0.568] |
| Qwen3-4B | Interaction | 0.338 [0.305, 0.366] | 0.514 [0.479, 0.551] |
| Difference | 0.196 [ 0.226, 0.170] | 0.024 [ 0.053, 0.104] | |
| Qwen3-8B | Concatenation | 0.392 [0.353, 0.431] | 0.495 [0.426, 0.565] |
| Qwen3-8B | Interaction | 0.645 [0.614, 0.678] | 0.493 [0.444, 0.545] |
| Difference | 0.253 [0.198, 0.311] | 0.002 [ 0.083, 0.077] |
| Model | Threshold | Dev. BA | Whole-source net [95% CI] | Number-only net [95% CI] | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conditional | Joint CI | Conditional | Joint CI | |||
| Qwen3-4B | 0.989013057 | 0.833 | 38 [ 46, 31] | [ 45, 28] | 1 [ 3, +0] | [ 3, +0] |
| Qwen3-8B | 0.995929862 | 0.694 | 19 [ 27, 12] | [ 42, 13] | 3 [ 7, +1] | [ 22, +1] |
| Qwen3-32B | 0.999941709 | 1.000 | 14 [ 21, 8] | [ 21, 8] | 0 [+0, +0] | [+0, +0] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 0.924141822 | 1.000 | 0 [+0, +0] | [+0, +0] | 0 [+0, +0] | [+0, +0] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 0.268941427 | 0.611 | 2 [ 5, +0] | [ 9, +0] | 1 [ 3, +0] | [ 4, +0] |
| Model | Selected | Current: fixed | Current: calibrated | History: calibrated | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed | Calib. | Whole | Number | Whole | Number | Whole | Number | |
| Qwen3-4B | 70% [-.5pt] (168) | 62.9% [-.5pt] (151) | 18.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 44) | 1.7 pp [-.5pt] ( 4) | 15.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 38) | 0.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 1) | 62.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 151) | 62.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 151) |
| Qwen3-8B | 74.2% [-.5pt] (178) | 65.4% [-.5pt] (157) | 15 pp [-.5pt] ( 36) | 7.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 19) | 7.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 19) | 1.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 3) | 65.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 157) | 65.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 157) |
| Qwen3-32B | 83.3% [-.5pt] (200) | 39.6% [-.5pt] (95) | 19.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 47) | 9.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 23) | 5.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 14) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 39.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 95) | 39.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 95) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 66.7% [-.5pt] (160) | 49.6% [-.5pt] (119) | 0.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 2) | 0.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 2) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 49.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 119) | 49.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 119) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 45.4% [-.5pt] (109) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 2) | 0.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 1) | 45.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 109) | 45.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 109) |
| Model | Selected conditions | Whole-source change | Number-only change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Replaced | Other | Replaced | Other | Total | Replaced | Other | Total | |
| Qwen3-4B | 100% [-.5pt] (120) | 40% [-.5pt] (48) | 15.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 37) | 2.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 7) | 18.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 44) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 1.7 pp [-.5pt] ( 4) | 1.7 pp [-.5pt] ( 4) |
| Qwen3-8B | 100% [-.5pt] (120) | 48.3% [-.5pt] (58) | 6.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 15) | 8.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 21) | 15 pp [-.5pt] ( 36) | 0.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 1) | 8.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 20) | 7.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 19) |
| Qwen3-32B | 100% [-.5pt] (120) | 66.7% [-.5pt] (80) | 10 pp [-.5pt] ( 24) | 9.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 23) | 19.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 47) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 9.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 23) | 9.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 23) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (120) | 33.3% [-.5pt] (40) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 2) | 0.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 2) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 2) | 0.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 2) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) |
| Model | Inputs | TP | FP | FN | TN | Acc. (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Records | 30.2% (35) | 4.7% (11) | 69.8% (81) | 95.3% (221) | 73.6 |
| Qwen3-4B | Records + question | 61.2% (71) | 7.3% (17) | 38.8% (45) | 92.7% (215) | 82.2 |
| Qwen3-8B | Records | 50.9% (59) | 12.1% (28) | 49.1% (57) | 87.9% (204) | 75.6 |
| Qwen3-8B | Records + question | 67.2% (78) | 3.4% (8) | 32.8% (38) | 96.6% (224) | 86.8 |
| Generator | Records only | Records and question | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detected: share/C/R | Missed: share/C/R | Detected: share/C/R | Missed: share/C/R | |
| Detector: Qwen3-4B | ||||
| Qwen3-4B | 30.2% (35) C: 25.7% (9) R: 0% (0) | 69.8% (81) C: 22.2% (18) R: 1.2% (1) | 61.2% (71) C: 15.5% (11) R: 1.4% (1) | 38.8% (45) C: 35.6% (16) R: 0% (0) |
| Qwen3-8B | 30.2% (35) C: 5.7% (2) R: 0% (0) | 69.8% (81) C: 6.2% (5) R: 2.5% (2) | 61.2% (71) C: 1.4% (1) R: 0% (0) | 38.8% (45) C: 13.3% (6) R: 4.4% (2) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 30.2% (35) C: 14.3% (5) R: 2.9% (1) | 69.8% (81) C: 16% (13) R: 3.7% (3) | 61.2% (71) C: 11.3% (8) R: 4.2% (3) | 38.8% (45) C: 22.2% (10) R: 2.2% (1) |
| Detector: Qwen3-8B | ||||
| Source relation | Outcome | Qwen3-4B | Qwen3-8B | Llama-3.2-3B | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Attribute changes | 22 | Full correct | 81.8% (18) | 86.4% (19) | 86.4% (19) |
| Masked correct | 90.9% (20) | 90.9% (20) | 81.8% (18) | ||
| Corrections | 9.1% (2) | 4.5% (1) | 4.5% (1) | ||
| Reversals | 0% (0) | 0% (0) | 9.1% (2) | ||
| Attribute changes, unambiguous | 12 | Full correct | 91.7% (11) | 91.7% (11) | 83.3% (10) |
| Masked correct | 91.7% (11) | 91.7% (11) | 66.7% (8) |
| Model | Input | Selected | Net | Random (pp) | Gain pp, 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen 4B | A/B | 30.2% (35) | 7.8 pp ( 9) | 6.8 pp ( 7.84) | +1.00 [ 2.62, +4.64] |
| Qwen 4B | A/B + query | 61.2% (71) | 8.6 pp ( 10) | 13.7 pp ( 15.91) | 5.10 [ 9.01, 1.13] |
| Qwen 8B | A/B | 50.9% (59) | 1.7 pp ( 2) | 2.2 pp ( 2.54) | 0.47 [ 2.99, +1.92] |
| Qwen 8B | A/B + query | 67.2% (78) | 2.6 pp ( 3) | 2.9 pp ( 3.36) | 0.31 [ 2.90, +2.20] |
| Model | Synthetic detector accuracy | Affirmed-value triggers | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Original | Expanded | Affirmed values | True triggers | False triggers | |
| Qwen3-32B | 95.7% [-.5pt] (287/300) | 91.3% [-.5pt] (274/300) | 98% [-.5pt] (294/300) | 100% [-.5pt] (150/150) | 4% [-.5pt] (6/150) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (300/300) | 100% [-.5pt] (300/300) | 100% [-.5pt] (300/300) | 100% [-.5pt] (150/150) | 0% [-.5pt] (0/150) |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 92% [-.5pt] (276/300) | 89.3% [-.5pt] (268/300) | 93.3% [-.5pt] (280/300) | 99.3% [-.5pt] (149/150) | 12.7% [-.5pt] (19/150) |
