Fully Online Decentralized Learning in Stochastic Games with Unknown Independent Chains

We study decentralized learning of Nash equilibria (NE) in infinite-horizon discounted Markov games under bandit feedback, focusing on Markov $α$-potential games. We develop KL-projected natural policy gradient (NPG) algorithms in two settings: an episodic setting with frozen policies during sampling and a fully online setting in which players receive a single realized cost sample per time step and update their policies asynchronously along a continuing trajectory. We establish finite-time high-probability NE regret bounds of order $\widetilde O(T^{-1/4})$ and $\widetilde O(T^{-2/15})$ for the episodic and fully online settings, respectively, up to fixed approximation terms. Crucially, our bounds eliminate the distribution-mismatch coefficient, which can scale prohibitively with the size of the state space, while accommodating potential approximation, estimation-oracle bias, and transition sensitivity. We further identify a state-wise potential structure that yields sharper guarantees with additive dependence on the potential approximation error $α$. We specialize the framework to independent-resource Markov congestion games (IMCGs), establish their approximate-potential and transition-sensitivity properties, and construct decentralized estimation oracles from realized costs. As an application, we introduce strategic online job scheduling on stochastic machines and obtain a scalable decentralized algorithm for learning stable dispatching policies. Overall, our results provide the first finite-time high-probability NE regret guarantees for fully online asynchronous decentralized learning in Markov $α$-potential games, remove distribution-mismatch coefficients from the regret bounds, accommodate fixed estimation-oracle bias, and provide scalable decentralized learning with finite-time guarantees for IMCGs.

We present a finite-sample analysis of decentralized learning in two-player zero-sum matrix games and stochastic games, with a focus on best-response-based learning algorithms. In matrix games, the learning algorithm is payoff-based and symmetric: each player updates its policy using only its own payoff observations, incrementally moving toward an estimated smoothed best response to the opponent's latest policy. For stochastic games, we build on this matrix-game primitive to develop a learning algorithm called value iteration with smoothed best response (VI-SBR), which combines smoothed-best-response learning in induced matrix games with a decentralized, model-free approximation of minimax value iteration. We establish finite-sample guarantees in both settings. For matrix games, our results imply a sample complexity of $\mathcal{O}(ε^{-1})$ for finding an $ε$-Nash distribution and, with explicit exploration, $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(ε^{-8})$ for finding an $ε$-Nash equilibrium. For stochastic games, we prove that the exploration-enhanced VI-SBR algorithm achieves a sample complexity of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(ε^{-8})$ for finding an $ε$-Nash equilibrium. Technically, our analysis develops a coupled Lyapunov-drift framework. This framework simultaneously handles stochastic iterative algorithms with multiple interacting stochastic iterates, the non-zero-sum auxiliary games generated by independently updated value functions, and the time-inhomogeneous Markovian noise induced by time-varying policies. The resulting tools may be useful more broadly for analyzing learning algorithms with coupled stochastic iterates and nonstationary sampling processes.

In this work, we study radically uncoupled learning in discounted general-sum Markov games. Assuming ``$\mathsf{ETH}$ for $\mathsf{PPAD}$", we show that, for every fixed discount factor, there is no polynomial-time algorithm for computing inverse-polynomially accurate coarse correlated equilibria in discounted general-sum Markov games when players learn independently in decentralized settings. Complementing this hardness result, we provide what appears to be the first \emph{radically uncoupled} algorithm with sub-exponential convergence guarantees to coarse correlated equilibria in discounted general-sum Markov games without imposing any structural restrictions on the game. Our algorithm is a \emph{layered} variant of optimistic mirror descent with an increasing step-size schedule tailored to the multi-agent setting. Finally, we develop both full-feedback and partial feedback versions of the aforementioned algorithm and establish sub-exponential convergence guarantees for each case.