From Observation to Intervention: Distilling Self-Generated In-Context Demonstrations via Executable Causal Intervention

Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have shown that Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning can substantially improve performance on complex reasoning tasks. At the same time, In-Context Learning (ICL) has become an important mechanism for adapting LLMs to new tasks without updating model parameters, using only examples provided in the prompt. However, standard ICL often struggles on tasks that require multi-step reasoning, because the demonstrations usually contain only input-output pairs and lack explicit intermediate reasoning steps. This paper introduces an Automatic Chain-of-Thought (Auto-CoT) framework to improve ICL by automatically constructing reasoning-enhanced demonstrations. Auto-CoT generates reasoning chains for input-output examples, augments the prompt context with structured intermediate explanations, and removes irrelevant or low-quality demonstrations through a systematic selection process. By incorporating high-quality reasoning examples into the ICL prompt, Auto-CoT guides the model toward more reliable reasoning and improves prediction accuracy. Experiments across multiple reasoning tasks demonstrate that the proposed framework improves ICL performance by providing explicit intermediate reasoning guidance.

While many-shot ICL achieves remarkable performance, prior studies of its scaling behavior have mainly focused on non-reasoning tasks. In this work, we study many-shot ICL on reasoning tasks, with a particular focus on many-shot chain-of-thought in-context learning (CoT-ICL). Analyzing across non-reasoning and reasoning tasks and across non-reasoning and reasoning-oriented LLMs, we identify several distinctive properties of many-shot CoT-ICL. We further interpret these findings by viewing many-shot CoT-ICL as in-context test-time learning rather than scaled pattern matching, and suggest two principles: (i) demonstrations should be easy for the target model to understand, and (ii) they should be ordered to support a smooth conceptual progression. Guided by the principle, we propose Curvilinear Demonstration Selection (CDS), a simple ordering method that yields up to a 5.42 percentage-point gain on a math task with 64 demonstrations. Overall, our results reframe the long context window from a retrieval buffer into a structured curriculum for in-context test-time learning.

In-context learning (ICL) is often motivated by the intuition that demonstrations help because they provide correct input-output examples. However, we reveal a counterintuitive phenomenon: correctness does not guarantee exemplar utility, and some correct demonstrations can even reduce ICL accuracy. To study this correctness-utility gap, we introduce task-preserving perturbations, where only the exemplar input is changed, while the example remains a correct instance of the same task. Concretely, each perturbed exemplar is assigned the target induced by the task mapping. This framework covers both label-updating perturbations, where task-relevant semantics change and targets are recomputed, and stricter target-preserving perturbations, where the original target remains valid. We formalize the resulting failure mode as contextual evidence shift: task-preserving perturbations can change the effective mixture of evidence used by the model for contextual inference, thereby separating exemplar correctness from exemplar utility. Across sentiment classification, logical reasoning, and math word problems, we find that task-preserving perturbed demonstrations can substantially degrade ICL performance, especially for smaller models, harder tasks, and higher perturbation ratios. Our results show that robust ICL requires evaluating not only whether demonstrations are correct, but also how they influence contextual inference. Code is available at https://github.com/Chenghao-Qiu/Task-Preserving-ICL.