| Gemma 4 31B | 100% [-.5pt] (300/300) | 98.3% [-.5pt] (295/300) | 100% [-.5pt] (300/300) | 100% [-.5pt] (150/150) | 0% [-.5pt] (0/150) |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 96.7% [-.5pt] (290/300) | 93.7% [-.5pt] (281/300) | 98% [-.5pt] (294/300) | 100% [-.5pt] (150/150) | 4% [-.5pt] (6/150) |
| Model | Question | Full | Detected | Routing | Oracle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-32B | Current | 99% (297) | 93.7% (281) | 93.7% (281) | 98.3% (295) |
| Historical | 100% (300) | 77% (231) | 100% (300) | 82.3% (247) | |
| Unrelated | 99.3% (298) | 94.3% (283) | 99.3% (298) | 93.7% (281) | |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | Current | 100% (300) | 94.3% (283) | 94.3% (283) | 100% (300) |
| Historical | 100% (300) | 88% (264) | 100% (300) | 93.3% (280) | |
| Unrelated | 100% (300) | 100% (300) | 100% (300) | 100% (300) |
| Detector | TP | FN | FP | TN | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Records only: , | |||||
| Qwen3-4B | 45.5% (10) | 54.5% (12) | 34% (18) | 66% (35) | 60% (45) |
| Qwen3-8B | 59.1% (13) | 40.9% (9) | 52.8% (28) | 47.2% (25) | 50.7% (38) |
| Qwen3-32B | 50% (11) | 50% (11) | 30.2% (16) | 69.8% (37) | 64% (48) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 40.9% (9) | 59.1% (13) | 9.4% (5) | 90.6% (48) | 76% (57) |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 45.5% (10) | 54.5% (12) | 3.8% (2) | 96.2% (51) | 81.3% (61) |
| Model | Records only | Records and question | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected / net | Excess over random | Selected / net | Excess over random | |
| Qwen3-4B | 30.2% (35) 7.8 pp ( 9) | +1.00 [ 2.50, 4.74] | 61.2% (71) 8.6 pp ( 10) | 5.10 [ 8.86, 1.43] |
| Qwen3-8B | 50.9% (59) 1.7 pp ( 2) | 0.47 [ 2.99, 2.00] | 67.2% (78) 2.6 pp ( 3) | 0.31 [ 2.90, 2.05] |
| Qwen3-32B | 30.2% (35) 1.7 pp ( 2) | +0.42 [ 2.07, 3.05] | 63.8% (74) 1.7 pp ( 2) | 1.03 [ 3.72, 1.52] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 14.7% (17) 0 pp ( 0) | 1.14 [ 2.03, 0.45] | 31.9% (37) 0.9 pp ( 1) | 1.61 [ 3.40, 0.24] |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 13.8% (16) 0.9 pp ( 1) | 0.21 [ 1.66, 1.63] | 47.4% (55) 1.7 pp ( 2) | 1.95 [ 5.08, 1.16] |
| Source class ( ) | Outcome | Qwen3-4B | Qwen3-8B | Llama-3.2-3B |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strict replacement (29) | Detector trigger | 27.6% (8) | 51.7% (15) | – |
| Correct: F M | 79.3% (23) 93.1% (27) | 89.7% (26) 93.1% (27) | 75.9% (22) 79.3% (23) | |
| Old: F M | 20.7% (6) 6.9% (2) | 10.3% (3) 0% (0) | 24.1% (7) 20.7% (6) | |
| UNKNOWN: F M | 0% (0) 0% (0) | 0% (0) 6.9% (2) | 0% (0) 0% (0) | |
| Corrections | 13.8% (4) | 3.4% (1) | 6.9% (2) | |
| Reversals | 0% (0) | 0% (0) | 3.4% (1) |
| Model | Query | Full | Whole | Whole ctrl. | Number-only | Number ctrl. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Current | 83.3% [-.5pt] (200) | 45% [-.5pt] (108) | 82.9% [-.5pt] (199) | 67.5% [-.5pt] (162) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (200) |
| Qwen3-4B | Historical | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 9.2% [-.5pt] (22) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 17.1% [-.5pt] (41) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Qwen3-4B | Unrelated | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Qwen3-8B | Current | 84.2% [-.5pt] (202) | 55.4% [-.5pt] (133) | 84.2% [-.5pt] (202) | 67.5% [-.5pt] (162) | 84.6% [-.5pt] (203) |
| Qwen3-8B | Historical | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 10.8% [-.5pt] (26) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 16.7% [-.5pt] (40) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Qwen3-8B | Unrelated | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Model | Input | Selected | Non-repl. | Net whole | Net number-only |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Pair YES/NO | 70% [-.5pt] (168) | 40% [-.5pt] (48) | 18.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 44) | 1.7 pp [-.5pt] ( 4) |
| Qwen3-4B | Value extraction | 83.3% [-.5pt] (200) | 66.7% [-.5pt] (80) | 32.1 pp [-.5pt] ( 77) | 15.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 38) |
| Qwen3-4B | True replacement labels | 50% [-.5pt] (120) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 15.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 37) | 0 pp [-.5pt] ( 0) |
| Qwen3-8B | Pair YES/NO | 74.2% [-.5pt] (178) | 48.3% [-.5pt] (58) | 15 pp [-.5pt] ( 36) | 7.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 19) |
| Qwen3-8B | Value extraction | 83.3% [-.5pt] (200) | 66.7% [-.5pt] (80) | 23.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 56) | 14.2 pp [-.5pt] ( 34) |
| Qwen3-8B | True replacement labels | 50% [-.5pt] (120) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 6.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 15) | 0.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 1) |
| Model | Pool | Selected | Prec. (%) | Neg. | Full | Net whole | Net number |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | All | 70% [-.5pt] (168) | 71.4 | 40% [-.5pt] (48) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (200) | 18.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 44) | 1.7 pp [-.5pt] ( 4) |
| Exclude | 64% [-.5pt] (128) | 93.8 | 10% [-.5pt] (8) | 100% [-.5pt] (200) | 22 pp [-.5pt] ( 44) | 2 pp [-.5pt] ( 4) | |
| Qwen3-8B | All | 74.2% [-.5pt] (178) | 67.4 | 48.3% [-.5pt] (58) | 84.2% [-.5pt] (202) | 15 pp [-.5pt] ( 36) | 7.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 19) |
| Exclude | 69% [-.5pt] (138) | 87.0 | 22.5% [-.5pt] (18) | 99.5% [-.5pt] (199) | 16.5 pp [-.5pt] ( 33) | 8 pp [-.5pt] ( 16) | |
| Qwen3-32B | All | 83.3% [-.5pt] (200) | 60.0 | 66.7% [-.5pt] (80) | 76.3% [-.5pt] (183) | 19.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 47) | 9.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 23) |
| Exclude | 80% [-.5pt] (160) | 75.0 | 50% [-.5pt] (40) | 90.5% [-.5pt] (181) | 22.5 pp [-.5pt] ( 45) | 10.5 pp [-.5pt] ( 21) |
| Model | Unit | Exact | Complete | Missing | Generic | Wrong | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | minutes | 9 | 11.1% [-.5pt] (1) | 11.1% [-.5pt] (1) | 88.9% [-.5pt] (8) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| meters | 14 | 42.9% [-.5pt] (6) | 42.9% [-.5pt] (6) | 35.7% [-.5pt] (5) | 21.4% [-.5pt] (3) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | |
| liters | 10 | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 70% [-.5pt] (7) | 30% [-.5pt] (3) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | |
| volts | 10 | 70% [-.5pt] (7) | 100% [-.5pt] (10) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | |
| grams | 11 | 45.5% [-.5pt] (5) | 54.5% [-.5pt] (6) | 45.5% [-.5pt] (5) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | |
| hours | 6 | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (5) | 16.7% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Relation | Scope | Full/ | Selected | C/R | Net | False |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Replacement | Whole | 99.8% [-.5pt] (958/960) | 87.5% [-.5pt] (840) | 0.1% (1) 20.1% (193) | 20 pp [-.5pt] ( 192) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Number-only | 99.8% [-.5pt] (958/960) | 87.5% [-.5pt] (840) | 0.2% (2) 0% (0) | 0.2 pp [-.5pt] ( 2) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | |
