MetaPersona: Task-Grounded Synthetic Populations from Empirical Social Science

Foundation-model research increasingly needs data about people: user state, personal histories, relationships, contact-like fields, documents, and longitudinal updates. Real user data is difficult to share, perturb, audit, or redistribute responsibly, while independently generated fake fields rarely preserve the cross-field and temporal consistency needed for controlled evaluation. We present PROFILEFOUNDRY, a deterministic generator and fixed reference release of 100,000 adult synthetic Person Objects across eight locales. Each object combines a typed current snapshot, household, family, and employer links, snapshot-aligned events, normalized relational views, and generation provenance. The release contains 709,228 events, 40,338 households, 52,491 employers, and 518,564 directed relationship edges. We report evidence in separate categories: selected population-marginal comparisons, per-object invariant checks, release-wide referential and temporal closure, and coincidence/provenance screens. PROFILEFOUNDRY is not a population-fidelity model, a rendered-text corpus, or a formal privacy mechanism. Instead, it is a responsible synthetic source layer for constructing downstream foundation-model evaluations involving memory, privacy, document understanding, record linkage, and agent state while keeping the synthetic person behind each artifact inspectable

Synthetic dialogue corpora are increasingly used as proxies for target dialogue data, yet persona-grounded generators optimize individual conversations rather than corpus composition, yielding locally plausible dialogues with distorted population-level behavior mixes. We introduce GroupPersona, a framework that aligns synthetic dialogue corpora to the behavior distribution of a reference corpus. GroupPersona turns population statistics into generation controls: it separates each dialogue's core behavioral signature from predictable side effects, and uses the resulting behavioral groups to condition user agents on the interaction patterns that define the reference population. We evaluate GroupPersona on four corpora crossing two dialogue sources, assistant-style and Reddit-derived, with two construction variants: structure-preserving and variation-enhanced. GroupPersona lowers Jensen-Shannon divergence between synthetic and reference distributions over 12 behavior attributes from 0.234 to 0.177 relative to the strongest average baseline, a 24.4% reduction, and is best or tied-best on all four corpora while preserving structural alignment. It also achieves the closest calibration to reference-conversation quality scores, reducing mean absolute deviation from the reference-conversation profile to 0.63 versus 0.91 for the next-best baseline.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human populations via persona prompting, often under the assumptions that richer persona descriptions improve behavioral fidelity, similarly sized attribute combinations are equally simulatable, and persona definitions generalize across tasks. In this work, we formalize these assumptions and systematically evaluate them across multiple architectures, scales, and simulation settings. We identify a fundamental limitation we term persona manifold collapse, where increasingly expressive persona specifications lead to systematic contraction of representational and behavioral diversity. Across models, increasing persona complexity consistently reduces inter-persona separation in latent space and weakens behavioral differentiation in downstream simulation tasks. These effects persist across multiple analyses as richer personas fail to preserve human subgroup disagreement, performance varies across attribute combinations of similar size, and adding descriptive detail often degrades rather than improves simulation fidelity. Surprisingly, simple Age-Gender personas consistently outperform richly specified Ideal Customer Profiles (ICPs) across industries, achieving substantially higher downstream prediction accuracy. We find that collapse is not uniform across attributes. Certain combinations remain behaviorally stable and preserve stronger alignment with human responses, forming localized regions we term alignment bridges. Together, our results provide empirical and conceptual foundations for understanding the limits of persona-conditioned simulation, highlighting the need for representation-aware persona construction rather than increasing persona expressivity alone.