Online communities provide spaces for individuals navigating stressful life transitions to disclose difficulties and seek peer support. Yet encountering others' distress may also have psychosocial implications for community members. Drawing on stress crossover theory, we examine how engagement with peer distress during graduate admissions is associated with subsequent psychosocial expression and participation, and whether similar associations extend through downstream interactions. We analyze 171,981 posts and 1,130,413 comments from two Reddit communities across three admissions cycles, using propensity-score stratification and baseline-adjusted comparisons. Users who engaged with distress disclosures during application preparation subsequently exhibited higher classifier-estimated anxiety, depression, and stress expression, alongside greater commenting activity and lexical redundancy. These associations recurred across admissions cycles, while no significant psychosocial associations were detected among downstream respondents interacting with previously exposed users. Our findings highlight how greater distress-related expression can coexist with continued community participation, while distinguishing direct engagement with distress disclosures from subsequent social contact. We discuss implications for designing online communities that preserve opportunities for self-disclosure and peer support while remaining attentive to the experiences of those encountering distress-related content.
Figures & tables
Stage
Removed
% in
Remaining
Standardized corpus
—
—
1,587,512
Deleted/removed
81,835
5.15
1,505,677
Known bots
3,623
0.23
1,502,054
<5 words
193,872
12.21
1,308,182
Register filter
5,788
0.36
1,302,394
Retained
—
82.04
1,302,394
Table 1: Ordered filtration results. Each removed record is attributed to the first rule that excluded it.
Model
Accuracy
Bal. Acc.
Precision
Recall
Spec.
F1
Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite
83.00
82.60
72.90
81.29
83.91
76.87
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
80.50
73.79
86.75
51.80
95.79
64.86
GPT-5.6 Terra
83.75
81.16
78.91
72.66
89.66
75.66
GPT-5.6 Luna
85.00
83.46
78.42
78.42
88.51
78.42
Table 2: Five-fold few-shot anchor-post classification on the 400-post benchmark. All values except counts are percentages; Bal. Acc. is balanced accuracy and Spec. is specificity.
Outcome
r/MBA
r/gradadmissions
Affective outcomes
Anxiety SVM
0.244 [0.187, 0.301]*
0.128 [0.042, 0.214]*
Depression SVM
0.269 [0.213, 0.325]*
0.141 [0.057, 0.225]*
Stress SVM
0.256 [0.201, 0.310]*
0.139 [0.058, 0.220]*
LIWC positive emotion
-0.001 [-0.063, 0.060]
0.022 [-0.054, 0.097]
LIWC negative emotion
0.067 [0.001, 0.133]
0.067 [-0.011, 0.144]
Table 3: Adjusted psychosocial outcomes following anchor-post exposure across three admissions cycles ( ∗ indicates Benjamini–Hochberg-adjusted p<.05 .).
Outcome
r/MBA
r/gradadmissions
Affective outcomes
Anxiety SVM
-0.011 [-0.065, 0.042]
0.014 [-0.035, 0.062]
Depression SVM
0.011 [-0.035, 0.057]
0.016 [-0.034, 0.065]
Stress SVM
-0.005 [-0.051, 0.040]
0.002 [-0.047, 0.050]
LIWC positive emotion
-0.004 [-0.057, 0.049]
0.011 [-0.039, 0.062]
LIWC negative emotion
-0.003 [-0.054, 0.048]
0.001 [-0.055, 0.058]
Table 4: Adjusted associations between downstream contact with previously exposed users and subsequent psychosocial outcomes, pooled across admissions cycles.
Appendix figures & tables11 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
Community
Posts
Comments
Total
r/MBA
71,110
674,159
745,269
r/gradadmissions
130,028
712,215
842,243
Total
201,138
1,386,374
1,587,512
Appendix
Table 5: Corpus composition before content filtration.