| Confirmation | Whole | 100% [-.5pt] (320/320) | 1.3% [-.5pt] (4) | 0% (0) 0.9% (3) | 0.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 3) | 1.3% [-.5pt] (4) |
| Number-only | 100% [-.5pt] (320/320) | 1.3% [-.5pt] (4) | 0% (0) 0% (0) | 0 pp [-.5pt] ( 0) | 1.3% [-.5pt] (4) | |
| Other attribute | Whole | 18.8% [-.5pt] (60/320) | 80% [-.5pt] (256) | 0% (0) 11.9% (38) | 11.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 38) | 80% [-.5pt] (256) |
| Number-only | 18.8% [-.5pt] (60/320) | 80% [-.5pt] (256) | 0% (0) 11.9% (38) | 11.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 38) | 80% [-.5pt] (256) |
| Mask condition | Unit in B | Unit from A | Both |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full | 68.3% [-.5pt] (82/120) | 53.3% [-.5pt] (64/120) | 60.8% [-.5pt] (146/240) |
| Whole-source mask | 98.3% [-.5pt] (118/120) | 67.5% [-.5pt] (81/120) | 82.9% [-.5pt] (199/240) |
| Whole-source control | 6.7% [-.5pt] (8/120) | 0% [-.5pt] (0/120) | 3.3% [-.5pt] (8/240) |
| Number-only mask | 70% [-.5pt] (84/120) | 55.8% [-.5pt] (67/120) | 62.9% [-.5pt] (151/240) |
| Number-only control | 67.5% [-.5pt] (81/120) | 54.2% [-.5pt] (65/120) | 60.8% [-.5pt] (146/240) |
| Prompt | Mask | Tokens | Correct | UNKNOWN | [95% CI] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Original | Full | 0 | 60.8% [-.5pt] (146) | 39.2% [-.5pt] (94) | +0.20\,\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[-0.07,,+0.47]} |
| Early note | 31 | 3.3% [-.5pt] (8) | 96.7% [-.5pt] (232) | -3.05\,\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[-3.35,,-2.75]} | |
| Middle note | 31 | 67.9% [-.5pt] (163) | 32.1% [-.5pt] (77) | +0.52\,\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[+0.26,,+0.78]} | |
| Late note | 31 | 62.1% [-.5pt] (149) | 37.9% [-.5pt] (91) | +0.24\,\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[-0.01,,+0.48]} | |
| Sentence end | 32 | 3.3% [-.5pt] (8) | 96.7% [-.5pt] (232) | -3.04\,\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[-3.34,,-2.74]} | |
| All note | 127 | 16.3% [-.5pt] (39) | 83.8% [-.5pt] (201) | -1.92\,\text{\color[rgb]{0.4648,0.4648,0.4648}[-2.21,,-1.64]} |
| Model | Change in log probability (nats) | Complete / 60 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current candidate | Old candidate | Control / Mask | |
| Qwen3-4B | 3.82 [ 4.95, 2.74] | 14.73 [ 16.09, 13.38] | 100% (60) 38.3% (23) |
| Qwen3-8B | 3.31 [ 3.90, 2.76] | 26.13 [ 28.46, 23.86] | 100% (60) 73.3% (44) |
| Qwen3-32B | 0.86 [ 1.21, 0.54] | 8.21 [ 9.07, 7.40] | 100% (60) 60% (36) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 0.57 [ 0.66, 0.49] | 8.88 [ 9.34, 8.42] | 100% (60) 100% (60) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 0.48 [ 0.67, 0.30] | 7.53 [ 8.37, 6.72] | 100% (60) 91.7% (55) |
| Model | Current ( ) | Historical ( ) | Unrelated ( ) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Whole | Number | Full | Whole | Number | Full | Whole | Number | |
| Qwen3-4B | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 38.3% [-.5pt] (23) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 9.2% [-.5pt] (22) | 17.1% [-.5pt] (41) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Qwen3-8B | 98.3% [-.5pt] (59) | 73.3% [-.5pt] (44) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 10.8% [-.5pt] (26) | 16.7% [-.5pt] (40) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Qwen3-32B | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 60% [-.5pt] (36) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 14.2% [-.5pt] (34) | 16.7% [-.5pt] (40) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 10.4% [-.5pt] (25) | 17.5% [-.5pt] (42) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 91.7% [-.5pt] (55) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 15.8% [-.5pt] (38) | 3.3% [-.5pt] (8) | 60.8% [-.5pt] (146) | 82.9% [-.5pt] (199) | 62.9% [-.5pt] (151) |
| Generator | Text parameters (B) | Native attention |
|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | 4.02 | Full attention |
| Qwen3-8B | 8.19 | Full attention |
| Qwen3-32B | 32.76 | Full attention |
| Qwen3.8-27B | 26.90 | 16 full-attention, 48 DeltaNet layers |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 3.21 | Full attention |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 70.55 | Full attention |
| Model | Full | Whole | Whole ctrl. | Number | Number ctrl. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 31.7% (19) 38.3% (23) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) |
| Qwen3-8B | 98.3% [-.5pt] (59) | 5% (3) 73.3% (44) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 98.3% [-.5pt] (59) |
| Qwen3-32B | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 83.3% (50) 100% (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 91.7% [-.5pt] (55) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 98.3% [-.5pt] (59) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 98.3% [-.5pt] (59) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) |
| Model | Complete answers | Whole-source failure categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Whole | Number | M/G | Unit | Value | Other | Format | Cap | |
| Qwen3-4B | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 38.3% [-.5pt] (23) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 61.7% [-.5pt] (37) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-8B | 98.3% [-.5pt] (59) | 73.3% [-.5pt] (44) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 26.7% [-.5pt] (16) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-32B | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 60% [-.5pt] (36) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 40% [-.5pt] (24) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 91.7% [-.5pt] (55) | 100% [-.5pt] (60) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 8.3% [-.5pt] (5) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Model | Mask | Selected | Changed answers | Net change by relation | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corr. | Rev. | Replaced | Other | Total | |||
| Qwen3-4B | Whole | 70% [-.5pt] (168) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 18.3% [-.5pt] (44) | 15.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 37) | 2.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 7) | 18.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 44) |
| Number | 70% [-.5pt] (168) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 1.7% [-.5pt] (4) | 0 pp [-.5pt] (0) | 1.7 pp [-.5pt] ( 4) | 1.7 pp [-.5pt] ( 4) | |
| Qwen3-8B | Whole | 74.2% [-.5pt] (178) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 15% [-.5pt] (36) | 6.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 15) | 8.8 pp [-.5pt] ( 21) | 15 pp [-.5pt] ( 36) |
| Number | 74.2% [-.5pt] (178) | 0.4% [-.5pt] (1) | 8.3% [-.5pt] (20) | 0.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 1) | 8.3 pp [-.5pt] ( 20) | 7.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 19) | |
| Qwen3-32B | Whole | 83.3% [-.5pt] (200) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 19.6% [-.5pt] (47) | 10 pp [-.5pt] ( 24) | 9.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 23) | 19.6 pp [-.5pt] ( 47) |
| Model | Lost answers | AUC for a lost answer | Threshold on the current-answer drop | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current-answer drop | Smaller margin gain | Lost flagged | Kept flagged | ||
