q-bio.NCSep 14, 2026
SaveInterpretable Memory Models for Spaced Repetition
Abstract
Spaced repetition software schedules reviews with a memory model fit to review logs. Accuracy on a test set is not sufficient evidence of quality since available data are produced by existing schedulers, and new solutions must extrapolate beyond them. A model also needs a simple mechanistic interpretation. We present SBD, a model that is more interpretable and 80% smaller than the current state of the art at nearly the same accuracy.
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Predictable Confabulations: Factual Recall by LLMs Scales with Model Size and Topic Frequency
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Eviction as Estimation: A Fixed-Lag Smoothing View of Test-Time Memory, and When Measuring Beats Accumulating
A language model with a bounded working memory must repeatedly decide which stored items to keep. Every deployed method decides the moment an item arrives, from the past (StreamingLLM, H2O) or from a guess about the future (SnapKV). We recast the choice as an estimation problem on a hidden signal, whether an item will be reused, placing existing methods on one axis, the commit lag : online filters and learned predictors commit at , while Belady's offline optimum sits where the whole future is known. The missing regime in between, fixed-lag smoothing, waits a bounded number of steps, observes which items a correct near-future prediction attended to, and only then commits. This measurement, demonstrated utility, turns Belady's unobservable future request into something we read off the model itself. We instantiate it as a training-free policy, RMM, a strict generalization of H2O that reduces to it exactly when the measurement is uniform. In controlled settings where reuse is endogenous and separated in time, demonstrated utility identifies used memory far better than accumulated attention, and a small bounded memory behaves like a much larger one. But on independent third-party benchmarks, run inside NVIDIA's KVPress harness against its own SnapKV, H2O, and StreamingLLM implementations, the advantage mostly disappears: RMM is on par with H2O for single-turn question answering and loses to both H2O and SnapKV in a streaming multi-turn setting. The cause is simple: on natural text the model is correct about most tokens, so weighting attention by correctness barely changes it, and demonstrated utility collapses onto accumulated attention unless reuse is sharp and endogenous, which standard benchmarks do not exercise. Our contribution is the framework and an honest map of when measuring beats accumulating, not a new state of the art.