Stage
Removed
% corpus
Remaining
Standardized corpus
—
—
1,587,512
Deleted or removed records
81,835
5.15
1,505,677
Known bots or bot phrases
3,623
0.23
1,502,054
Fewer than five words
193,872
12.21
1,308,182
Agent-style score ≥0.75
5,788
0.36
1,302,394
Retained corpus
—
82.04
1,302,394
Appendix
Table 6: Sequential content-filtration results. Percentages use the standardized corpus as the denominator.
Community
Posts
Comments
Total
r/MBA
60,707
570,790
631,497
r/gradadmissions
111,274
559,623
670,897
Total
171,981
1,130,413
1,302,394
Appendix
Table 7: Retained records by community and record type.
Community
Posts
Anchors
Non-anchor
Anchor %
r/MBA
13,399
2,383
11,016
17.78
r/gradadmissions
18,902
3,767
15,135
19.93
Total
32,301
6,150
26,151
19.04
Appendix
Table 8: Final September–November post labels by community.
Cycle
Posts
Anchors
Non-anchor
Anchor %
2022–23
6,784
1,112
5,672
16.39
2023–24
12,122
2,367
9,755
19.53
2024–25
13,395
2,671
10,724
19.94
Total
32,301
6,150
26,151
19.04
Appendix
Table 9: Final September–November post labels by admissions cycle.
Family
Measures
Count
Activity and history
Contribution rate, post share, active-day share, mean words per contribution, focal-community share, and observed-history duration
6
Mental-health language
Anxiety, depression, and stress SVM scores
3
Psycholinguistic
Nine LIWC-2015 categories
9
Lexical content
L1-normalized bigram and trigram frequencies
500
Total
518
Appendix
Table 10: Baseline covariates used for propensity-score estimation.
Stage
Treated
Control
Total
Eligible
6,607
3,826
10,433
Retained
5,100
3,803
8,903
Appendix
Table 11: RQ1 propensity-score stratification and retention.
Analysis
Stage
Mean
Max.
>0.15
RQ1
Before
0.0256
0.4129
7
RQ1
After
0.0224
0.1284
0
RQ2
Before
0.0225
0.2094
2
RQ2
After
0.0162
0.0594
0
Appendix
Table 12: Absolute standardized mean differences before and after matching.
Stage
User-cycles
Downstream identified
33,191
Eligible pre-/post-contact
19,105
Retained after matching
18,923
Treated-chain
13,592
Control-chain
5,331
Retained strata
20
Appendix
Table 13: RQ2 downstream cohort construction and matching.
Outcome
Wald χ2(2)
p
qBH
Affective outcomes
Anxiety SVM
1.137
0.566
0.955
Depression SVM
0.257
0.879
0.955
Stress SVM
1.397
0.497
0.955
LIWC positive emotion
7.753
0.021
0.166
LIWC negative emotion
1.308
0.520
0.955
Appendix
Table 14: RQ1 cycle heterogeneity in r/MBA. Omnibus Wald tests of equality of baseline-adjusted exposure coefficients across the three admissions cycles. Benjamini–Hochberg correction was applied within outcome family. Two outcomes were nominally significant at p<.05 , but none remained significant at qBH<.05 .
Outcome
Wald χ2(2)
p
qBH
Affective outcomes
Anxiety SVM
1.544
0.462
0.743
Depression SVM
1.975
0.372
0.743
Stress SVM
1.181
0.554
0.743
LIWC positive emotion
0.689
0.708
0.743
LIWC negative emotion
0.595
0.743
0.743
Appendix
Table 15: RQ1 cycle heterogeneity in r/gradadmissions. Omnibus Wald tests of equality of baseline-adjusted exposure coefficients across the three admissions cycles. Benjamini–Hochberg correction was applied within outcome family. No test was significant at qBH<.05 .
Aug 29, 2026·Renkai Ma, Lingyao Li, Shanting Chen +3Mental Health
College of Information Science University of Arizona Tucson, Arizona, USA · Department of Computer and Information Science and Engineering University of Florida Gainesville, Florida, USA