| Qwen3-4B | 61.7% [-.5pt] (37/60) | 0.98 [0.94, 1.00] | 0.70 [0.57, 0.83] | 94.6% [-.5pt] (35/37) [82, 99]% | 13% [-.5pt] (3/23) [3, 34]% |
| Qwen3-8B | 25.4% [-.5pt] (15/59) | 0.95 [0.88, 0.99] | 0.61 [0.43, 0.78] | 100% [-.5pt] (15/15) [78, 100]% | 88.6% [-.5pt] (39/44) [75, 96]% |
| Qwen3-32B | 40% [-.5pt] (24/60) | 0.98 [0.95, 1.00] | 0.43 [0.28, 0.58] | 87.5% [-.5pt] (21/24) [68, 97]% | 11.1% [-.5pt] (4/36) [3, 26]% |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 0% [-.5pt] (0/60) | – | – | – | 91.7% [-.5pt] (55/60) [82, 97]% |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 8.3% [-.5pt] (5/60) | 0.89 [0.77, 1.00] | 0.11 [0.01, 0.26] | 100% [-.5pt] (5/5) [48, 100]% | 18.2% [-.5pt] (10/55) [9, 31]% |
| Historical matches by stratum | ||||||
| Model | Historical answer | Full | Source | Online | Recompute | Recompute source (points) |
| Qwen3-4B | Retained (520) | 93.5% [-.5pt] (486) | 84.4% [-.5pt] (439) | 83.7% [-.5pt] (435) | 36.9% [-.5pt] (192) | 47.5 [ 52.1, 42.9] |
| Masked only (80) | 53.8% [-.5pt] (43) | 6.3% [-.5pt] (5) | 6.3% [-.5pt] (5) | 11.3% [-.5pt] (9) | +5.0 [ 1.2, 11.2] | |
| Qwen3-32B | Retained (520) | 97.3% [-.5pt] (506) | 93.3% [-.5pt] (485) | 93.5% [-.5pt] (486) | 45.8% [-.5pt] (238) | 47.5 [ 51.9, 43.1] |
| Masked only (80) | 95% [-.5pt] (76) | 11.3% [-.5pt] (9) | 10% [-.5pt] (8) | 12.5% [-.5pt] (10) | +1.2 [ 5.0, 7.5] | |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Retained (520) | 84.8% [-.5pt] (441) | 88.7% [-.5pt] (461) | 88.5% [-.5pt] (460) | 65.2% [-.5pt] (339) | 23.5 [ 27.3, 19.6] |
| Model | Operation | Box-only | Same style as full access | Quotes a masked record | Stopped at 1,024 tokens |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3.8-27B † | Full access | 12.1% [-.5pt] (45) | – | 79.6% [-.5pt] (297) | 6.7% [-.5pt] (25) |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | Full access | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | – | 64.9% [-.5pt] (242) | 17.2% [-.5pt] (64) |
| Model | Cases | Stopped at the limit | First answer correct | Re-check phrase | Missing-referent phrase |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | Unit-dependent replacement | 95% [-.5pt] (57/60) | 98.2% [-.5pt] (56/57) [91, 100]% | 100% [-.5pt] (57/57) | 73.7% [-.5pt] (42/57) |
| Gemma 4 31B | Unit-dependent replacement | 100% [-.5pt] (60/60) | 78.3% [-.5pt] (47/60) [66, 88]% | 100% [-.5pt] (60/60) | 95% [-.5pt] (57/60) |
| Reference: source masking | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current change | Historical change | |||
| Model | Rebuild states | Compact rows | Rebuild states | Compact rows |
| Qwen3-4B | 7.3 [-.5pt] [ 4.7, 10.2] | 1.5 [-.5pt] [ 3.3, 0.3] | 41.3 [-.5pt] [ 45.7, 37.0] | 0.0 [-.5pt] [ 2.0, 1.8] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 3.3 [-.5pt] [ 0.2, 6.8] | 0.5 [-.5pt] [ 1.0, 2.0] | 19.8 [-.5pt] [ 23.3, 16.3] | 1.2 [-.5pt] [ 0.2, 2.5] |
| Qwen3-32B | 11.5 [-.5pt] [ 8.5, 14.5] | 1.7 [-.5pt] [ 3.8, 0.5] | 37.5 [-.5pt] [ 41.5, 33.3] | 0.2 [-.5pt] [ 1.8, 1.7] |
| Complete answers: percentage (count) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | Question | Full | Source | Refresh hidden | Compact | Recompute |
| Qwen3-4B | Historical | 88.2% [-.5pt] (529) | 74% [-.5pt] (444) | 32.7% [-.5pt] (196) | 74% [-.5pt] (444) | 33.5% [-.5pt] (201) |
| Qwen3-4B | Current | 82.5% [-.5pt] (495) | 86.3% [-.5pt] (518) | 93.7% [-.5pt] (562) | 84.8% [-.5pt] (509) | 91.5% [-.5pt] (549) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Historical | 85.8% [-.5pt] (515) | 80.2% [-.5pt] (481) | 60.3% [-.5pt] (362) | 81.3% [-.5pt] (488) | 60% [-.5pt] (360) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Current | 46% [-.5pt] (276) | 66.3% [-.5pt] (398) | 69.7% [-.5pt] (418) | 66.8% [-.5pt] (401) | 72.2% [-.5pt] (433) |
| Qwen3-32B | Historical | 97% [-.5pt] (582) | 82.3% [-.5pt] (494) | 44.8% [-.5pt] (269) | 82.2% [-.5pt] (493) | 41.3% [-.5pt] (248) |
| Model | Question | Source | Oracle 10% | Oracle 30% | Prefix 10% | Prefix 30% | Random 30% | Refresh hidden |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Historical | 74% [-.5pt] (444) | 71.8% [-.5pt] (431) | 56.7% [-.5pt] (340) | 75% [-.5pt] (450) | 75.2% [-.5pt] (451) | 67.2% [-.5pt] (403) | 32.7% [-.5pt] (196) |
| Qwen3-4B | Current | 86.3% [-.5pt] (518) | 87.8% [-.5pt] (527) | 91% [-.5pt] (546) | 85.8% [-.5pt] (515) | 84.3% [-.5pt] (506) | 89.8% [-.5pt] (539) | 93.7% [-.5pt] (562) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Historical | 80.2% [-.5pt] (481) | 78.2% [-.5pt] (469) | 73% [-.5pt] (438) | 77.7% [-.5pt] (466) | 76.8% [-.5pt] (461) | 75.7% [-.5pt] (454) | 60.3% [-.5pt] (362) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Current | 66.3% [-.5pt] (398) | 69.7% [-.5pt] (418) | 71.3% [-.5pt] (428) | 66.5% [-.5pt] (399) | 67.3% [-.5pt] (404) | 67.3% [-.5pt] (404) | 69.7% [-.5pt] (418) |
| Qwen3-32B | Historical | 82.3% [-.5pt] (494) | 80.8% [-.5pt] (485) | 68.7% [-.5pt] (412) | 83.5% [-.5pt] (501) | 83.7% [-.5pt] (502) | 75.2% [-.5pt] (451) | 44.8% [-.5pt] (269) |
| Qwen3-32B | Current | 84.2% [-.5pt] (505) | 83.5% [-.5pt] (501) | 88.5% [-.5pt] (531) | 82.5% [-.5pt] (495) | 81.5% [-.5pt] (489) | 88.5% [-.5pt] (531) | 95.7% [-.5pt] (574) |
| Operation | Complete answers | Unit omitted | Margin change (nats) | Change from masking (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full access | 100% [-.5pt] (60/60) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | – | – |
| Masking | 60% [-.5pt] (36/60) | 40% [-.5pt] (24) | +7.35 [+6.62, +8.15] | – |
| Compaction | 66.7% [-.5pt] (40/60) | 33.3% [-.5pt] (20) | +7.86 [+7.09, +8.70] | +6.7 [+1.7, +13.3] (4/0) |
| Recomputation | 5% [-.5pt] (3/60) | 95% [-.5pt] (57) | +2.31 [+1.45, +3.14] | 55.0 [ 66.7, 41.7] (0/33) |
| No-context wording | No context | Right with the history, among no-context wrong | |||||
| Right | Wrong | Full | Source | Value | Recompute | Online | |
| Qwen3-4B | |||||||
| Historical wording | 16.2% [-.5pt] (97) | 83.8% [-.5pt] (503) | 86.9% [-.5pt] (437) | 71.8% [-.5pt] (361) | 73.2% [-.5pt] (368) | 31.6% [-.5pt] (159) | 70.8% [-.5pt] (356) |
| Bare question | 23.5% [-.5pt] (141) | 76.5% [-.5pt] (459) | 86.3% [-.5pt] (396) | 70.8% [-.5pt] (325) | 72.8% [-.5pt] (334) | 29.8% [-.5pt] (137) | 69.7% [-.5pt] (320) |
| Either wording | 26.5% [-.5pt] (159) | 73.5% [-.5pt] (441) | 86.2% [-.5pt] (380) | 70.3% [-.5pt] (310) | 72.3% [-.5pt] (319) | 29.7% [-.5pt] (131) | 69.4% [-.5pt] (306) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | |||||||
| Model | Complete /92 | Mask difference (pp) [95% CI] | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Source | Control | Versus full | Versus control | |
| Qwen3-4B | 30.4% [-.5pt] (28) | 22.8% [-.5pt] (21) | 32.6% [-.5pt] (30) | 7.6 [ 16.9, +1.1] | 9.8 [ 18.9, 1.1] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 25% [-.5pt] (23) | 27.2% [-.5pt] (25) | 28.3% [-.5pt] (26) | +2.2 [ 5.4, +10.0] | 1.1 [ 9.0, +6.7] |
| Qwen3-32B | 55.4% [-.5pt] (51) | 45.7% [-.5pt] (42) | 57.6% [-.5pt] (53) | 9.8 [ 18.5, 1.1] | 12.0 [ 20.2, 4.3] |
| Model | Reference agrees /116 | Full-complete masked outcome | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Source | Control | Baseline | Partial | Abstain | Wrong | |
