Shortcut Learning in Geospatial Foundation Model Embeddings for Cross-Disaster Damage Assessment

Living in a changing climate, human society now faces more frequent and severe natural disasters than ever before. As a consequence, rapid disaster response during the "Golden 72 Hours" of search and rescue becomes a vital humanitarian necessity and community concern. However, traditional disaster damage surveys routinely fail to generalize across distinct urban morphologies and new disaster events. Effective damage mapping typically requires exhaustive and time-consuming manual data annotation. To address this issue, we introduce Smart Transfer, a novel Geospatial Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI) framework, leveraging state-of-the-art vision Foundation Models (FMs) for rapid building damage mapping with post-earthquake Very High Resolution (VHR) imagery. Specifically, we design two novel model transfer strategies: first, Pixel-wise Clustering (PC), ensuring robust prototype-level global feature alignment; second, a Distance-Penalized Triplet (DPT), integrating patch-level spatial autocorrelation patterns by assigning stronger penalties to semantically inconsistent yet spatially adjacent patches. Extensive experiments and ablations from the recent 2023 Turkiye-Syria earthquake show promising performance in multiple cross-region transfer settings, namely Leave One Domain Out (LODO) and Specific Source Domain Combination (SSDC). Moreover, Smart Transfer provides a scalable, automated GeoAI solution to accelerate building damage mapping and support rapid disaster response, offering new opportunities to enhance disaster resilience in climate-vulnerable regions and communities. The data and code are publicly available at https://github.com/ai4city-hkust/SmartTransfer.

Geospatial foundation models (GFMs) have been proposed as generalizable backbones for disaster response, land-cover mapping, food-security monitoring, and other high-stakes Earth-observation tasks. Yet the published work about these models does not give reviewers or users enough information to tell which model fits a given task. We argue that nobody knows what the current state of the art is in geospatial foundation models. The methods may be useful, but the GFM literature does not standardize evaluations, training and testing protocols, released weights, or pretraining controls well enough for anyone to compare or rank them. In a 152-paper audit, we find 46 cross-paper disagreements of at least 10 points for the same model, benchmark, and protocol; 94/126 papers with extractable pretraining data use a configuration no other paper uses; and 39% of GFM papers release no model weights. This lack of community standards can be solved. We propose six concrete expectations: named-license weight release, shared core evaluations, copied-versus-rerun baseline annotations, variance reporting, one shared evaluation harness, and data-vs-architecture-vs-algorithm controls. These gaps are a coordination failure, not a fault of any individual lab; the authors of this paper, like many others in the GFM community, have contributed to them. Rather than just critiquing the community, we aim to provide concrete steps toward a shared understanding of how to innovate GFMs.

When a large disaster strikes, responders need a map of which buildings are damaged within hours. The models that do well on public benchmarks assume matched before-and-after imagery and a training set drawn from similar past events, and neither is usually available for a new disaster in its first day. We present HASTE (High-speed Assessment and Satellite Tracking for Emergencies), a no-code web platform that lets analysts who are not machine learning engineers produce per-building damage maps from post-disaster satellite imagery. HASTE implements two methods that share one interface. The first requires the user to label polygons over the post-disaster scene, trains a small semantic segmentation model on that single scene, runs it over the whole image, and joins the per-pixel output to existing building footprints. The second embeds every footprint with a pretrained vision model, requires the user to label a handful of buildings, and fits a logistic regression in the browser that scores the rest of the scene in seconds. We describe the platform, both methods, and the engineering that supports them. We also report preliminary experiments on xBD showing that foundation-model embeddings pooled over footprints separate damaged from intact buildings using post-disaster imagery alone, matching a fully supervised ResNet-50 baseline with a twentieth of its labels. HASTE and its predecessors have supported more than thirty real-world disaster responses since 2023, spanning earthquakes, hurricanes, cyclones, floods, wildfires, and tornadoes, delivering results to humanitarian partners within hours to days of imagery becoming available. We close with the directions we think are most promising, including vision-language assessment, active learning, and damage models for roads and other infrastructure. HASTE is open source at https://github.com/microsoft/haste.