The Detectability Gap: Hidden Heterogeneity in Hallucination Detection Across Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) hallucinate with confidence: their outputs can be fluent, authoritative, and simply wrong. In medical, legal, and scientific applications this failure causes direct harm, and detecting it from internal model states offers a path to safer deployment. A growing body of work reports that this problem is increasingly tractable, with recent methods achieving high detection performance on widely used benchmarks. We show, however, that much of this apparent progress does not survive scrutiny. Four of the six corpora embed the ground-truth answer directly in the input prompt. A naïve text-similarity baseline we call TxTemb exploits this to achieve near-perfect detection scores without any access to model internals. To measure what genuine detection capability remains once these artifacts are controlled, we conduct a large-scale evaluation spanning twenty-two detection methods, twelve open-source models spanning six architectural families, and six corpora. We further introduce DRIFT, a supervised probe over inter-layer hidden-state transitions, as a point of comparison for live-generation detection. Our findings suggest that the field's reported progress on hallucination detection is substantially explained by benchmark construction artifacts in widely used corpora, and that the majority of established baselines perform near chance under controlled conditions; the consistent exceptions are SAPLMA and DRIFT, both supervised probes on upper-layer hidden states.

Hallucinations in large language models (LLMs) arise from heterogeneous failure mechanisms, making reliable detection difficult for any single global uncertainty score. In this work, we formulate hallucination detection as a mechanism-aware evidence aggregation problem, where diverse representation- and token-level signals must be interpreted under multiple latent explanations. We propose FLaG, a lightweight hallucination detection framework that models correctness through a set of latent evidence groups. Each instance is softly associated with multiple groups via an energy-based routing mechanism, and group-conditional reliability signals are combined through a principled log-marginal aggregation. This design enables FLaG to capture heterogeneous hallucination patterns while remaining invariant to decision thresholds and evaluation metrics. The framework operates as a frozen-model head, requires no modification to the underlying language model, and incurs minimal computational overhead. We further provide a theoretical perspective that connects FLaG to optimal evidence aggregation under heterogeneous error mechanisms, showing that the Bayes-optimal test statistic necessarily admits a log-marginal form and that FLaG constitutes a tractable approximation with a controllable error bound. Extensive experiments across multiple benchmarks and LLM backbones demonstrate that FLaG consistently achieves SOTA performance, while exhibiting robust transfer across datasets and models, and remaining effective under limited supervision.

Hallucination detection is essential for the reliable deployment of large language models (LLMs). However, existing evaluations face two core challenges: inconsistent inference configuration and evaluation, and limited coverage of downstream domains and tasks. Consequently, reported detector performance is often difficult to compare, reproduce, and generalize beyond specific experimental settings. We introduce OpenHalDet, a unified benchmark for hallucination detection across diverse generation scenarios. OpenHalDet standardizes the evaluation pipeline, from prompt construction and response generation to truthfulness annotation, detector scoring, and metric computation. It supports heterogeneous detector families under different access settings, including black-box methods that use only generated outputs, gray-box methods that rely on probability-based signals, and white-box methods that exploit internal model signals. By bringing diverse tasks, models, and detectors into a shared framework, OpenHalDet enables controlled comparison and provides a systematic view of how different detection paradigms behave in LLM applications. We release OpenHalDet as an open and extensible codebase to facilitate reproducible evaluation and future development of hallucination detection methods. The code and datasets are available at https://github.com/Nellie179/Hallucination-Detection.