Measuring the Reasoning-Action Coupling in Driving Vision-Language-Action Models through Counterfactuals

We present the first systematic study of faithfulness in Vision-Language-Action (VLA) driving models, analyzing 300 Alpamayo-R1-10B inferences across 100 diverse PhysicalAI-AV scenarios. Our main finding is that output natural-language rationales with trajectories may be significantly unfaithful: (i) overall reasoning fidelity is only 42.5%, with Chain-of-Causation matching scene reality less than half the time; (ii) 94 missed pedestrians in one-third of pedestrian-relevant scenes; (iii) 97.7% trajectory fragility under mild visual perturbations; and (iv) only 48.3% mean reasoning-action consistency, with 53.3% of inferences exhibiting low consistency, including 37.9% of stop-claimed cases where the model continues instead. We formalize faithfulness information-theoretically, define entity and action fidelity with verification criteria, and outline a four-component safety architecture aligned with these results.

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models for autonomous driving produce natural-language reasoning alongside predicted trajectories, but whether this reasoning reflects the causal structure of the scene remains untested. We introduce CausalDriveBench, an evaluation framework grounded in Pearl's Causal Hierarchy (PCH) that tests causal reasoning in driving-specific VLAs through structured visual question answering (QA) and alternative-trajectory prediction. To this end, we construct causal scene graphs over nuScenes that distinguish causally active, dormant, and distractor entities, separating perceptual salience from causal relevance. The benchmark spans all four rungs of PCH (association, intervention, and counterfactual along with causal discovery) for QA generation. For the higher rungs, we additionally provide reference trajectories under specified scene modifications, enabling action-level verification that complements reasoning-level evaluation. In total, the benchmark contains 7,285 verified causal QA pairs and 1,000 counterfactual trajectories derived from nuScenes. We evaluate 10 driving-specific VLAs and 3 general-purpose VLMs, and report three findings. First, the best model reaches only 70.6% QA accuracy, and 4 of 13 models score below random chance. Second, comparing each driving VLA to the general-purpose VLM that shares its language backbone, the cost of driving fine-tuning ranges from 2 to 34 percentage points on causal QA, with post-training design explaining the spread. Third, causal QA and trajectory accuracy are statistically uncorrelated across models: under counterfactual prompts, predicted trajectories either over-react or collapse onto the observed-scene baseline. Taken together, these results show that neither fluent rationales nor accurate observed-scene trajectories constitute evidence of causal understanding.

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models with integrated reasoning have been proposed for end-to-end autonomous driving, assuming a tight coupling between reasoning and trajectory generation. However, the robustness of such systems under realistic input perturbations remains largely unexplored. We show that these models are highly vulnerable to realistic input perturbations, achieving up to 89% attack success rate (ASR) on reasoning and up to 72% on trajectory manipulation in closed-loop simulation, leading to increased collision rates and degraded safety metrics. Using NVIDIA's recent Alpamayo models as representative industry-developed VLAs, we conduct the first systematic black-box study of reasoning-enabled VLA models under realistic textual input corruptions, evaluating their impact on reasoning and driving behavior. We introduce a reasoning-aware evaluation framework capturing both semantic and structural aspects of reasoning, along with safety-centric measures. We also introduce a benchmark for evaluating attacks and defenses on reasoning-trajectory interactions in autonomous driving. Our results highlight the need for rigorous evaluation and improved defenses to ensure the safety of reasoning-enabled VLA systems in autonomous driving.