TurnCost: Turns, Not Observations: Cache-Aware Loop Engineering for Coding Agents

Context compression is widely proposed as a way to cut the token bill of LLM coding agents, and public benchmarks report that aggressive compression preserves task-solving quality. These two facts do not imply the third one commonly assumed: that compressing file reads saves money in a real multi-turn agent. We instrument a production compression gateway (Paritok) between coding agents (Claude Code, Codex) and frontier LLMs (Claude Sonnet, GPT-5), and decompose the token bill of real sessions into three independent levers: tool-schema filtering, content compression of file reads and tool output, and history summarization. Measured in isolation under controlled A/B runs, the three save at fundamentally different rates. Tool-schema filtering removes a fixed block every turn, roughly 21K-57K tokens on a typical turn; it is linear in the turn count N and the only unambiguously and reproducibly positive lever. Content compression saves only about 2% of the cache-priced prefix per turn, but compressed reads accumulate in history and are re-sent on every later turn, so its cumulative saving grows quadratically, about 3350*N^2 tokens (measured), overtaking the fixed tool-filter saving within roughly 6 turns until the context window caps it. A non-destructive gateway lets the agent pull original bytes back on demand; each recall re-sends exactly the one segment just compressed away, so its cost is fixed and bounded rather than a multiplicative blowup, and heavy recall spends the accumulated saving back one segment at a time. Finally, a strong single-shot compression benchmark - 86.5% of SWE-bench quality retained at a 25.7% compression rate, achieved by the model this gateway deploys (Paritok-4B, reported separately) - is orthogonal to multi-turn agent cost and must not be cited as a cost-saving argument. We distill the results into an actionable recipe for where token-saving effort pays off.

Context-reduction layers for API-based coding agents, including command-output compressors, retrieval rankers, and API-boundary proxies, are commonly evaluated by how much context or tool output they remove. We ask a different question: which interventions actually reduce end-to-end billed cost while preserving task success? Our primary evidence is a pre-specified, hash-frozen, paired campaign of 2,908 provider-billed Claude Code runs, of which 2,848 were analyzed, covering 103 tasks, seven repositories, and three models. The campaign compared a baseline with two generations of hook-based compression and an API-boundary proxy within a broader measured program of roughly 5,500 billed executions. Three findings emerge. First, prompt-cache traffic dominated cost composition, accounting for about 87% of reconstructed four-component cost (about 80% of the actual bill), with an 8.7% dollar-weighted residual not attributable from retained telemetry. Second, local payload reduction was not a reliable predictor of end-to-end billed cost. An arm that removed 38% of estimated raw tool-output tokens incurred 6.8% higher paired cost (95% CI: +2.8% to +11.3%), while per-task reduction showed only a weak association with cost change (Pearson r = 0.15). Third, aggressive compression can remove action-critical evidence: on SWE-bench-derived Go tasks, compression reduced successful patch application from 27/40 to 15/40 by corrupting verbatim edit anchors. We propose evaluating context-reduction systems by success-adjusted billed cost rather than token reduction alone.

Advances in frontier coding agents have sharply increased the token costs of AI-assisted software engineering. Their token efficiency is typically evaluated on isolated tasks, whereas real-world developers use them to continuously build, update, and maintain large-scale projects. This mismatch motivates us to evaluate agents over sequences of realistic coding tasks, where we find that agents exhibit recurring environment-dependent token costs that existing methods struggle to reduce. To minimize these costs, we introduce TokenEconomizer, an external controller that cuts environment-specific token costs over a sequence of tasks. These cuts come from determining (i) which operational micro-skills to inject, (ii) which persistently irrelevant tools to prune, and (iii) when to intervene in unproductive failure loops. Across Claude Code, Codex, and GitHub Copilot CLI paired with frontier models, TokenEconomizer reduces the average token cost by 18.4-30.9% with comparable task success. Savings hold in every repository under every tested agent-model setting and generalize to diverse domains such as sequential web development and security auditing, where costs fall by 6.4-21.2% depending on task structure. Our work establishes adaptive black-box cost control as a promising direction for reducing token costs of coding agents in realistic settings.