Monte Carlo Estimation for KV Cache Eviction

The growing size of Large Language Models (LLMs) makes efficient inference challenging, primarily due to the memory demands of the autoregressive Key-Value (KV) cache. Existing eviction or compression methods reduce cost but rely on heuristics, such as recency or past attention scores, which serve only as indirect proxies for a token's future utility and introduce computational overhead. We reframe KV cache eviction as a reinforcement learning (RL) problem: learning to rank tokens by their predicted usefulness for future decoding. To this end, we introduce KV Policy (KVP), a framework of lightweight per-head RL agents trained on pre-computed generation traces using only key and value vectors. Each agent learns a specialized eviction policy guided by a holistic reward, derived from future utility, that evaluates the quality of the ranking across all cache budgets, requiring no modifications to the underlying LLM or additional inference. Evaluated across two model families on the long-context benchmark RULER (up to 128K tokens) and the multi-turn dialogue benchmark OASST2-4k, KVP significantly outperforms strong baselines. Zero-shot tests on standard downstream tasks (BoolQ, LongBench passage retrieval, GovReport) further show that KVP generalizes beyond its training distribution and to considerably longer sequence lengths. These results demonstrate that learning to predict future token utility is a powerful and scalable paradigm for adaptive KV cache management.

Key-value (KV) cache growth is a major bottleneck in autoregressive decoding, as memory and bandwidth scale linearly with context length. Existing KV eviction methods often rely on static heuristics or proxy scores, which poorly track future token utility and cause brittle eviction as relevance shifts. To address this, we introduce KVpop, which learns a fixed-budget KV eviction policy by directly supervising the keep-or-drop decision. The scorer is trained against a novel future-attention target, computed efficiently without materializing dense attention maps. We further introduce a delayed memory-based scorer that, uniquely among learned eviction methods, defers scoring for a fixed number of steps to exploit near-future context. On AIME and HMMT mathematical reasoning, KVpop retains 98% of full-attention performance on Qwen3-4B at 75% KV cache compression and 97% at 88% compression, consistently outperforming established eviction baselines. Qwen3-8B shows even stronger results, reaching near-full teacher performance. These results show that supervising eviction with future-attention signals cuts memory costs while maintaining quality.

Autoregressive large language model inference is increasingly constrained by the memory footprint of the Key-Value (KV) cache. A dominant line of work reduces this footprint by evicting tokens that appear unimportant under attention-derived scores. However, such policies make an implicit irreversible decision: once a token is evicted, it cannot become useful again. We show that this assumption is brittle during decoding. Token and window importance drift as generated queries evolve, causing standard eviction policies to permanently discard states that later receive substantial attention under the full-cache model. To characterize this behaviour, we introduce Future Missed Mass and Global LIR, two diagnostics that measure future attention assigned to discarded states and the reactivation of historically inactive regions. We propose QEvict, a three-tier KV-cache management scheme that replaces binary retain-or-delete eviction with recoverable eviction. QEvict maintains high-confidence windows in full precision, stores intermediate windows in a quantized recoverable tier, and deletes only the lowest-confidence windows. During decoding, cumulative attention scores update window importance and when a quantized window becomes important again, it is dequantized and promoted to the full-precision. Under a fixed memory budget, this design preserves broader historical context while retaining exact full precision for the most important regions. Across long-context understanding, retrieval, and reasoning benchmarks, QEvict consistently improves over representative eviction and quantization baselines, reducing missed attention and improving information retention