| Qwen3-4B | 20.7% [-.5pt] (24) | 19% [-.5pt] (22) | 22.4% [-.5pt] (26) | 28 | 7.1% [-.5pt] (2) | 25% [-.5pt] (7) | 14.3% [-.5pt] (4) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 15.5% [-.5pt] (18) | 20.7% [-.5pt] (24) | 16.4% [-.5pt] (19) | 23 | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 8.7% [-.5pt] (2) | 17.4% [-.5pt] (4) |
| Qwen3-32B | 38.8% [-.5pt] (45) | 41.4% [-.5pt] (48) | 39.7% [-.5pt] (46) | 51 | 7.8% [-.5pt] (4) | 11.8% [-.5pt] (6) | 7.8% [-.5pt] (4) |
| Model | Protocol | Full | Source | Control | Source full (pp) [95% CI] |
| 92 source-answerable questions | |||||
| Qwen3-4B | Source complete | 30.4% [-.5pt] (28) | 22.8% [-.5pt] (21) | 32.6% [-.5pt] (30) | 7.6 [ 16.9, +1.1] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Source complete | 25% [-.5pt] (23) | 27.2% [-.5pt] (25) | 28.3% [-.5pt] (26) | +2.2 [ 5.4, +10.0] |
| Qwen3-32B | Source complete | 55.4% [-.5pt] (51) | 45.7% [-.5pt] (42) | 57.6% [-.5pt] (53) | 9.8 [ 18.5, 1.1] |
| All 116 questions | |||||
| Qwen3-4B | Source complete | 30.4% [-.5pt] (28) | 23.9% [-.5pt] (22) | 32.6% [-.5pt] (30) | 5.2 [ 12.8, +1.8] |
| Changed factor | Qwen3-4B | Qwen3-8B | Llama-3.2-3B |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quantity / Explicit unit requirement | 11.2 [6.2, 15.8] | 10.8 [4.2, 16.7] | 2.1 [ 6.3, 2.5] |
| Quantity / Shelf note | 2.1 [ 1.2, 5.0] | 0.8 [ 3.3, 1.2] | 0.4 [ 1.7, 2.9] |
| Quantity / Unit from A | 4.6 [ 10.4, 2.1] | 10.8 [4.2, 16.7] | 0.4 [ 1.7, 2.9] |
| Quantity / Number-only mask | 23.7 [20.4, 27.1] | 15.8 [12.5, 19.2] | 2.1 [0.0, 5.0] |
| Endpoint / Explicit format requirement | 1.7 [ 3.3, 6.7] | 1.7 [0.0, 4.2] | 0.8 [ 5.0, 4.2] |
| Endpoint / Shelf note | 6.7 [1.7, 11.7] | 1.7 [0.0, 4.2] | 0.8 [ 2.5, 4.2] |
| Model | Complete answers / 150 | Mask minus control [95% CI] | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Control | Mask | Margin (nats) | Accuracy (pp) | |
| Qwen3-4B | 100% [-.5pt] (150) | 100% [-.5pt] (150) | 94.7% [-.5pt] (142) | +1.38 [1.16, 1.62] | 5.3 [ 8.7, 2.0] |
| Qwen3-8B | 96.7% [-.5pt] (145) | 96.7% [-.5pt] (145) | 85.3% [-.5pt] (128) | +1.72 [1.41, 2.05] | 11.3 [ 18.7, 4.7] |
| Qwen3-32B | 100% [-.5pt] (150) | 100% [-.5pt] (150) | 99.3% [-.5pt] (149) | +0.75 [0.51, 1.01] | 0.7 [ 2.0, 0.0] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (150) | 100% [-.5pt] (150) | 100% [-.5pt] (150) | +0.66 [0.54, 0.77] | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 70% [-.5pt] (105) | 70.7% [-.5pt] (106) | 71.3% [-.5pt] (107) | +0.31 [0.13, 0.50] | +0.7 [ 2.0, 4.0] |
| Model | Complete answers | Changed answers | Mask minus control | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Control | Mask | Corr. | Rev. | Accuracy [95% CI] | |
| Qwen3-4B | 100% [-.5pt] (300) | 99.7% [-.5pt] (299) | 80.3% [-.5pt] (241) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 19.3% [-.5pt] (58) | 19.3 [ 21.7, 17.3] |
| Qwen3-8B | 98.3% [-.5pt] (295) | 98.3% [-.5pt] (295) | 74% [-.5pt] (222) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 24.3% [-.5pt] (73) | 24.3 [ 29.0, 20.0] |
| Qwen3-32B | 98.7% [-.5pt] (296) | 98.7% [-.5pt] (296) | 82.7% [-.5pt] (248) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 16% [-.5pt] (48) | 16.0 [ 17.7, 14.3] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (300) | 100% [-.5pt] (300) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (250) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 16.7% [-.5pt] (50) | 16.7 [ 16.7, 16.7] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 63.7% [-.5pt] (191) | 64% [-.5pt] (192) | 62.3% [-.5pt] (187) | 1% [-.5pt] (3) | 2.7% [-.5pt] (8) | 1.7 [ 4.0, 0.7] |
| Model | Complete answers | Mask minus control [95% CI] | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Control | Mask | Margin (nats) | Accuracy (pp) | |
| Qwen3-4B | 65.5% [-.5pt] (76) | 65.5% [-.5pt] (76) | 87.9% [-.5pt] (102) | +9.49 [7.39, 11.72] | +22.4 [14.7, 31.0] |
| Qwen3-8B | 83.6% [-.5pt] (97) | 82.8% [-.5pt] (96) | 87.9% [-.5pt] (102) | +3.77 [2.56, 5.02] | +5.2 [0.9, 10.3] |
| Qwen3-32B | 85.3% [-.5pt] (99) | 84.5% [-.5pt] (98) | 89.7% [-.5pt] (104) | +4.40 [3.58, 5.27] | +5.2 [0.0, 10.3] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 86.2% [-.5pt] (100) | 86.2% [-.5pt] (100) | 94% [-.5pt] (109) | +1.02 [0.74, 1.31] | +7.8 [3.4, 12.9] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 64.7% [-.5pt] (75) | 67.2% [-.5pt] (78) | 76.7% [-.5pt] (89) | +1.17 [0.81, 1.55] | +9.5 [2.6, 17.2] |
| Model | Response categories | Mask minus control | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrong | UNKNOWN | Format | Limit | Corr. | Rev. | |
| Qwen3-4B | 11.2% [-.5pt] (13) | 0.9% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 24.1% [-.5pt] (28) | 1.7% [-.5pt] (2) |
| Qwen3-8B | 4.3% [-.5pt] (5) | 7.8% [-.5pt] (9) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 6.9% [-.5pt] (8) | 1.7% [-.5pt] (2) |
| Qwen3-32B | 4.3% [-.5pt] (5) | 6% [-.5pt] (7) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 6.9% [-.5pt] (8) | 1.7% [-.5pt] (2) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 6% [-.5pt] (7) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 7.8% [-.5pt] (9) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 22.4% [-.5pt] (26) | 0.9% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 13.8% [-.5pt] (16) | 4.3% [-.5pt] (5) |
| Model | Notebook condition ( ) | Shelf condition ( ) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Whole ctrl. | Whole | Number ctrl. | Number | Full | Whole ctrl. | Whole | Number ctrl. | Number | |
| A. Original question | ||||||||||
| Qwen3-4B | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) |
| Qwen3-8B | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 33.3% [-.5pt] (10) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 90% [-.5pt] (27) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 80% [-.5pt] (24) | 23.3% [-.5pt] (7) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 86.7% [-.5pt] (26) |
| Qwen3-32B | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 96.7% [-.5pt] (29) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 96.7% [-.5pt] (29) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) |
| Model | Notebook condition ( ) | Shelf condition ( ) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Whole ctrl. | Whole | Number ctrl. | Number | Full | Whole ctrl. | Whole | Number ctrl. | Number | |
| A. Original question | ||||||||||
| Qwen3-4B | 60% [-.5pt] (18) | 60% [-.5pt] (18) | 3.3% [-.5pt] (1) | 56.7% [-.5pt] (17) | 76.7% [-.5pt] (23) | 43.3% [-.5pt] (13) | 50% [-.5pt] (15) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 43.3% [-.5pt] (13) | 66.7% [-.5pt] (20) |
| Qwen3-8B | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-32B | 70% [-.5pt] (21) | 66.7% [-.5pt] (20) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 70% [-.5pt] (21) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 60% [-.5pt] (18) | 60% [-.5pt] (18) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 63.3% [-.5pt] (19) | 76.7% [-.5pt] (23) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 63.3% [-.5pt] (19) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 83.3% [-.5pt] (25) | 80% [-.5pt] (24) | 80% [-.5pt] (24) | 63.3% [-.5pt] (19) | 80% [-.5pt] (24) | 86.7% [-.5pt] (26) |
| Model | Number minus whole | Explicit request | Earlier unit needed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | +23.8 [20.4, 27.1] | +11.2 [6.2, 15.8] | 4.6 [ 10.8, 2.1] |
| Qwen3-8B | +15.8 [12.5, 19.2] | +10.8 [4.2, 16.7] | +10.8 [4.2, 16.7] |
