Parameter-Free Interval-Dynamic Regret under Heavy-Tailed Noise

We study online convex optimization with one unbiased stochastic subgradient per round and noise having a finite $p$-th central moment, where $p\in(1,2]$ is unknown. For a bounded convex domain of diameter $D$, subgradients bounded by $G$, noise scale $σ$, and comparator path length $P_T$, let $Λ_T=1+P_T/D$. A single algorithm, using none of $G,σ,p,P_T$, attains expected dynamic regret $O_p\left(\min\{GD\sqrt{TΛ_T}+σDT^{1/p}Λ_T^{(p-1)/p},\,GDT\}\right)$ against every fixed comparator sequence. Restarted AdaGrad experts produce the noise-path exponent $(p-1)/p$, and a prior favoring longer restart intervals removes horizon-dependent logarithmic overhead. We give an explicit bound uniform in $p$; its logarithm-free form has noise coefficient $O(1+\log(p/(p-1)))$, while the static-regret constant is universal. The analysis requires only marginal noise moments and permits dependent errors. Complete pathwise proofs retain both the expert-loss range and the gradient energies preceding comparator movement. Matching lower bounds hold on every bounded convex domain of positive diameter, under the same gradient-only information model. Together with a path-budget-tuned upper bound, they characterize the minimax rate with universal constants, including its linear-regret saturation.

Non-stationary online learning has attracted much attention in recent years, as static regret is insufficient to guide algorithm design in changing environments. To address this limitation, interval regret and dynamic regret have been introduced as two representative performance metrics that strengthen static regret in complementary directions. Interval regret requires an online algorithm to achieve competitive static regret over every local time interval, whereas dynamic regret evaluates performance against an arbitrary sequence of time-varying comparators. Despite their importance, the relation between these metrics has long remained unclear. Prior work has often regarded interval regret as the stronger notion, based on the intuition that local guarantees should naturally induce global guarantees. Consequently, it is widely conjectured that an algorithm with optimal interval regret should automatically attain optimal dynamic regret. In this paper, we first establish a negative result that refutes this intuition of a metric-level implication. Specifically, for both convex and curved functions (including exp-concave and strongly convex functions), we show that there exist instances in which an algorithm with optimal interval regret nevertheless fails to achieve optimal dynamic regret. We then show how to leverage local adaptivity to obtain optimal dynamic regret. In particular, optimal dynamic regret can be attained by invoking an interval regret minimization process over an enlarged Euclidean ball containing the original convex feasible domain and using a suitable domain-converted surrogate loss. This reduction applies to both convex and curved functions. As a byproduct, we obtain the first proper and efficient algorithm with optimal dynamic regret for exp-concave functions, improving prior results while significantly simplifying the analysis.

Tracking changing comparators is a central problem in online learning. For exp-concave losses, previous work established the $T^{1/3}P_T^{2/3}$ dependence on the horizon $T$ and Euclidean path length $P_T$ for fixed dimension, while the optimal cost of dimension remained unresolved. We resolve this question by establishing a sharp $d^{1/3}$ curved dimension factor, improving the $d^{2/3}$ factor of recent switching and interval reductions [1, 2]. To achieve this improvement, we develop a proper, full-information learner on compact convex subsets of $\mathbb{R}^d$ that adapts to the unknown path length and, under fixed dimension-independent diameter, gradient, and curvature parameters, guarantees $\operatorname{Reg}_T(u_{1:T}) \le \widetilde{O}\left(d+\min\left\{d^{1/3}T^{1/3}P_T^{2/3},\sqrt{TP_T},T\right\}\right).$ A matching lower bound on a diameter-one Euclidean ball establishes the minimax frontier up to logarithmic factors when $T\gtrsim d^2$, including the transition from the curved rate to larger path budgets. The lower bound already holds for losses that depend on only one coordinate per round, isolating an unavoidable cost of learning across directions. Our upper bound follows from square-root Gaussian KL control of comparator movement and a cancellation argument that pays for history restarts. The curved learner maintains $O(\log^2 T)$ Gaussian states, uses one gradient per round, and runs in time near-linear in $T$ under a Mahalanobis-projection oracle.