cs.LGOct 2, 2026

A Unified Framework for Bayesian Data Assimilation with Generative Models and Observation Interpolants

Authors: Nikolaj T. Mücke, Benjamin Sanderse

Organizations: Scientific Computing, Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica · Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology · Centre for Analysis, Scientific Computing and Applications, Eindhoven University of Technology

Abstract

Bayesian data assimilation combines model forecasts with noisy observations, but sampling high-dimensional, non-Gaussian posteriors remains challenging. We introduce an observation-interpolant framework that turns pretrained stochastic interpolant, flow matching, and diffusion models into posterior samplers without retraining. Conditioning the interpolant path on observations yields a shared likelihood-score correction to the drift or velocity, unifying stochastic and deterministic posterior sampling. The resulting SDEs and ODEs sample the exact posterior when the intermediate likelihood score is known. For practical computation, we approximate this score using a closed-form Gaussian surrogate with a bias-corrected mean and covariance inflated by the model's source covariance. Jacobian-free and ensemble-shared approximations make the method tractable in high dimensions. We evaluate the framework on linear-Gaussian dynamics, stochastic two-dimensional Navier-Stokes, and urban airflow with up to O(104)O(10^4) degrees of freedom.

Explore similar work

CardsList
  1. DAWIS: Data Assimilation with Windowed Inverse Sampling via Multitask Interpolants

    Oct 2, 2026Erik Wikingsson, Martin Andrae, Tomas Landelius +1Data AssimilationFlow-Based Generative Modeling

  2. ΩΩ: Operator-based Mixture Ensemble for Generative Assimilation

    Jun 18, 2026Pouria Behnoudfar, Nan ChenData AssimilationPosterior Sampling

  3. ForcingDAS: Unified and Robust Data Assimilation via Diffusion Forcing

    May 14, 2026Yixuan Jia, Siyi Chen, Yida Pan +9Data Assimilation