| Qwen3-32B | +25.0 [23.3, 27.1] | +8.3 [4.2, 12.5] | 16.7 [ 23.8, 9.2] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | +5.4 [2.5, 8.8] | +3.8 [0.8, 6.7] | 3.8 [ 6.7, 0.8] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | +2.1 [0.0, 4.6] | 2.1 [ 6.2, 2.5] | +0.4 [ 1.7, 2.5] |
| Llama-3.1-70B | +23.3 [20.4, 25.8] | 1.7 [ 10.0, 6.7] | 5.8 [ 10.0, 2.1] |
| Model | Notebook condition ( ) | Shelf condition ( ) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Whole ctrl. | Whole | Endpoint ctrl. | Endpoint | Full | Whole ctrl. | Whole | Endpoint ctrl. | Endpoint | |
| A. Original question | ||||||||||
| Qwen3-4B | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 90% [-.5pt] (27) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 86.7% [-.5pt] (26) | 86.7% [-.5pt] (26) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 86.7% [-.5pt] (26) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) |
| Qwen3-8B | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 93.3% [-.5pt] (28) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) |
| Qwen3-32B | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) | 100% [-.5pt] (30) |
| Model | Endpoint minus whole | Explicit request | Shelf minus notebook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | +1.7 [ 3.3, 6.7] | +6.7 [1.7, 11.7] |
| Qwen3-8B | +1.7 [0.0, 4.2] | +1.7 [0.0, 4.2] | +1.7 [0.0, 4.2] |
| Qwen3-32B | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | +2.5 [ 4.2, 10.0] | 0.8 [ 5.0, 4.2] | +0.8 [ 2.5, 4.2] |
| Llama-3.1-70B | +0.0 [ 2.5, 2.5] | +1.7 [0.0, 4.2] | +0.0 [ 2.5, 2.5] |
| Configuration | Q3-32 | Q3.8 | L3-3 | L3.1-70 | G4-26 | G4-31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Original: full | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 60.8% [-.5pt] (146) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Original: early note | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 3.3% [-.5pt] (8) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Original: middle note | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 67.9% [-.5pt] (163) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Original: late note | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 62.1% [-.5pt] (149) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Through sentence end | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 3.3% [-.5pt] (8) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| All note | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 16.3% [-.5pt] (39) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) |
| Model | Earlier | Later | accuracy (pp) | margin (nats) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-32B | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | 0.30 [ 0.44, 0.16] |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | +0.11 [0.07, 0.14] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 3.3% [-.5pt] (8) | 60.8% [-.5pt] (146) | +57.5 [49.6, 65.0] | +3.10 [2.98, 3.22] |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | +0.59 [0.52, 0.66] |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | 0.06 [ 0.11, 0.01] |
| Gemma 4 31B | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | +0.0 [0.0, 0.0] | 0.06 [ 0.32, 0.18] |
| Model | Panel | Outputs | Responses reaching the token limit | Correct | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limit 40 | Limit 128 | Limit 256 | ||||
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | OAKS | 348 | 71.3% [-.5pt] (248) | 37.4% [-.5pt] (130) | 17.2% [-.5pt] (60) | 24.1% [-.5pt] (84) |
| Llama-3.1-70B | Synthetic | 900 | 3.8% [-.5pt] (34) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 83.7% [-.5pt] (753) |
| Llama-3.1-70B | Factorial | 1800 | 0.1% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 83.8% [-.5pt] (1508) |
| Note | Full | Old-source-length note mask | Four note tokens masked | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | Preserve first four | First four | Last four | ||
| Repeated | 60.8% [-.5pt] (146) | 3.3% [-.5pt] (8) | 7.5% [-.5pt] (18) | 59.6% [-.5pt] (143) | 64.6% [-.5pt] (155) |
| Varied | 90.8% [-.5pt] (218) | 77.5% [-.5pt] (186) | 80.8% [-.5pt] (194) | 87.9% [-.5pt] (211) | 87.9% [-.5pt] (211) |
| Policy | Qwen3-4B | Qwen3-8B | Llama-3.2-3B | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact | C | H | Exact | C | H | Exact | C | H | |
| Keep all | 98.3 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 91.7 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 66.0 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| Latest record, recompute | 95.7 | 2.7 | 36.3 | 87.0 | 4.7 | 69.7 | 66.7 | +0.7 | 34.0 |
| Detector, recompute | 92.7 | 5.7 | 22.7 | 86.3 | 5.3 | 41.0 | 65.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 |
| Detector, mask | 86.7 | 11.7 | 16.0 | 82.0 | 9.7 | 24.7 | 63.0 | 3.0 | 21.3 |
| Oracle, mask | 89.7 | 8.7 | 11.0 | 86.3 | 5.3 | 19.0 | 66.7 | +0.7 | 19.3 |
| Policy | Qwen3-4B | Qwen3-8B | Llama-3.2-3B |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keep all | 84.0 | 93.0 | 79.0 |
| Latest record, recompute | 76.7 | 90.3 | 74.7 |
| Detector, recompute | 80.7 | 94.0 | 76.0 |
| Detector, mask | 81.3 | 86.7 | 79.0 |
| Oracle relation, mask | 80.3 | 87.3 | 79.0 |
| Oracle relation, recompute | 80.3 | 94.0 | 74.3 |
| Generator | Policy | Exact (%) | Value (%) | Unit | UNK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Keep all | 98.3 | 99.0 | 0.7% [-.5pt] (2) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-4B | Detector mask | 86.7 | 93.0 | 6.3% [-.5pt] (19) | 6% [-.5pt] (18) |
| Qwen3-4B | Oracle mask | 89.7 | 96.0 | 6.3% [-.5pt] (19) | 1.7% [-.5pt] (5) |
| Qwen3-8B | Keep all | 91.7 | 98.3 | 6.7% [-.5pt] (20) | 1.3% [-.5pt] (4) |
| Qwen3-8B | Detector mask | 82.0 | 92.3 | 10.3% [-.5pt] (31) | 7.7% [-.5pt] (23) |
| Qwen3-8B | Oracle mask | 86.3 | 96.7 | 10.3% [-.5pt] (31) | 3.3% [-.5pt] (10) |
| Generator | exact | C/R | Unit / UNK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | +1.38 [1.17, 1.62] | 5.3 [ 8.7, 2.0] | 0% (0) 5.3% (8) | 3.3% (5) 2% (3) |
| Qwen3-8B | +1.72 [1.41, 2.06] | 11.3 [ 18.7, 4.7] | 0% (0) 11.3% (17) | 10% (15) 1.3% (2) |
| Llama-3.2-3B | +0.31 [0.13, 0.50] | +0.7 [ 2.0, 3.3] | 2% (3) 1.3% (2) | 0% (0) 0% (0) |
| Dataset | Generator | Full | Old | Ctrl | Value F/O | C/R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual replacement cases (150) | |||||||
| Synthetic | Qwen3-4B | 100.0 | 94.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 / 98.0 | +1.35 [1.12, 1.59] | 0% (0) 5.3% (8) |
| Synthetic | Qwen3-8B | 96.7 | 85.3 | 96.7 | 100.0 / 98.7 | +1.36 [1.05, 1.70] | 0% (0) 11.3% (17) |
| Synthetic | Llama-3.2-3B | 70.0 | 71.3 | 70.7 | 90.0 / 91.3 | +0.27 [0.06, 0.47] | 2.7% (4) 1.3% (2) |
| Non-replacement controls (150) | |||||||
| Synthetic | Qwen3-4B | 100.0 | 66.0 | 99.3 | 100.0 / 66.7 | – | 0% (0) 34% (51) |
| Generator | Relation | Correct | Old | Other | UNK | Invalid | Corr. | Rev. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Replacement | 90% [-.5pt] (45) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 10% [-.5pt] (5) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 10% [-.5pt] (5) |
| Qwen3-4B | Confirmation | 98% [-.5pt] (49) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 2% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 2% [-.5pt] (1) |
