A Nonlinear Time-Series Theory for Constant-step SGD with Momentum

This paper investigates the statistical behavior of Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) with constant step size under the framework of iterated random functions. Compared to previous studies establishing the convergence of SGD in probability measure, e.g., Wasserstein distance, our approach directly provides the convergence in Euclidean distance by showing the Geometric Moment Contraction (GMC) of SGD. This new convergence can address the non-stationarity of SGD due to fixed initial points and can provide a more refined asymptotic analysis of SGD. Specifically, we prove quenched central limit theorem, invariance principle and $α$-stable convergence for averaged SGD (ASGD) regardless of initialization. Furthermore, we provide a novel perspective to understand the impact of step sizes in SGD by studying its derivative with respect to the step size. The existence of stationary solutions for the derivative processes is shown, enabling the use of interpolation to recover the full-trajectory of SGD. Subsequently, we utilize multiple step sizes and show an enhanced Richardson-Romberg extrapolation with improved bias representation, which brings ASGD estimates closer to the global optimum. Finally, we propose a new online inference method and a bias-reduced variant for the extrapolated ASGD. Empirical confidence intervals are constructed and the coverage probabilities approach the nominal level as $n$ grows.

For stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with a constant stepsize $α$, the invariant law of the iterates, centered at a minimizer, describes the behavior of the algorithm over long time horizons. In the strongly convex case, this invariant law has the familiar $\sqrtα$ scaling and a Gaussian limit as $α\downarrow 0$. We show that this behavior changes fundamentally for convex objectives $H$ with flat minima and (sub)quadratic tails. More specifically, we study SGD with Markovian noise generated by a contractive driving chain. For every sufficiently small constant stepsize $α$, we prove existence, uniqueness, and geometric convergence to an augmented invariant law in a Wasserstein distance induced by an $α$-dependent metric. When the minimizer $x_\star$ has local flatness exponent $m\ge2$, meaning that $\nabla^2 H(x)\asymp \lVert x-x_\star\rVert^{m-2} I_d$ as $x\to x_\star$, we obtain a contraction bound with factor $1-cα^{m-1}$, where $c>0$ is a constant. This recovers the factor $1-cα$ in the quadratic case $m=2$. We then analyze the small-stepsize scaling limit. We show that the invariant law concentrates on the scale $α^{1/m}$ and that the rescaled iterates converge weakly to the stationary distribution of the stochastic differential equation $dY_t=-h_0(Y_t)\,dt+Σ^{1/2}\,dB_t ,$ where $h_0$ is the limiting drift at the minimizer and $Σ$ denotes the asymptotic covariance. This recovers the Gaussian limit when $m=2$ and gives generally non-Gaussian stationary limits in the flat case $m>2$. Finally, we give corresponding results for coordinate-separable objectives with unequal flatness exponents.

Stochastic gradient descent with momentum (SGDM) is one of the most widely used optimization algorithms in machine learning. While optimization properties of SGDM have been extensively studied in the literature, it remains insufficiently understood whether and when SGDM can generalize well to unseen data. In particular, it has been conjectured that while momentum accelerates training, it may degrade generalization. In this paper, we close this gap by developing a comprehensive generalization analysis of SGDM through the lens of algorithmic stability. More specifically, we introduce a generalized SGDM framework that encompasses both Polyak's and Nesterov's momentum schemes, and establish tight on-average model stability bounds for smooth and convex problems. Notably, the obtained bounds exploit small optimization error bounds along the trajectory, apply to any momentum parameter in the interval $[0, 1)$, and do not require the commonly assumed Lipschitzness of loss functions. We further derive optimization error bounds for the generalized SGDM, and combine them with our generalization analyses to obtain optimal excess population risk bounds for SGDM with both Polyak's and Nesterov's momentum.