cs.CVOct 20, 2026

Predictive Latents for Autoregressive Language Models: Possibility, Gauge, and Obstruction

Authors: Yuzhou Hong

Organizations: Zhejiang Sci-Tech University

Abstract

Autoregressive language models are trained by next-token cross-entropy, yet several recent systems also iterate a hidden state without emitting a token: continuous thoughts, pause steps, and recurrent depth. This note separates three risks on one latent process. The token risk RtokR_{\mathrm{tok}} scores a readout. The teacher-forced latent risk R1R_1 scores a one-step map that sees the true hidden state. The open-loop risk RHR_H scores the same map after it has been iterated on its own outputs. If the Bayes next-token posterior is a function of a kk-dimensional statistic with full-rank covariance, a width-kk latent, a linear least-squares transition, and a refit unembedding match the Bayes token predictor. The statistic is identified only up to an invertible gauge: whitening the residual stream does not change the token law once the unembedding is refit. The matching obstructions are sharp. A constant latent drives R1R_1 to zero while token cross-entropy falls back to the marginal entropy. A perfect token predictor can still hide a null-space walk whose open-loop error grows linearly in the horizon. A small next-latent loss does not certificate next-token prediction, and a small next-token loss does not certificate free latent rollout, unless a rank or injectivity condition is stated with the number.

Figures & tables

Explore similar work

Mar 3, 2026

Thinking into the Future: Latent Lookahead Training for Transformers

Autoregressive language models trained with next-token prediction generate text by sampling one discrete token at a time. Although very scalable, this objective forces the model to commit at every step, preventing it from exploring or reflecting upon multiple plausible continuations. Furthermore, the compute allocation across tokens is uniform; every token is formed based on a single forward-pass, potentially limiting the model's expressiveness in cases where difficult tokens require inherently more compute. Towards addressing these limitations, we introduce latent lookahead, a training strategy that enables models to "think" before generating: at selected positions in the sequence, before committing to the next token, the model performs a multi-step lookahead in latent space. More precisely, instead of sampling future tokens, we leverage the network's latent space by recursively feeding its hidden states back into the context for ττ steps, investing more compute on predicting that token. This produces ττ latent predictions that are supervised against the next ττ ground-truth tokens, encouraging the model to "lookahead" and refine its prediction. We show that latent lookahead substantially outperforms both autoregressive and non-autoregressive baselines on planning tasks such as maze solving, Sudoku, and ProsQA, where foresight is essential.
Sep 27, 2026

Decoupling Token Roles in Autoregressive Pretraining

Autoregressive pretraining increasingly draws on heterogeneous data, making it important to understand how a model learns from an individual token. The next-token prediction objective naturally identifies a token's contribution with its own loss. However, each token is not only a prediction target but also context for what follows. Using controlled corruption, we decouple these two roles and find a reversal: making a noisy token easier to predict reduces its damage as a target but increases it as context. The same decoupling helps explain text generated by language models: generation selects each token by its fit to the prefix, while its role as context is never tested against an independently determined continuation, because that continuation is generated to fit it. At known corrupted positions, acting through the context can reduce damage that removing the token's own loss does not. Understanding and controlling what a model learns from a token therefore requires decoupling its roles.
Aug 6, 2026

Hierarchical Latent Prediction for Language Models

While standard Next-Token Prediction (NTP) lays the foundation of language model pre- training, its teacher-forced training paradigm may not be optimal for long-horizon reasoning and planning. Recent works such as Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) and Next-Latent prediction (NextLat) try to mitigate the problem through predicting multiple future tokens and self-supervised prediction in the latent space. However, those auxiliary objectives either have a limited horizon or suffer from compounding error from multi-step rollout. We introduce Hierarchical Latent Prediction (HiLP), which introduces an auxiliary higher-level abstract latent to help reduce the error accumulation effect in latent-space rollouts. Experiments show that HiLP can lead to longer-horizon coherent belief state representation and demonstrate the effectiveness of our method across coding and multi-step reasoning benchmarks, and offers more speculative decoding efficiency.