Training-Aware Target Coverage for Synthetic Data Selection

Interpreting properties of LLM-generated data is important for understanding its utility and limitations across learning tasks. In this work, we characterize synthetic data through sample-level learnability, studying variation among LLM families and scales, alongside human-written data as a reference. We first generate synthetic datasets spanning single- and multi-label classification, labeling, and tree prediction tasks. We then derive empirical data distributions from encoder training dynamics for both machine and organic data, and estimate the robustness of these distributions across encoders. Finally, we evaluate how data selection strategies based on these learnability signals affect both data sources differently.

Synthetic data is useful only when the added samples fill missing parts of the training distribution that matter for the downstream task. We introduce LiBaGS, a lightweight, generator-agnostic method for targeted synthetic training data selection. LiBaGS scores candidate synthetic samples by combining decision-boundary proximity, predictive uncertainty, real-data density, and support validity, so that selected samples are both informative and likely to remain on the real data manifold. We then use a boundary-gap allocation rule that targets sparse but realistic decision-boundary neighborhoods, rather than simply adding more data or selecting only the most uncertain candidates. LiBaGS also learns when enough synthetic samples have been added through a marginal-value stopping rule, assigns softer labels near ambiguous boundaries, and uses a diversity objective to avoid redundant near-duplicate selections. Experiments show that LiBaGS improves accuracy over classical oversampling, hard augmentation, uncertainty and density ablations, and targeted-generation selection criteria.

Synthetic data now is essential to LLM training, used to strengthen advanced capabilities such as autonomous and long-horizon task execution. Yet recent work shows that training on it at scale can degrade model generation, making it important to decide what synthetic data is worth training on. While current data curation practices do so with individual-level signals (i.e., estimates of each data sample's training utility in isolation), across pre-training and post-training settings we show that this is insufficient for synthetic data, and that group-level signals (i.e., estimates of utility that account for interactions among data samples) are necessary for effective data curation. First, we show that individual-level signals are blind to how samples jointly affect training: synthetic datasets with different compositions can be indistinguishable under individual-level influence yet differ sharply under group-level influence, and curating by the latter yields better downstream performance, particularly in generative capability. Second, we find that group-level signals matter more as training pipelines become increasingly synthetic: among widely used data curation methods, only those incorporating them improve over baseline, with gains increasing when weights capturing relations among samples are amplified. Finally, we translate these findings into practice -- for model developers under a compute budget, we offer a cheap diagnostic that prioritizes which groups of synthetic data most need group-level estimation, recovering much of the benefit of full group-level scoring at a fraction of the compute cost.