| Qwen3-4B | Role swap | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-4B | Role confirm. | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-4B | Rejection | 94% [-.5pt] (47) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 6% [-.5pt] (3) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 6% [-.5pt] (3) |
| Qwen3-4B | Unrelated | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 98% [-.5pt] (49) |
| Generator | Arm | Correct | Old | Other | UNK | Invalid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Full | 65.5% [-.5pt] (76) | 33.6% [-.5pt] (39) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0.9% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-4B | Whole mask | 87.9% [-.5pt] (102) | 11.2% [-.5pt] (13) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0.9% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-4B | Control mask | 65.5% [-.5pt] (76) | 33.6% [-.5pt] (39) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0.9% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-8B | Full | 83.6% [-.5pt] (97) | 16.4% [-.5pt] (19) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-8B | Whole mask | 87.9% [-.5pt] (102) | 4.3% [-.5pt] (5) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 7.8% [-.5pt] (9) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Qwen3-8B | Control mask | 82.8% [-.5pt] (96) | 16.4% [-.5pt] (19) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0.9% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| Model | [95%] | [95%] | [95%] | [95%] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | 2.599 [2.253, 2.930] | 1.788 [1.413, 2.151] | 2.247 [1.897, 2.586] | 0.812 [ 1.079, 0.546] |
| Qwen3-8B | 1.889 [1.650, 2.129] | 2.865 [2.505, 3.230] | 1.877 [1.657, 2.094] | 0.976 [0.738, 1.212] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 0.908 [0.265, 1.570] | 2.738 [2.474, 3.008] | 2.599 [2.354, 2.855] | 1.830 [1.252, 2.407] |
| Llama-3.1-8B | 1.339 [0.560, 2.118] | 2.689 [2.488, 2.896] | 3.178 [2.997, 3.359] | 1.350 [0.652, 2.054] |
| Model | : target / unrelated | : target / unrelated | : target / unrelated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | 0.098/ 0.060 | 0.048/ 0.055 | 0.088/ 0.064 |
| Qwen3-8B | 0.083/0.000 | 0.025/0.000 | 0.065/0.000 |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 0.579/ 0.366 | 0.043/0.111 | 0.035/ 0.054 |
| Llama-3.1-8B | 0.443/ 0.595 | 0.000/ 0.069 | 0.063/0.026 |
| Model | Safeguards pass | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | 2.60 [2.25, 2.93] | 1.79 [1.41, 2.15] | 2.25 [1.90, 2.59] | None |
| Qwen3-8B | 1.89 [1.65, 2.13] | 2.86 [2.51, 3.23] | 1.88 [1.66, 2.09] | |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 0.91 [0.26, 1.57] | 2.74 [2.47, 3.01] | 2.60 [2.35, 2.86] | None |
| Llama-3.1-8B | 1.34 [0.56, 2.12] | 2.69 [2.49, 2.90] | 3.18 [3.00, 3.36] | None |
| Qwen3-32B | 1.61 [1.41, 1.81] | 2.06 [1.75, 2.38] | 1.55 [1.35, 1.75] | None |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 1.80 [1.59, 2.01] | 1.24 [0.99, 1.49] | 1.82 [1.61, 2.02] | , , |
| Model | Operation | Derived note C | Neutral note | Op. ms | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | History | Margin | Current | Margin | |||
| Qwen3-4B | Full | 100.0 | 100.0 | 27.43 | 100.0 | 26.59 | 0.01 |
| Qwen3-4B | Mask A | 100.0 | 100.0 | 27.52 | 100.0 | 26.76 | 0.01 |
| Qwen3-4B | Mask C | 100.0 | 100.0 | 26.99 | 100.0 | 26.72 | 0.01 |
| Qwen3-4B | Mask A+C | 100.0 | 100.0 | 27.03 | 100.0 | 26.83 | 0.01 |
| Qwen3-4B | Selective refresh | 100.0 | 100.0 | 27.09 | 100.0 | 26.96 | 26.51 |
| Model | Derived-note current answers | Neutral: Full Refresh | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Mask A | Mask A,C | Refresh | Current | History | Margin (nats) | |
| Qwen3-32B | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% (50) 100% (50) | 100% (50) 100% (50) | 14.56 14.01 |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% (50) 100% (50) | 100% (50) 100% (50) | 7.74 7.78 |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% (50) 100% (50) | 100% (50) 100% (50) | 17.79 17.31 |
| Gemma 4 31B | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% (50) 100% (50) | 100% (50) 16% (8) | 17.67 17.41 |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 36% [-.5pt] (18) | 92% [-.5pt] (46) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 100% [-.5pt] (50) | 98% (49) 100% (50) | 100% (50) 100% (50) | 9.27 8.06 |
| Model | All questions ( ) | Answerable updates ( ) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full | Bias | (pp) | Full | Bias | (pp) | |
| Qwen3-4B | 52.9% [-.5pt] (201) | 53.9% [-.5pt] (205) | +1.05 | 61.8% [-.5pt] (21) | 79.4% [-.5pt] (27) | +17.65 |
| Qwen3-8B | 52.1% [-.5pt] (198) | 51.8% [-.5pt] (197) | 0.26 | 58.8% [-.5pt] (20) | 64.7% [-.5pt] (22) | +5.88 |
| Qwen3-32B | 73.4% [-.5pt] (279) | 71.6% [-.5pt] (272) | 1.84 | 82.4% [-.5pt] (28) | 85.3% [-.5pt] (29) | +2.94 |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 50.3% [-.5pt] (191) | 50.3% [-.5pt] (191) | +0.00 | 64.7% [-.5pt] (22) | 70.6% [-.5pt] (24) | +5.88 |
| Llama-3.1-8B | 58.9% [-.5pt] (224) | 58.7% [-.5pt] (223) | 0.26 | 82.4% [-.5pt] (28) | 85.3% [-.5pt] (29) | +2.94 |
| Model | Full | Bias | All p50 (%) | Active p50 (%) | TTFT overhead p50 (%) | TTFT overhead p95 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | 347.7 | 354.7 | +0.67 | +9.64 | +0.88 | +8.61 |
| Qwen3-8B | 407.8 | 395.4 | +0.95 | +9.42 | +1.53 | +9.13 |
| Qwen3-32B | 1983.1 | 2041.6 | +0.21 | +20.12 | +1.56 | +5.52 |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 293.9 | 283.8 | +0.94 | +9.21 | +1.81 | +11.65 |
| Llama-3.1-8B | 136.8 | 132.5 | +1.51 | +10.53 | +2.22 | +10.96 |
| Mistral-7B | 1145.7 | 1226.9 | +0.23 | +16.00 | +2.41 | +10.98 |
| Subset | Pairs | Full | Bias | Net | (pp), 95% CI | Change pp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2280 | 58% [-.5pt] (1323) | 57.6% [-.5pt] (1314) | 0.4 pp [-.5pt] ( 9) | 0.39 [ 1.15, +0.35] | |
| Answerable updates | 204 | 70.6% [-.5pt] (144) | 76.5% [-.5pt] (156) | 5.9 pp [-.5pt] ( 12) | +5.88 [+2.45, +9.80] | |
| Other answerable | 1938 | 54.7% [-.5pt] (1061) | 53.6% [-.5pt] (1039) | 1.1 pp [-.5pt] ( 22) | 1.14 [ 1.91, 0.41] | |
| Abstention | 138 | 85.5% [-.5pt] (118) | 86.2% [-.5pt] (119) | 0.7 pp [-.5pt] ( 1) | +0.72 [+0.00, +2.17] |
| Model | Full | Soft | Hard | Hard Full (pp) [95% CI] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | 52.4% [-.5pt] (199) | 53.7% [-.5pt] (204) | 49.5% [-.5pt] (188) | 2.9 [ 5.2, 0.8] |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 50.8% [-.5pt] (193) | 50.5% [-.5pt] (192) | 46.3% [-.5pt] (176) | 4.5 [ 6.9, 2.3] |
| Qwen3-32B | 73.9% [-.5pt] (281) | 72.4% [-.5pt] (275) | 62.6% [-.5pt] (238) | 11.3 [ 14.7, 8.2] |
| Model | Operation | TTFT (%) | Processing time (%) | Tokens (%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resident | Cold | Query | Decode | Complete | |||
| Qwen3-4B | Soft | +63.01 | +2.51 | +56.46 | +62.64 | +62.89 | +0.00 |
| Qwen3-4B | Hard | +171.03 | +7.11 | +165.97 | +322.50 | +224.39 | +0.00 |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Soft | +65.57 | +2.80 | +53.48 | +99.46 | +83.40 | +0.00 |
| Llama-3.2-3B | Hard | +238.62 | +9.84 | +228.95 | +392.30 | +298.63 | +0.00 |
| Qwen3-32B | Soft | +58.87 | +2.01 | +56.33 | +47.76 | +50.12 | +0.00 |
| Condition | Qwen3-4B | Llama-3.2-3B | Qwen3-32B | |||
| All (Changed) | CI (%) | All (Changed) | CI (%) | All (Changed) | CI (%) | |
| Reference conditions | ||||||
| Full access | 100% (300) 100% (150) | [100.0, 100.0] | 63.3% (190) 70% (105) | [53.7, 72.0] | 98.3% (295) 100% (150) | [97.0, 99.7] |
