RISR: Residual-Informed Scientific Equation Discovery with Large Language Models

Scientific equation discovery must combine broad domain priors with strict numerical testing. Symbolic regression supplies numerical grounding but faces a combinatorial search space, whereas many language-model systems ask the model to propose or select formulas directly. We test a different division of labour. We compare role specifications in which the language model acts as equation author, candidate decider or search controller, alongside end-to-end language-model and purely numerical baselines. In the controller setting we propose here, implemented as LLM-PySR, language models specify variables, operators, transformations and search depth; symbolic regression enumerates and fits expressions; and deterministic metrics govern retention. Across 74 AI-Feynman equations and seven complex formula-recovery tasks, search control achieved the strongest observed balance of accuracy, complexity, stability and cost. On an independent battery dataset, LLM-PySR identified a compact piecewise-linear relation between early voltage-curve displacement and cycle life. The results suggest that language models should shape hypothesis exploration rather than decide which equations survive.

Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a promising avenue for scientific discovery, yet their application to symbolic regression is often constrained by inefficient search strategies and coarse feedback signals. Current methods typically guide LLMs using scalar metrics (e.g., global Mean Squared Error), which fail to identify which components of a proposed equation are driving performance or causing error. We introduce \textit{Influence-Guided Symbolic Regression} (IGSR), a method that frames equation discovery as an iterative two-step process combining diverse term generation with rigorous selection: an LLM generates candidate basis functions $ψ_j(\mathbf{x})$ for a linear model, which are then evaluated using granular influence scores $Δ_j$. These scores quantify each term's marginal contribution to generalization accuracy, enabling an influence-guided pruning process that systematically refines the model structure. Integrating this mechanism into a Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) enables navigating the combinatorial search space while balancing exploration of novel functional forms with exploitation of high-influence components. We demonstrate IGSR's effectiveness on a diverse suite of benchmarks, including LLM-SRBench, pharmacological PKPD models, an epidemiological simulation, and real-world genomic data. Notably, we validate the framework's capacity for genuine discovery in a case study using a high-dimensional biological dataset, in which IGSR identified a novel relationship between DNA methylation and RNA Polymerase II pausing; a hypothesis that was subsequently supported via wet-lab experimentation.

Equation discovery aims to automate the discovery of scientific models in the form of mathematical equations from data. Technically, equation discovery is implemented by symbolic regression algorithms. Performance of symbolic regression for equation discovery is measured along two dimensions: Prediction accuracy on test data, and recovery of known groundtruth formulas. For standard regression, accuracy is typically measured on in-domain test data, for instance, by splitting a data set randomly into training and test data. While this makes sense for in-domain interpolation, which is the common goal in ordinary regression, it can be a misleading proxy for true model discovery and generalization. The obvious alternative is to measure out-of-domain accuracy. However, obtaining challenging out-of-domain test data is a non-trivial problem. Therefore, we focus on equation recovery for evaluating symbolic regression algorithms for equation discovery. The rationale is that symbolic regression algorithms that perform well in recovering known groundtruth formulas are good candidates to perform well in unknown equation discovery. Existing benchmarks for symbolic regression include equation recovery tasks, however, with only a small number of groundtruth formulas that are publicly known. Moreover, these benchmarks place less emphasis on evaluating the robustness of algorithms in terms of their behavior under changing dimensionality, sampling size, sampling distribution and sampling domain. This, however, is of central importance to practitioners wanting to discover equations for modeling natural phenomena, since data is almost certainly noisy and comes from diverse domains, distributions, and sample sizes. To fill this gap, we introduce the Equation Recovery Benchmark (ERBench), a new evaluation framework designed to rigorously assess algorithms explicitly targeting the task of equation discovery.