| Source mask | 80.7% (242) 94.7% (142) | [79.0, 82.3] | 62% (186) 70.7% (106) | [52.7, 70.3] | 83% (249) 99.3% (149) | [82.3, 83.3] |
| Fixed capacity: 128 tokens | ||||||
| Quest, 128 | 40.7% [-.5pt] (122) | [32.7, 49.0] | 37.3% [-.5pt] (112) | [30.0, 44.3] | 34.7% [-.5pt] (104) | [28.0, 41.3] |
| Model | Prefix tokens | Masked tokens | K min/median/max | Quest selected range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | 316.0 | 22.0 | 312/321.0/330 | 289–320 |
| Llama-3.2-3B | 325.0 | 18.0 | 320/329.0/336 | 299–336 |
| Qwen3-32B | 316.0 | 22.0 | 312/321.0/330 | 289–320 |
| Condition | Qwen3-4B | Llama-3.2-3B | Qwen3-32B | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Correct | +EOS | Capped | Correct | +EOS | Capped | Correct | +EOS | Capped | |
| Full access | 53.2% [-.5pt] (202) | 51.3% [-.5pt] (195) | 2.1% [-.5pt] (8) | 50% [-.5pt] (190) | 49.2% [-.5pt] (187) | 1.1% [-.5pt] (4) | 73.2% [-.5pt] (278) | 71.6% [-.5pt] (272) | 1.8% [-.5pt] (7) |
| Source mask | 50% [-.5pt] (190) | 48.2% [-.5pt] (183) | 2.1% [-.5pt] (8) | 45.8% [-.5pt] (174) | 45% [-.5pt] (171) | 1.1% [-.5pt] (4) | 62.1% [-.5pt] (236) | 60.5% [-.5pt] (230) | 2.1% [-.5pt] (8) |
| Quest | 37.4% [-.5pt] (142) | 37.1% [-.5pt] (141) | 0.8% [-.5pt] (3) | 40.3% [-.5pt] (153) | 39.7% [-.5pt] (151) | 1.6% [-.5pt] (6) | 52.6% [-.5pt] (200) | 51.3% [-.5pt] (195) | 2.1% [-.5pt] (8) |
| Recent pages | 1.8% [-.5pt] (7) | 0.3% [-.5pt] (1) | 34.7% [-.5pt] (132) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 98.4% [-.5pt] (374) | 0.3% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 21.1% [-.5pt] (80) |
| FINCH | 46.8% [-.5pt] (178) | 46.3% [-.5pt] (176) | 0.5% [-.5pt] (2) | 48.2% [-.5pt] (183) | 47.4% [-.5pt] (180) | 3.4% [-.5pt] (13) | 76.1% [-.5pt] (289) | 74.2% [-.5pt] (282) | 3.7% [-.5pt] (14) |
| Model | Policy | Prompt KV (MB) | Visible tokens | Generation (ms) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Keep all | 27.06 | 183.5 | 233.72 |
| Qwen3-4B | Latest record, recompute | 23.52 | 159.5 | 231.98 |
| Qwen3-4B | Detector, recompute | 25.07 | 170.0 | 232.70 |
| Qwen3-4B | Detector, mask | 27.06 | 171.0 | 233.27 |
| Qwen3-8B | Keep all | 27.06 | 183.5 | 227.22 |
| Qwen3-8B | Latest record, recompute | 23.52 | 159.5 | 223.34 |
| Model | Policy | Resident (s) | Cold (s) | Accuracy (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B | Keep all | 2.56 | 3.47 | 96.7 / 100.0 / 93.3 |
| Qwen3-4B | Detector mask | 3.22 | 4.15 | 87.5 / 82.2 / 88.9 |
| Qwen3-4B | Detector recompute | 3.37 | 4.26 | 86.7 / 58.9 / 77.8 |
| Qwen3-4B | Query-aware mask | 3.20 | 4.11 | 87.5 / 100.0 / 93.3 |
| Qwen3-8B | Keep all | 2.72 | 3.65 | 93.3 / 98.9 / 93.3 |
| Qwen3-8B | Detector mask | 3.36 | 4.33 | 85.8 / 71.1 / 90.0 |
| Model | Full access | Detected mask | Query routing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-32B | 98.3/100.0/84.4 | 91.7/81.1/84.4 | 91.7/100.0/84.4 |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 100.0/100.0/100.0 | 93.3/84.4/100.0 | 93.3/100.0/100.0 |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 100.0/100.0/95.6 | 96.7/93.3/96.7 | 96.7/100.0/95.6 |
| Gemma 4 31B | 100.0/100.0/100.0 | 93.3/90.0/100.0 | 93.3/100.0/100.0 |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 68.3/92.2/53.3 | 68.3/77.8/55.6 | 68.3/92.2/53.3 |
| Model | Tokens | Full access | Mask | Routing | Recompute |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time (ms): full-access total / added time [95% interval] | |||||
| Qwen3-32B | 6,346 | 8,372 | 475 [188, 676] | 564 [418, 669] | 1,829 [1,365, 2,305] |
| Qwen3.8-27B | 6,653 | 8,721 | 668 [452, 863] | 739 [592, 878] | 1,010 [781, 1,238] |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 6,658 | 7,851 | 1,469 [569, 3,025] | 760 [511, 1,153] | 574 [393, 743] |
| Gemma 4 31B | 6,658 | 10,797 | 1,873 [389, 4,219] | 545 [412, 642] | 1,547 [1,178, 1,925] |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 5,842 | 8,130 | 1,631 [518, 3,247] | 1,120 [653, 1,836] | 5,475 [3,061, 8,221] |
| Model | Retain | Mask | Drop | Recompute | Prefix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-32B | 129.8 | 200.7 | 396.1 | 4423.3 | 3148.8 |
| Qwen3.8-27B † | 219.5 | 219.5 | 272.9 | 4808.1 | 2513.2 |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 59.1 | 76.1 | 181.4 | 1480.6 | 931.3 |
| Gemma 4 31B | 155.4 | 194.4 | 403.5 | 4109.0 | 2769.5 |
| Llama-3.1-70B | 189.3 | 273.7 | 520.6 | 7036.2 | 4844.0 |
| Reader | Current | Current, masked | Historical | Invalid | Changed | Top-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-8B | 84.2 / 76.2 | 55.4 / 40.0 | 100.0 / 100.0 | 0% (0) 0% (0) | 12.1% [-.5pt] (29) | 100.0 |
| Qwen3-8B-Base | 72.9 / 3.3 | 31.2 / 0.0 | 65.4 / 14.6 | 7.1% (17) 95.4% (229) | 95.4% [-.5pt] (229) | 1.7 |
| Qwen3-4B | 83.3 / 84.6 | 45.0 / 43.8 | 100.0 / 100.0 | 0% (0) 0% (0) | 4.6% [-.5pt] (11) | 70.4 |
| Qwen3-4B-Base | 6.2 / 67.5 | 11.7 / 38.3 | 0.0 / 100.0 | 91.3% (219) 0% (0) | 91.3% [-.5pt] (219) | 8.8 |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | 85.8 / 33.8 | 34.6 / 16.2 | 100.0 / 66.2 | 0% (0) 45.4% (109) | 21.3% [-.5pt] (51) | 6.2 |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B base | 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 100% (240) 100% (240) | 100% [-.5pt] (240) | 100.0 |
| Main-text model | Sibling | K cos | V cos | Own AUC | Transfer AUC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-8B | Qwen3-8B-Base | 0.921 | 0.825 | 0.550 [0.516, 0.591] | 0.594 [0.560, 0.640] |
| Qwen3-4B | Qwen3-4B-Base | 0.915 | 0.816 | 0.653 [0.603, 0.714] | 0.520 [0.478, 0.562] |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | Gemma 4 26B-A4B base | 0.670 | 0.643 | 0.627 [0.591, 0.672] | 0.365 [0.290, 0.430] |
| Qwen3.8-27B | Qwen3.6-27B | 0.829 | 0.760 | 0.872 [0.830, 0.920] | 0.756 [0.700, 0.822] |
| Qwen3.8-27B | Qwen3.5-27B | 0.829 | 0.767 | 0.872 [0.830, 0.920] | 0.645 [0.606, 0.695] |
| Original type | Questions | Answerable | Partial | Unanswerable | Ambiguous |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simple | 249 | 45.4% [-.5pt] (113) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 54.6% [-.5pt] (136) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) |
| History | 409 | 98.8% [-.5pt] (404) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 1.2% [-.5pt] (5) |
| Multi-hop | 268 | 50% [-.5pt] (134) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 48.5% [-.5pt] (130) | 1.5% [-.5pt] (4) |
| Counting | 46 | 93.5% [-.5pt] (43) | 2.2% [-.5pt] (1) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 4.3% [-.5pt] (2) |
| Ordering | 196 | 83.2% [-.5pt] (163) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 0% [-.5pt] (0) | 16.8% [-.5pt] (33) |
| All | 1,168 | 73.4% [-.5pt] (857) | 0.1% [-.5pt] (1) | 22.8% [-.5pt] (266) | 3.8% [-.5pt] (44) |
| (a) Question target: source-answerable / analyzed questions | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Question target | Answerable / analyzed questions | Full | Source | Changed text | Recompute |
| Qwen3.8-27B | |||||
| Change or aggregation | 58.8% [-.5pt] (436/741) | 65.1% [-.5pt] (284) | 16.7% [-.5pt] (73) | 62.8% [-.5pt] (274) | 15.4% [-.5pt] (67) |
| Historical | 99.3% [-.5pt] (413/416) | 71.4% [-.5pt] (295) | 10.4% [-.5pt] (43) | 69.5% [-.5pt] (287) | 26.9% [-.5pt] (111) |
| Current | 100% [-.5pt] (4/4) | 100% [-.5pt] (4) | 100% [-.5pt] (4) | 100% [-.5pt] (4) | 100% [-.5pt] (4) |
| Gemma 4 26B-A4B | |||||